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Essays on Public Investment. Private Investment and Foriegn Investments

Essays on Public Investment. Private Investment and Foriegn Investments
Author: Miesha Williams
Publisher:
Total Pages: 76
Release: 2014
Genre: Electronic dissertations
ISBN:

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Economies have three investors: public investors, private investors and the foreign investors. This dissertation examines the response of each investor to economic shocks in the United States (US). Chapter 1 employs an over-identified, structural vector auto-regression (SVAR), examining the effects of gross, fixed government investment on private sector employment, consumption, and fixed nonresidential investment. An increase in government fixed investment likely causes a decrease in private sector economic activity. Government defense investment appears as the primary non-stimulant. Specifically, a one standard deviation shock to total government investment permanently increases government investment by 2.5%, and permanently reduces private sector investment by 1% by 5 quarters later. A one standard deviation shock to government defense investment, however, increases defense investments by 5% and permanently reduces private sector employment and investment. The final chapter examines the effect of a one standard deviation shock to exchange rates, inflation and interest rates on inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) and sales of US securities abroad. We use two sets of 4-variable, over-identified SVAR's: one for FDI and one for securities. A one standard deviation shock to inflation reduces foreign direct investment inflows, but a positive shock to the interest rate reduces purchases of US securities. Shocks to FDI are independent of exchange rate shocks, securities may be indirectly affected by exchange rate shocks (although, they are directly affected by exchange rate shocks), and shocks to inflows lead to an appreciation in the dollar. Our results are stronger when we control for structural breaks in the data. Finally, our empirical model helps to explain the unusually large of FDI inflow from 1979:4 to 1982:3.


Public Investment as an Engine of Growth

Public Investment as an Engine of Growth
Author: Mr.Andrew M. Warner
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 76
Release: 2014-08-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498378277

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This paper looks at the empirical record whether big infrastructure and public capital drives have succeeded in accelerating economic growth in low-income countries. It looks at big long-lasting drives in public capital spending, as these were arguably clear and exogenous policy decisions. On average the evidence shows only a weak positive association between investment spending and growth and only in the same year, as lagged impacts are not significant. Furthermore, there is little evidence of long term positive impacts. Some individual countries may be exceptions to this general result, as for example Ethiopia in recent years, as high public investment has coincided with high GDP growth, but it is probably too early to draw definitive conclusions. The fact that the positive association is largely instantaneous argues for the importance of either reverse causality, as capital spending tends to be cut in slumps and increased in booms, or Keynesian demand effects, as spending boosts output in the short run. It argues against the importance of long term productivity effects, as these are triggered by the completed investments (which take several years) and not by the mere spending on the investments. In fact a slump in growth rather than a boom has followed many public capital drives of the past. Case studies indicate that public investment drives tend eventually to be financed by borrowing and have been plagued by poor analytics at the time investment projects were chosen, incentive problems and interest-group-infested investment choices. These observations suggest that the current public investment drives will be more likely to succeed if governments do not behave as in the past, and instead take analytical issues seriously and safeguard their decision process against interests that distort public investment decisions.


Private Investment and Economic Growth in Developing Countries

Private Investment and Economic Growth in Developing Countries
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 20
Release: 1989-07-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451965249

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Despite the growing support for market-oriented strategies, and for a greater role of private investment, empirical growth models for developing countries typically make no distinction between the private and public components of investment. This paper sheds some light on this important issue by formulating a simple growth model that separates the effects of public sector and private sector investment. This model is estimated for a cross - section sample of 24 developing countries, and the results support the notion that private investment has a larger direct effect on growth than does public investment.


Some Misconceptions about Public Investment Efficiency and Growth

Some Misconceptions about Public Investment Efficiency and Growth
Author: Mr.Andrew Berg
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2015-12-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513589970

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We reconsider the macroeconomic implications of public investment efficiency, defined as the ratio between the actual increment to public capital and the amount spent. We show that, in a simple and standard model, increases in public investment spending in inefficient countries do not have a lower impact on growth than in efficient countries, a result confirmed in a simple cross-country regression. This apparently counter-intuitive result, which contrasts with Pritchett (2000) and recent policy analyses, follows directly from the standard assumption that the marginal product of public capital declines with the capital/output ratio. The implication is that efficiency and scarcity of public capital are likely to be inversely related across countries. It follows that both efficiency and the rate of return need to be considered together in assessing the impact of increases in investment, and blanket recommendations against increased public investment spending in inefficient countries need to be reconsidered. Changes in efficiency, in contrast, have direct and potentially powerful impacts on growth: “investing in investing” through structural reforms that increase efficiency, for example, can have very high rates of return.


Essays on the Economics of Infrastructure and Public Investment

Essays on the Economics of Infrastructure and Public Investment
Author: Julia Bird
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this thesis, I provide three essays which address various issues related public investment. Firstly, in chapter one, I look at the impact of politics on the use of Public-Private Partnerships. I use a simple theoretical model to show that while international organisations and governments globally often promote Public-Private Partnerships as a means to limit pork barrel politics in infrastructure investments, this assumed advantage of Public-Private Partnerships does not in fact exist. I discuss different types of potential Public-Private Partnership contracts, and show in turn the issues with each of these contract types. In the second chapter, joint work with Margaret Leighton (TSE) I examine intergovernmental transfers in Brazil, and whether these lead to increases in local level government spending or whether they crowd-out local expenditures. I use exogenous variation in the level of transfer a municipality receives to find that as opposed to the theory of crowding-out, increased transfers actually lead to crowding in; the local government increases tax revenues following an increase in transfers, and in turn raises spending, particularly capital spending. This effect varies according to the wealth of the municipality, with poorer municipalities increasing particularly their social spending, however it notably does not vary according to the political power of the local municipal government. I also observe that increased local spending through transfers has direct effects on local outcomes, indicating that money received through this channel is not lost to inefficiencies in spending. This is documented in educational spending and resultant outcomes. Finally in chapter three, leaving the political decisions involved in infrastructure provision aside, I examine the outcomes of such investment. In joint work with Stéphane Straub (TSE), we use a natural experiment, the building of a new capital in Brazil, Brasília, and the subsequent construction of radial highways to connect it to pre-existing important towns, to show that the building of highways has substantial impacts on GDP and populations. These effects are heterogeneous, and in Brazil the effects vary according to whether the newly connected municipality connects to an industrialised, richer, well-serviced city, or a poorer, less developed city. In the North, new highway connections lead to increased GDP and populations for municipalities near the highway, as these areas gain access to wider markets and become secondary centres of economic activity. In theSouth, however, for municipalities within a few hundred kilometres of their state capital, a new highway connection leads to reduced GDP and population, as economic activity appears to shift towards the major pre-existing agglomerations. These centres are large and developed enough to have substantial economic activity and widespread provision of local services.


Foreign Investment in the Energy Sector

Foreign Investment in the Energy Sector
Author: Eric De Brabandere
Publisher: Martinus Nijhoff Publishers
Total Pages: 312
Release: 2014-06-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9004244719

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Foreign investments in the energy sector raise formidable legal questions, often requiring a delicate balance between private and public interests of the various stakeholders. Foreign Investment in the Energy Sector: Balancing Private and Public Interests opens with a discussion of the legal protection of foreign investment in the main segments of the energy sector (namely oil, gas, mining and hydroelectric industry), both in substantive and procedural terms. This second part of the book focuses on the Energy Charter Treaty, by far the most important international legal instrument in the energy sector, and its future after the decision of the Russian Federation not to ratify it. In its third part, the book examines four critical areas that are often negatively concerned by economic activities by multinational in the energy sector, namely compliance with safety and labour standards, protection of the environment, respect of indigenous peoples rights, and protection of public health. Foreign Investment in the Energy Sector: Balancing Private and Public Interests, a comprehensive collection of essays from experts and practitioners, offers an important new resource to the field.


The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment

The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment
Author: Mr.Abdul Abiad
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2015-05-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484361555

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This paper provides new evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in advanced economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify the causal effect of government investment in a sample of 17 OECD economies since 1985 and model simulations, the paper finds that increased public investment raises output, both in the short term and in the long term, crowds in private investment, and reduces unemployment. Several factors shape the macroeconomic effects of public investment. When there is economic slack and monetary accommodation, demand effects are stronger, and the public-debt-to-GDP ratio may actually decline. Public investment is also more effective in boosting output in countries with higher public investment efficiency and when it is financed by issuing debt.


Can Government Demand Stimulate Private Investment? Evidence from U.S. Federal Procurement

Can Government Demand Stimulate Private Investment? Evidence from U.S. Federal Procurement
Author: Shafik Hebous
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 33
Release: 2016-03-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513578723

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We study the effects of federal purchases on firms’ investment using a novel panel dataset that combines federal procurement contracts in the United States with key financial firm-level information. We find that 1 dollar of federal spending increases firms’ capital investment by 7 to 11 cents. The average effect masks heterogeneity: Effects are stronger for firms that face financing constraints and they are close to 0 for unconstrained firms. In line with the financial accelerator model, our findings indicate that the effect of government purchases works through easing firms’ access to external borrowing. Furthermore, industry-level analysis suggests that that the increase in investment at the firm level translates into an industry-wide effect without crowding-out capital investment of other firms in the same industry.