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Real Exchange Volatility and Economic Openness

Real Exchange Volatility and Economic Openness
Author: Yuntaek Pae
Publisher:
Total Pages: 6
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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We suggest a pseudo economic openness that has a linear relationship with the real exchange rate volatility. The pseudo economic openness implies that the real exchange rate volatility is a concave function of pure economic openness. Therefore, the pseudo economic openness should be used to analyze the real exchange rate volatility instead of pure economic openness. Comparison between the pseudo openness and the pure openness using real data is provided.


Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility

Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility
Author: Mr.Serhan Cevik
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2015-03-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475546645

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Standard models—based exclusively on macro-financial variables—have made little progress in explaining the behavior of exchange rates. In this paper, we introduce a neglected set of “soft power” factors capturing a country’s demographic, institutional, political and social underpinnings to uncover the “missing” determinants of exchange rate volatility over time and across countries. Based on a balanced panel dataset comprising 115 countries during the period 1996–2011, the empirical results are generally robust across different estimation methodologies and show a high degree of persistence in exchange rate volatility, especially in emerging market economies. After controlling for standard macroeconomic factors, we find that the “soft power” variables—such as an index of voice and accountability, life expectancy, educational attainment, the z-score of banks, and the share of agriculture relative to services—have a statistically significant influence on the level of exchange rate volatility across countries.


Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy
Author: Jonas Böhmer
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2009-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3640438361

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Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,3, University of Bonn (Wirtschaftspolitische Abteilung der Rechts- und Staatswissenschaftlichen Fakultät), course: Geldtheorie- und politik, language: English, abstract: Does inflation reduce welfare? What is worse, a volatile exchange rate or a high inflation rate? And is the central bank able to drive these variables? These questions are the topic of a paper by Jordi Gali and Tommaso Monacelli, published in 2005 and titled "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy". As apparent by the title Gali and Monacelli (G+M) analyze the influence of monetary policy on the volatility of the exchange rate, more precisely the nominal exchange rate and the terms of trade. For this purpose they create a small open economy with sticky prices of Calvo-type. Due to its minor size this economy does not influence the world economy. However, depending on the degree of openness this economy is affected by the rest of the world. Having specified this framework, G+M introduce three different monetary regimes and evaluate the resulting exchange rate volatilities . Using a central bank loss function G+M rank these three rules according to the implied welfare which shows a positive correlation between welfare and exchange rate volatility. Thence G+M prefer Taylor rules over an exchange rate pegging. To get a general idea of Gali and Monacelli`s argumentation this expose will start in chapter 2 with an abbreviated overlook over G+M's model of a small open economy. In the following chapter there will be the introduction of the three central bank rules, necessary to close the model, as well as an analysis of the underlying welfare levels. Since the welfare evaluation is based on some special assumptions, chapter 4 will give an overview of recent literature which discusses possible extensions as well as their implications for G+M's ranking of implied welfare. Concluding cha


The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment

The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment
Author: Bahar Erdal
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 172
Release: 2017-05-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1351801724

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Originally published in 1997. This study investigates what the effects of real exchange rate volatility are on sectorial investment in the fixed and flexible exchange rate systems. It lays out the results of research into the effects of the levels and volatility of real exchange rates on investment in the manufacturing sectors of the countries in the European Monetary System as well as of the countries in the flexible exchange rate system, with data from between 1973 and 1993. Examining the differences between the two systems in the results this book also looks at exchange rate effects on interest rates at the time.


Determinants of the Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes in Six Central American Countries

Determinants of the Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes in Six Central American Countries
Author: Mr.Michael G. Papaioannou
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2003-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451847963

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This paper examines whether decisions about the appropriate exchange rate regime in six Central American countries were based on longer-run economic fundamentals or on the confluence of historical and political circumstances. To uncover any actual relationship both across countries and across time, we estimate several probit and multinomial logit models of exchange rate regime choice with data spanning the period 1974-2001. We find that theoretical long-run determinants, such as trade openness, export share with the major trading partner, economic size, and per capita income, are adequate, but not robust, predictors of exchange rate regime choice. However, we were not able to establish a statistically significant association between the terms of trade fluctuations or capital account openness and a particular regime in any specification using our sample.


Exchange Rate Dynamics

Exchange Rate Dynamics
Author: Jean-Olivier Hairault
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 320
Release: 2004
Genre: Electronic books
ISBN: 1134426135

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This book builds upon the seminal work by Obsfeld and Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics and provides a coherent and modern framework for thinking about exchange rate dynamics.


Managing Openness

Managing Openness
Author: Mona Haddad
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 352
Release: 2011
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821386336

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The global financial crisis triggered a broad reassessment of economic integration policies in developed and developing countries worldwide. The crisis-induced collapse in trade was the sharpest ever since World War II, affecting all countries and all product categories. A huge shock to the trading system, combined with severe macroeconomic instability, makes it natural for policymakers to call into question the basic underlying assumptions of trade liberalization and openness. In particular, outward-oriented or export-led growth strategies are being reassessed as openness is increasingly associated with greater volatility. However, it is crucial not to lose sight of the dynamic benefits that openness can offer. Examples include technology transfer, increased competitive pressure that reduces markups and improves efficiency, and economies of scale. The real question is how to manage outward-oriented strategies so as to maximize the benefits of openness while minimizing risks. This book aims to contribute to this important and ongoing policy debate, bringing together recent empirical work on the trade collapse, its causes and consequences, and the broader trade policy agenda in the post-crisis environment. It addresses critical policy issues revolving around the topic of outward-oriented growth strategy, including policy instruments that help manage risks associated with outward-orientation, lessons learned from the crisis for particular countries and regions, and how emerging trade policy issues such as climate change, commodities, global production networking, and migration affect the prospects for recovery and outward-oriented growth.