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Fiscal Consolidation in Belgium

Fiscal Consolidation in Belgium
Author: Yu Ching Wong
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2023-12-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Belgium is facing higher structural deficits and rising debt after the pandemic and energy crisis. Fiscal consolidation is needed to lower inflation, rebuild buffers, reduce debt, and preserve Belgium’s social contract. While designing an appropriate fiscal consolidation path involves trade-offs, an ideally front-loaded and significant adjustment to achieve a medium-term structural balance would reduce public debt towards the 60 percent debt threshold, significantly reducing vulnerabilities. Experiences in other countries and in the past in Belgium show that while ambitious, such an adjustment is achievable. Comparisons with peers show that rationalizing and increasing the efficiency of social benefits and the public wage bill would need to be at the core of the consolidation effort. All federal entities should share the burden of the adjustment, in a coordinated manner, with accountability at all levels of government, and within a credible and clear multi-year consolidation plan. Comprehensive spending reviews would help target budgetary saving. To mitigate the growth impact in the near term and boost potential growth, public investment should be preserved, and the adjustment should go together with structural reforms to increase labor force participation and productivity.


Belgium

Belgium
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2011-04-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455233080

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Belgium’s impressive past fiscal consolidation is an example for other countries that need to bring down their public debt and also provides insights on how best to address its own current fiscal challenges. Belgium has a unique history of a long and successful large fiscal consolidation. Belgium lived through various episodes of fiscal adjustment and each one of these contains important lessons for future consolidation. After Belgium’s public debt-to-GDP reached a peak of about 135 percent in 1993, it was steadily reduced to about 84 percent by 2007.


Belgium

Belgium
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 15
Release: 2020-03-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 151353887X

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This Selected Issues paper analyzes Belgium’s fiscal stance using a structural stochastic model. This note uses a theoretical model that explicitly accounts for the trade-offs between the short-term cost of fiscal tightening and the long-term gains associated with higher fiscal buffers. This paper shows that once the current crisis is over, rebuilding fiscal buffers is essential to helping Belgium confront the next shock from a stronger fiscal position. Overall, this illustrates a major motivation for a credible medium-term fiscal consolidation strategy. When a government reduces debt, it increases its capacity to react to shocks later. This entails a short-term cost that is, in the case of Belgium, worth the effort as this capacity to smooth future shocks increases future welfare. In addition, a large capacity to react with fiscal policy reduces the risk of long-lasting effects of a large crisis. Historical data show that in the past, the Belgium government’s reaction to the cycle was limited to a single event. By contrast, if Belgium could firmly anchor public debt on a downward path, future governments would be able to offset downturns while keeping debt sustainability concerns under control.


Toward a Growth-Friendly Fiscal Consolidation in Belgium

Toward a Growth-Friendly Fiscal Consolidation in Belgium
Author: Jean-Jacques Hallaert
Publisher:
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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Belgium faces two main fiscal challenges that call for a durable fiscal consolidation. First, at above 105 percent of GDP, public debt creates vulnerabilities. Second, the aging population and early access to pension benefits will lead in the medium term to significant fiscal costs. To address these challenges, the government plans to achieve a balanced budget (both headline and structural) by 2018. The purpose of this paper is to assess whether government plans meet the objectives of growth-friendly and sustainable adjustment. It is organized as follows. The first section describes Belgium's record of fiscal consolidation. The second section highlights the features of a high quality fiscal consolidation in Belgium. The third section analyzes the implications of decentralization for fiscal consolidation.


Fiscal Federalism in Belgium: Challenges in Restoring Fiscal Sustainability

Fiscal Federalism in Belgium: Challenges in Restoring Fiscal Sustainability
Author: Yu Ching Wong
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2023-03-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Fiscal decentralization in Belgium progressed substantially in 2015-19. However, as decentralization of expenditure responsibilities continued to outpace decentralization of revenue authority, vertical fiscal gaps and greater reliance on transfers from shared resources may have reduced spending discipline. Consecutive shocks (pandemic, energy prices) have worsened the fiscal positions of all levels of government, requiring urgent and concerted effort to improve fiscal and debt sustainability. Fostering better fiscal policy coordination across all levels of government would improve the efficiency of Belgium’s decentralized fiscal framework. We recommend that fiscal adjustment at the subnational levels should be a part of the general government fiscal consolidation plan, with strict spending limits applying; integrating systematic spending reviews in the budgetary process; and adopting a more strategic, multi-annual fiscal framework to support adjustment. Implementing the 2013 Cooperation Arrangement—intended to provide fiscal rules to govern and coordinate public finances at all levels—is important. Also, the cost of overborrowing at the regional level should be fully internalized; recalibration of transfers could be considered; and some flexibility should be retained in the pace and scope of further decentralization. Finally, there is scope to improve the integration of fiscal sustainability objectives in federal and subnational structural reforms.


The Return of the Deficit

The Return of the Deficit
Author: Etienne de Callataÿ
Publisher: Leuven University Press
Total Pages: 329
Release: 2012
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9058679233

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Prior to the outbreak of the financial crisis in 2008 Belgium's fiscal balances and debt ratios seemed to be on a firm consolidation path. Today, however, Belgium is facing a major budgetary challenge, albeit to some extent lesser than that of other European countries. This book offers a closer look at the evolution of public finance in Belgium over the decade 2000-2010. It covers Belgium's macro-economic environment, its budgetary policy, changes to the tax system and social security, the evolution of public expenditure, debt management, and fiscal federalism.


Cross-Country Spillovers of Fiscal Consolidations in the Euro Area

Cross-Country Spillovers of Fiscal Consolidations in the Euro Area
Author: Mr.Tigran Poghosyan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2017-06-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484306236

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This paper revisits the issue of cross-country spillovers from fiscal consolidations using an innovative empirical methodology. We find evidence in support of fiscal spillovers in 10 euro area countries. Fiscal consolidation in one country not only reduces domestic output (direct effect), but also the output of other member countries (indirect/spillover effect). Fiscal spillovers are larger for: (i) more closely located and economically integrated countries, and (ii) fiscal shocks originating from relatively larger countries. On average, 1 percent of GDP fiscal consolidation in 10 euro area countries reduces the combined output by 0.6 percent on impact, out of which half is driven by indirect effects from fiscal spillovers. The impact peters out and becomes insignificant over the medium-term. It is largely driven by tax measures, which have a relatively stronger effect on output compared to expenditure measures. The results are robust to alternative measures of bilateral links across countries.


Belgium: Selected Issues

Belgium: Selected Issues
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 80
Release: 1998-09-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451803079

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In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.


The Economic and Financial Situation in Belgium

The Economic and Financial Situation in Belgium
Author: Commission of the European Communities. Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs
Publisher:
Total Pages: 146
Release: 1993
Genre: Belgien
ISBN:

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Belgium

Belgium
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 53
Release: 2013-05-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484308816

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The Belgian economy showed considerable progress through 2011 in terms of both growth and employment. However, the 2013 Article IV Consultation underlines that the European recession has had a negative impact on its economy, giving rise to unemployment. The economy has entered its second year of near zero growth. To help restore competitiveness and improve financial market conditions, decisive actions have been taken. Important decisions in 2012 include pension schemes and unemployment benefit systems with the objective of raising the employment rate to 73 percent by 2020.