Further Contrivances On Methods Of Household Projections With Special Attention To Household Size And To Social Development Planning PDF Download

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Projection Methods for Integrating Population Variables Into Development Planning: Methods for comprehensive planning. module 1. Conceptual issues and methods for preparing demographic projections. module 2. Methods for preparing school enrolment, labour force, and employment projections. module 3. Techniques for preparing projections of household and other incomes, household consumption and savings, and government consumption and investment

Projection Methods for Integrating Population Variables Into Development Planning: Methods for comprehensive planning. module 1. Conceptual issues and methods for preparing demographic projections. module 2. Methods for preparing school enrolment, labour force, and employment projections. module 3. Techniques for preparing projections of household and other incomes, household consumption and savings, and government consumption and investment
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 280
Release: 1989
Genre: Economic development
ISBN:

Download Projection Methods for Integrating Population Variables Into Development Planning: Methods for comprehensive planning. module 1. Conceptual issues and methods for preparing demographic projections. module 2. Methods for preparing school enrolment, labour force, and employment projections. module 3. Techniques for preparing projections of household and other incomes, household consumption and savings, and government consumption and investment Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle


Demography: Analysis and Synthesis, Four Volume Set

Demography: Analysis and Synthesis, Four Volume Set
Author: Graziella Caselli
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 2857
Release: 2006-01-03
Genre: Reference
ISBN: 012765660X

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This four-volume collection of over 140 original chapters covers virtually everything of interest to demographers, sociologists, and others. Over 100 authors present population subjects in ways that provoke thinking and lead to the creation of new perspectives, not just facts and equations to be memorized. The articles follow a theory-methods-applications approach and so offer a kind of "one-stop shop" that is well suited for students and professors who need non-technical summaries, such as political scientists, public affairs specialists, and others. Unlike shorter handbooks, Demography: Analysis and Synthesis offers a long overdue, thorough treatment of the field. Choosing the analytical method that fits the data and the situation requires insights that the authors and editors of Demography: Analysis and Synthesis have explored and developed. This extended examination of demographic tools not only seeks to explain the analytical tools themselves, but also the relationships between general population dynamics and their natural, economic, social, political, and cultural environments. Limiting themselves to human populations only, the authors and editors cover subjects that range from the core building blocks of population change--fertility, mortality, and migration--to the consequences of demographic changes in the biological and health fields, population theories and doctrines, observation systems, and the teaching of demography. The international perspectives brought to these subjects is vital for those who want an unbiased, rounded overview of these complex, multifaceted subjects. Topics to be covered: * Population Dynamics and the Relationship Between Population Growth and Structure * The Determinants of Fertility * The Determinants of Mortality * The Determinants of Migration * Historical and Geographical Determinants of Population * The Effects of Population on Health, Economics, Culture, and the Environment * Population Policies * Data Collection Methods and Teaching about Population Studies * All chapters share a common format * Each chapter features several cross-references to other chapters * Tables, charts, and other non-text features are widespread * Each chapter contains at least 30 bibliographic citations


Household and Living Arrangement Projections

Household and Living Arrangement Projections
Author: Yi Zeng
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 376
Release: 2013-12-16
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9048189063

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This book presents an innovative demographic toolkit known as the ProFamy extended cohort-component method for the projection of household structures and living arrangements with empirical applications to the United States, the largest developed country, and China, the largest developing country. The ProFamy method uses demographic rates as inputs to project detailed distributions of household types and sizes, living arrangements of all household members, and population by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and urban/rural residence at national, sub-national, or small area levels. It can also project elderly care needs and costs, pension deficits, and household consumption. The ProFamy method presented herein has substantial merits compared to the traditional headship rate method, which is not linked to demographic rates and projects limited household types without other household members than "heads". The book consists of four parts. The first part presents the methodology, data, estimation issues, and empirical assessments. The next parts present applications in the United States (part two) and China (part three), concerning demographic, social, economic, and business research; policy analysis, including forecasting future trends of household type/size, elderly living arrangements, disability, and home-based care costs, and household consumption including housing and vehicles. The fourth part includes a user’s guide for the ProFamy software to project households, living arrangements, and home-based consumptions. This book offers an invaluable toolkit for researchers, analysts and students in academic, public and private businesses, whose work is related to levels and rates of change in households, population and consumption patterns.


Population and Development Planning

Population and Development Planning
Author:
Publisher: New York : United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Development
Total Pages: 308
Release: 1993
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Development and Accuracy of Projects of Population and Households in the United States

Development and Accuracy of Projects of Population and Households in the United States
Author: Jacob S. Siegel
Publisher:
Total Pages: 18
Release:
Genre: Population forecasting
ISBN:

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The history of the official U.S. projections of population and households in recent decades is briefly reviewed, with particular attention to projections. The introduction of the cohort-component procedure in the 1930's opened the way for separate analysis of the trend of the components of births, deaths, and net immigration in connection with making population projections. As a further development, the period-fertility method of projecting births gave way in the 1960's to the cohort-fertility method. Consideration is now being given to various methods involving parity-progression procedures. Some alternative methods and problems of measuring the accuracy of population projections are then considered. The percent "error" in the projected population growth, by components and age, and the range from high to low expressed as a percent should also be examined in addition to the percent "error" in the total population. However accuracy is measured, the projections made in the 1930's and 1940's were often wide of the mark, and those made in the 1950's and 1960's failed to anticipate the sharp changes which occurred, even though the actual figures usually fell within the range projected. Elaboration of projection methodology has not resulted in any great increase in the precision of the projections, largely because birth rates have fluctuated widely, and the fluctuations have proven difficult, if not impossible, to predict. The projections of households have had a roughly similar history, and the methods and problems of evaluation are somewhat similar. Their development has been characterized by the introduction of alternative and changing "headship" rates and increasing disaggregation of the data and procedures. The paper concludes with some generalizations based on U.S. experience. Although refinement of methods may contribute little to accuracy, accuracy is only one aspect of the usefulness of projections. The need for conditional projections and their analytical usefulness are such that there is no question that we should confidently continue to make them.


Fertility Transitions, Family Structure, And Population Policy

Fertility Transitions, Family Structure, And Population Policy
Author: Calvin Goldscheider
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 262
Release: 2019-04-11
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0429715552

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Focuses on fertility and family transitions in selected Third World countries, exploring critical aspects of the relationship between population and development. The essays examine population processes as they unfold and develop over time, highlighting the need to go beyond economic explanations and identifying the priorities among social structura