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Estimating Wildfire Behavior and Effects

Estimating Wildfire Behavior and Effects
Author: Frank A. Albini
Publisher:
Total Pages: 100
Release: 1976
Genre: Forest fires
ISBN:

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This paper presents a brief survey of the research literature on wildfire behavior and effects and assembles formulae and graphical computation aids based on selected theoretical and empirical models. The uses of mathematical fire behavior models are discussed, and the general capabilities and limitations of currently available models are outlined.


Estimating Wildfire Behavior and Effects

Estimating Wildfire Behavior and Effects
Author: Frank A. Albini
Publisher:
Total Pages: 92
Release: 1976
Genre: Wildfires
ISBN:

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Uses of fire behavior models. Capabilities and limitations of some available models. Some fire behavior computation aids.


Standard Fire Behavior Fuel Models

Standard Fire Behavior Fuel Models
Author: Joe H. Scott
Publisher:
Total Pages: 84
Release: 2005
Genre: Fire management
ISBN:

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This report describes a new set of standard fire behavior fuel models for use with Rothermels surface fire spread model and the relationship of the new set to the original set of 13 fire behavior fuel models. To assist with transition to using the new fuel models, a fuel model selection guide, fuel model crosswalk, and set of fuel model photos are provided.


Fire Effects Guide

Fire Effects Guide
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 282
Release: 1994
Genre: Biotic communities
ISBN:

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Estimating the Efficacy of Wildfire Management Using Propensity Scores

Estimating the Efficacy of Wildfire Management Using Propensity Scores
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

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This research examines the effect wildfire mitigation has on broad-scale wildfire behavior. Each year, hundreds of million of dollars are spent on fire suppression and fuels management applications, yet little is known, quantitatively, of the returns to these programs in terms of their impact on wildfire extent and intensity. This is especially true when considering that wildfire management influences and reacts to several, often times confounding factors, including socioeconomic characteristics, values at risk, heterogeneous landscapes, and climate. Due to the endogenous nature of suppression effort and fuels management intensity and placement with wildfire behavior, least-square models may prove inadequate. Instead, I examine the applicability of two-stage least squares, propensity score blocking, and a newly developed technique, control score blocking in modeling wildfire. This research makes several significant contributions including: (1) applying techniques developed in labor economics and in epidemiology to evaluate the effects of natural resource policies on landscapes, rather than on individuals; (2) a better understanding of the relationship between wildfire mitigation strategies and their influence on broad-scale wildfire patterns; (3) quantifying the returns to suppression and fuels management on wildfire behavior.


How to Predict the Spread and Intensity of Forest and Range Fires

How to Predict the Spread and Intensity of Forest and Range Fires
Author: Richard C. Rothermel
Publisher:
Total Pages: 168
Release: 1983
Genre: Flame spread
ISBN:

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This manual documents procedures for estimating the rate of forward spread, intensity, flame length, and size of fires burning in forests and rangelands. Contains instructions for obtaining fuel and weather data, calculating fire behavior, and interpreting the results for application to actual fire problems.


Forest Fires

Forest Fires
Author: Edward A. Johnson
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 594
Release: 2001-03-01
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0080506747

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Even before the myth of Prometheus, fire played a crucial ecological role around the world. Numerous plant communities depend on fire to generate species diversity in both time and space. Without fire such ecosystems would become sterile monocultures. Recent efforts to prohibit fire in fire dependent communities have contributed to more intense and more damaging fires. For these reasons, foresters, ecologists, land managers, geographers, and environmental scientists are interested in the behavior and ecological effects of fires. This book will be the first to focus on the chemistry and physics of fire as it relates to the ways in which fire behaves and the impacts it has on ecosystem function. Leading international contributors have been recruited by the editors to prepare a didactic text/reference that will appeal to both advanced students and practicing professionals.


Changes in Fire Weather Distributions

Changes in Fire Weather Distributions
Author: Lucy Anne Salazar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 16
Release: 1984
Genre: Fire weather
ISBN:

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Data that represent average worst fire weather for a particular area are used to index daily fire danger; however, they do not account for different locations or diurnal weather changes that significantly affect fire behavior potential. To study the effects that selected changes in weather databases have on computed fire behavior parameters, weather data for the northern Rocky Mountains were treated as probability distributions, then used in computer simulation to estimate distributions of rate-of-spread (ROS) and fireline intensity (FLI). Sensitivity of ROS and FLl to weather input changes was analyzed by varying the source and amount of weather data, and diurnally adjusting temperature and relative humidity. In eight representative cases, a minimum amount of data produced the lowest cumulative probabilities of ROS and FLl, and data from a higher elevation produced the highest values. For long-term planning, within the region studied, a small subset of weather data distributions was adequate for estimating probabilistic distributions of ROS and FLI. Joint probabilities of ROS and FLI differed substantially among test cases. Fire behavior values obtained with observed data were higher than those obtained with diurnally adjusted data. The simulation techniques used are appropriate for use in long-term fire management planning models.