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Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models by Maximum Likelihood and the Simulated Method of Moments

Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models by Maximum Likelihood and the Simulated Method of Moments
Author: Phillipp Eisenhauer
Publisher:
Total Pages: 47
Release: 2014
Genre: Decision making
ISBN:

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We compare the performance of maximum likelihood (ML) and simulated method of moments (SMM) estimation for dynamic discrete choice models. We construct and estimate a simplified dynamic structural model of education that captures some basic features of educational choices in the United States in the 1980s and early 1990s. We use estimates from our model to simulate a synthetic dataset and assess the ability of ML and SMM to recover the model parameters on this sample. We investigate the performance of alternative tuning parameters for SMM.


Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation
Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 399
Release: 2009-07-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0521766559

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This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.


Handbook of Choice Modelling

Handbook of Choice Modelling
Author: Stephane Hess
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 797
Release: 2024-06-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1800375638

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This thoroughly revised second edition Handbook provides an authoritative and in-depth overview of choice modelling, covering essential topics range from data collection through model specification and estimation to analysis and use of results. It aptly emphasises the broad relevance of choice modelling when applied to a multitude of fields, including but not limited to transport, marketing, health and environmental economics.


Estimation of Dynamic Models with Nonparametric Simulated Maximum Likelihood

Estimation of Dynamic Models with Nonparametric Simulated Maximum Likelihood
Author: Dennis Kristensen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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We propose a simulated maximum likelihood estimator (SMLE) for general stochastic dynamic models based on nonparametric kernel methods. The method requires that, while the actual likelihood function cannot be written down, we can still simulate observations from the model. From the simulated observations, we estimate the unknown density of the model nonparametrically by kernel methods, and then obtain the SMLEs of the model parameters. Our method avoids the issue of non-identification arising from poor choice of auxiliary models in simulated methods of moments (SMM) or indirect inference. More importantly, our SMLEs achieve higher efficiency under weak regularity conditions. Finally, our method allows for potentially nonstationary processes, including time-inhomogeneous dynamics.


Applied Discrete-Choice Modelling

Applied Discrete-Choice Modelling
Author: David A. Hensher
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 485
Release: 2018-04-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1351140752

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Originally published in 1981. Discrete-choice modelling is an area of econometrics where significant advances have been made at the research level. This book presents an overview of these advances, explaining the theory underlying the model, and explores its various applications. It shows how operational choice models can be used, and how they are particularly useful for a better understanding of consumer demand theory. It discusses particular problems connected with the model and its use, and reports on the authors’ own empirical research. This is a comprehensive survey of research developments in discrete choice modelling and its applications.


Maximum Simulated Likelihood Methods and Applications

Maximum Simulated Likelihood Methods and Applications
Author: William Greene
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Total Pages: 371
Release: 2010-12-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0857241508

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This collection of methodological developments and applications of simulation-based methods were presented at a workshop at Louisiana State University in November, 2009. Topics include: extensions of the GHK simulator; maximum-simulated likelihood; composite marginal likelihood; and modelling and forecasting volatility in a bayesian approach.