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Essays on Information Diffusion and Stock Markets

Essays on Information Diffusion and Stock Markets
Author: Aaron Paul Burt
Publisher:
Total Pages: 153
Release: 2017
Genre: Stock exchanges
ISBN:

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My dissertation is a compilation of three separate research studies that explore how information diffuses in financial markets. The first chapter examines how non-uniform information diffusion through distinct networks segments U.S. financial markets. Using changes in newspaper ownership networks, I document that a network link between different geographic areas leads to increased comovement of turnover and returns between stocks headquartered in those areas. Consistent with delayed content sharing within a network, the largest increase in comovement is observed using weekly data. I show that the network-driven comovement is not driven by fundamentals and is weaker for large firms with high institutional ownership and decreases over time. I also document that a network link causes price levels of linked stocks to become more similar. My findings show that segmented information networks lead to segmented financial markets with implications for market efficiency, home bias, and the effects of changes in the U.S. media landscape on financial markets. The second chapter shows that investors do not fully monitor the information about directors available in the past prices of firms within the network the directors oversee. A long-short portfolio using this information yields an annual alpha of 6.6%. This predictability is limited to when firms share a director and is not driven by industry or previously identified economic links between firms. The predictability is largest in the long end, when small firms predict big firms, and when information on shared directors is costlier to obtain. Trading by the shared directors is a key mechanism: filtering on their trades increases the annual alpha to 15%. The third chapter studies the econometric properties of a commonly used network-based measure of information diffusion between economically linked firms. Previous studies use this measure to document failures of market efficiency with price discovery requiring up to a year. The measure is constructed as the long-short alpha of portfolios formed sorting on the preceding returns of firms economically linked to portfolio firms. We show that correlated alphas between linked firms bias these measures. Existing studies have monthly biases as large as a factor of two. This bias creates predictability even after price discovery completes. Subtracting the predicted return from the sorting firms' returns removes this bias. Eliminating this bias reveals a more efficient market than previously documented: price discovery takes one month.


Three Essays on Capital Market with Incomplete and Asymmetric Information

Three Essays on Capital Market with Incomplete and Asymmetric Information
Author: Chaoli Guo
Publisher: Open Dissertation Press
Total Pages:
Release: 2017-01-26
Genre:
ISBN: 9781361276532

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This dissertation, "Three Essays on Capital Market With Incomplete and Asymmetric Information" by Chaoli, Guo, 郭朝莉, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: This thesis includes one essay on incomplete information and two essays on the capital market implications of asymmetric information. The acquisition of information and its dissemination to all economic units are central activities in capital markets. Limits to information diffusion may exist when market participants have limited processing ability or when market structure causes information asymmetry to persist. Merton (1987) proposes a simple capital market equilibrium model with incomplete information, in which difference in a stock's investor recognition affects its cost of capital. Myers and Majluf (1984) lay out the theoretical foundation for the role of asymmetric information in corporate finance and its capital market implications. The first essay tests and offers support to Merton's (1987) theory. In the U.S. market, using the breadth of ownership among retail investors as a proxy for investor recognition, I show that a long-short portfolio based on the annual change of shareholder base earns a compounded annual abnormal return of 6.42% after controlling for the Fama-French three factors. These results are more pronounced among young, low visibility and high idiosyncratic volatility stocks. Moreover, I present evidence that the investor recognition effect can explain approximately 20% of the puzzling net equity issuance effect documented by Pontiff and Woodgate (2008). The second essay suggests a novel signaling mechanism in the framework of asymmetric information. When a firm's convertible debt is issued, it is not only determined by the fundamentals of the firm such as past stock performance, but also related to whether this performance is realized during the tenure of current CEO who decides the issues. I define the performance that the current CEO achieves in the firm ever since the CEO comes to the helm as CEO-specific performance. Higher CEOspecific performance leads to (1) a higher probability of convertible issues, and (2) a less negative abnormal stock return in response to the convertible issue announcement, controlling for other firm characteristics. These evidences indicate that CEO-specific performance serves as a credible information signal to influence the adverse selection costs between the firm and outside investors in convertible bond financing. The third essay explores the possibility of asymmetric information in explaining the pronounced share issue anomaly in the cross-sectional variations of stock returns, as documented by Pontiff and Woodgate (2008). A lot of equity share issue and repurchase actions are actively determined by the decision of corporate stakeholders, such as employees at the stock options exercises. As these stakeholders hold a large amount of private information about the firm, it is in their optimal decisions to try to time the exercise of their share purchase activity, but outside investors are likely to fail to interpret the information revealed from these actions. I present strong evidence that a negative relation between share issues and stock returns is affected to a greater extent when the information asymmetry problem is more severe. DOI: 10.5353/


Essays on Information Transmission in Firm Networks and Financial Market Implications

Essays on Information Transmission in Firm Networks and Financial Market Implications
Author: Christoph Maximilian Schiller
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

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This thesis consists of three chapters on firm-level production networks, information production and dissemination, and their impact on corporate policies and investment decisions. Chapter 1 provides an introduction of the essays and summarizes their main findings. Chapter 2 examines the role of international supply-chain relationships for the transmission of corporate Environmental and Social (E) policies, and the resulting impact on real E outcomes and firm performance. E policies propagate from customers to suppliers, especially when customers have higher bargaining power and suppliers are in countries with lower ESG standards. This transmission mechanism matters: suppliers subsequently reduce their toxic emissions, litigation and reputation risk decreases, and financial performance improves. Chapter 3 develops a measure for the speed of information diffusion along supply-chains and documents a causal relationship between the attention of key market participants, i.e. dual-covering analysts and cross-holding institutional investors, and the speed measure. The speed of information diffusion plays an important role for feedback effects from stock prices to corporate investments: supplier managers rely more on information in customer (supplier) stock prices when the speed of information diffusion along the supply chain is slower (faster). Consequently, the diffusion speed affects the coordination of relationship-specific investments between customers and suppliers and future operating performance of suppliers. Chapter 4 shows that international supply-chain links are an important channel for the propagation of financial contagion around the world. Following large country-level shocks, such as market-index jumps or natural disasters, dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) between U.S. suppliers and their foreign customers increases significantly, beyond country-level and industry effects. Consistent with a credit-chain mechanism, the effect is asymmetric for positive and negative shocks, more pronounced for supply-chain pairs with a closer relationship, higher leverage, lower cash holdings and firm profitability, and increases with the costs of bankruptcy resolution in the customers countries.


Information Diffusion Across Financial Markets

Information Diffusion Across Financial Markets
Author: Liang Ding
Publisher:
Total Pages: 101
Release: 2010
Genre: Financial crises
ISBN:

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Financial markets demonstrate a large degree of comovement. Such comovement is important for a variety of investment and risk management decisions. This research is motivated by 2007-2008 financial turmoil. During the turmoil period, the markets co-move locally and globally, making it difficult for investors to hedge the risk. Although the cross market linkage is a topic of ongoing interest to researchers and practitioners, it seems that we are still in the preliminary stage to fully understand the cross market linkages, and even far away to prevent the crisis transmitting across markets. This dissertation attempts to answer two main questions, what are the major channels that link financial markets, and how those channels change in different periods. In this study, we examine two empirical tests on domestic markets and international markets linkage respectively. The first test focuses on the financial markets within U.S, and treats the stock, bond, CDS, stock option markets as a closely connected network. From 2004-2009, our tests find no evidence that static cross-market linkage becomes stronger in the crisis period than in the normal period. In terms of dynamic linkage, we find the information flow pattern become stronger in the crisis period. And we identify the role of volatility and liquidity in the financial network. The second test focuses on the international markets linkage using the derivatives market information. We use a family of volatility indexes from 1999-2009, including VIX, VSTOXX, VDAXNEW, VXJ, and VSMI, to filter the information diffusion through other channels. Therefore, the tests contribute a unique perspective to find out how the investors expect the interaction of the near-term volatility across U.S. and international markets. Our tests provide evidence that the linkages across corresponding markets are stable in the past decade. And we also find U.S. market plays a stronger role in a two way information flow structure with other markets through volatility linkage. The dissertation contributes a comprehensive research on the financial network linkage. The results obtained in this dissertation will improve our understanding of information diffusion process across financial markets and are expected to fill significant gaps in the current literature.