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| Author | : Deborah A. Schreiber |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 364 |
| Release | : |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 3031559568 |
| Author | : Deborah A. Schreiber |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 435 |
| Release | : 2018-12-19 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3319949233 |
This book proposes that organizational policies are what ensure the institutionalization and sustainability of futures thinking in organizations. It presents several case studies from corporations and other institutions that describe effective use of foresight methods and internal policies to respond to rapid change. The case studies address changing trends in technology, globalization and/or workforce diversity, and the impact on the economic and political well-being of the organization. The editors also develop an organizational capability maturity model for futures thinking as well as providing questions for discussion that promote critical review of each case chapter. This book will inform scholars and organizational leaders how best to utilize foresight methodologies and organizational policies to sustain successful management strategies within futures thinking organizations. Chapter 9 is available open access under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License via link.springer.com.
| Author | : Hines Andy |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 448 |
| Release | : 2015-10-10 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780996773409 |
Thinking about the Future distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study.
| Author | : Asian Development Bank |
| Publisher | : Asian Development Bank |
| Total Pages | : 201 |
| Release | : 2020-04-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9292621823 |
Futures thinking and foresight is a powerful planning approach that can help Asia and the Pacific countries meet economic, political, social, and environmental and climate change challenges. This publication shows how the Asian Development Bank (ADB) piloted this approach to understand entry points to support transformational change in the region. It compiles lessons from an ADB initiative to apply futures and foresight tools in Armenia, Cambodia, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, the People's Republic of China, the Philippines, and Timor-Leste. Futures terminology is introduced as are specific tools such as emerging issues analysis, scenario planning, and backcasting. It also describes how futures and foresight tools were applied in the countries.
| Author | : Alberto F. De Toni |
| Publisher | : Routledge |
| Total Pages | : 234 |
| Release | : 2020-10-29 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1000216128 |
The world changes like the patterns in a kaleidoscope: trends expand, contract, break up, melt, disintegrate and disappear, while others are formed. Change – as opposed to stasis – is our normal condition, the only certainty in our lives, hence the need to create tools that provide organizations with the means to tackle change and navigate complexity. We must accept the reality of constant change and be prepared for a heavy shift in perspective: interconnection versus separation, acceleration versus linearity and discontinuity versus continuity. Anticipating the future requires more than the traditional predictive models (forecasting) based on the forward projection of past experiences. Advanced methods use anticipation logic (foresight) and build probable scenarios taking into account weak signals, emerging trends, coexisting presents and potential paths of evolution. Corporate foresight is fundamental to interpret and lead change. The two cornerstones of foresight are organization and management. As concerns organization, the authors advocate the separation of research (oriented to the market of tomorrow) from development (oriented to the market of today), the establishment of a foresight unit and the concentration of research activities mainly on the acquisition and recombination of external know-how. As regards management, after an overview of state-of-the-art literature on forecasting methods, the authors propose the implementation of a "future coverage" methodology, which enables companies to measure and verify the consistency between trends, strategic vision and offered products. These organizational and managing tools are then tested in a case study: the Italian company Eurotech SpA, a leader in the ICT sector.
| Author | : Haridimos Tsoukas |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 240 |
| Release | : 2009-02-09 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1405142391 |
In this book, leading authors explore ways in which organizationscan develop their ability to manage the future. An exploration of the ways in which organizations can developtheir ability to manage the future. Consists of ten papers written by authors from both sides ofthe Atlantic and from Asia, all of whom are distinguished scholarsin the fields of strategy or organizational learning. Addresses key questions about how organizational foresight canbe conceptualized and developed, and the extent to which it ispossible. The papers are prefaced by a foreword from Spyros Makridakisand an introduction from the editors. Helps to shape a new research agenda, and so will be ofinterest to academics, as well as to students andpractitioners.
| Author | : E. Hiltunen |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 360 |
| Release | : 2013-11-29 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1137337702 |
Foresight and Innovation is a guide for readers that are interested about the future. The book introduces a concept of futurist thinking, which includes anticipating, innovating and communicating about the futures. These concepts show how various organizations, all over the world are thinking, communicating and creating a better future.
| Author | : Derrick P. Gosselin |
| Publisher | : Lannoo Publishers |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 2016-08-19 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9789401426688 |
Throughout the economic and social upheaval of the last decade, thinking about our future has proven to be a practice of vital importance. A thorough assessment of the future offers us a steady base from which to put in place sustainable policies. This domain of thinking futures relies on multidisciplinary research on leadership, strategy and decision-making amidst turbulent and uncertain circumstances. To this end, Thinking Futures offers insights into the development of proactive measures. Secondly, it suggests promising strategies for the introduction of future thinking into organizations and international policy. Thinking Futures provides us with an indispensable source of inspiration to managers, policy makers, entrepreneurs, politicians, or simply anyone willing to shape our societal future. "An essential book for anyone concerned for our future." Herman Van Rompuy, former President of the European Council. "The strategic debate on future thinking should be the Alpha and Omega for current leadership. This important book could urge them to take action." Herman H.F. Wijffels, professor, economist, banker, executive director of the World Bank (2006-2008).
| Author | : Bob Johansen |
| Publisher | : Berrett-Koehler Publishers |
| Total Pages | : 264 |
| Release | : 2020-03-02 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1523087536 |
Leading futurist Bob Johansen shows how a new way of thinking, enhanced by new technologies, will help leaders break free of limiting labels and see new gradients of possibility in a chaotic world. The future will get even more perplexing over the next decade, and we are not ready. The dilemma is that we're restricted by rigid categorical thinking that freezes people and organizations in neatly defined boxes that often are inaccurate or obsolete. Categories lead us toward certainty but away from clarity, and categorical thinking moves us away from understanding the bigger picture. Sticking with this old way of thinking and seeing isn't just foolish, it's dangerous. Full-spectrum thinking is the ability to seek patterns and clarity outside, across, beyond, or maybe even without any boxes or categories while resisting false certainty and simplistic binary choices. It reveals our commonalities that are hidden in plain view. Bob Johansen lays out the core concepts of full-spectrum thinking and reveals the role that digital media—including gameful engagement, big-data analytics, visualization, blockchain, and machine learning—will play in facilitating and enhancing it. He offers examples of broader spectrums and new applications in a wide range of areas that will become possible first, then mandatory. This visionary book provides powerful ways to make sense of new opportunities and see the world as it really is.
| Author | : Richard A. Slaughter |
| Publisher | : Routledge |
| Total Pages | : 448 |
| Release | : 2002-11-01 |
| Genre | : Education |
| ISBN | : 1134793901 |
In this book, Richard Slaughter draws on the relatively new but rapidly developing field of futures studies to illustrate how our thinking must change in order to deal with the challenges presented by the new millennium. In doing so he brings together the latest work from some of the leading international names in futures thinking. Part One considers the foundations of futures thinking in history, literature and ideas. Part Two explores some of the ways that futures studies have been and are being applied in different educational contexts around the world, from pre-school to postgraduate levels. Part Three takes the crucial step from institutional learning to social learning, and explores how futures provides us with insights which can help guide our society into the new millennium, together with suggestions for the development of the field itself. This book is essential reading for teachers, students and anyone interested in the perils and promise of the twenty-first century.
