Engineering Forecasting Mythology
Author | : Mpaka Princewill |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2000-01-01 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9780738811543 |
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Author | : Mpaka Princewill |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2000-01-01 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9780738811543 |
Author | : National Research Council |
Publisher | : National Academies Press |
Total Pages | : 137 |
Release | : 2010-01-15 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 0309150337 |
Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.
Author | : Anton Panda |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 110 |
Release | : 2021-03-05 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 3030653285 |
This book presents a methodology for forecasting events and phenomena occurring in technology and natural environments. The methodology is based on forecasting the individual state of the control object, which is carried out based on the analysis of the trend behavior of the controlled parameter (symptom of the disease). The methodology helps determining the time of the onset of a destructive earthquake, its strength and the coordinates of the epicentre, predicting the time of the descent of glaciers and landslides long before the event. In medicine, the methodology predicts the severity of a disease and forecast of its aggravation.
Author | : Chaman L. Jain |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 5 |
Release | : 1990 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Michael Gilliland |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 291 |
Release | : 2010-05-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0470769653 |
Practical-nontechnical-solutions to the problems of business forecasting Written in a nontechnical style, this book provides practical solutions to common business forecasting problems, showing you how to think about business forecasting in the context of uncertainty, randomness and process performance. Addresses the philosophical foundations of forecasting Raises awareness of fundamental issues usually overlooked in pursuit of the perfect forecast Introduces a new way to think about business forecasting, focusing on process efficiency and the elimination of worst practices Provides practical approaches for the non-statistical problems forecasters face Illustrates Forecast Value Added (FVA) Analysis for identifying waste in the forecasting process Couched in the context of uncertainty, randomness, and process performance, this book offers new, innovative ideas for resolving your business forecasting problems.
Author | : John H. Relethford |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 301 |
Release | : 2017-01-17 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 0470673915 |
50 Great Myths of Human Evolution uses common misconceptions to explore basic theory and research in human evolution and strengthen critical thinking skills for lay readers and students. Examines intriguing—yet widely misunderstood—topics, from general ideas about evolution and human origins to the evolution of modern humans and recent trends in the field Describes what fossils, archaeology, and genetics can tell us about human origins Demonstrates the ways in which science adapts and changes over time to incorporate new evidence and better explanations Includes myths such as “Humans lived at the same time as dinosaurs;” “Lucy was so small because she was a child;” “Our ancestors have always made fire;” and “There is a strong relationship between brain size and intelligence” Comprised of stand-alone essays that are perfect for casual reading, as well as footnotes and references that allow readers to delve more deeply into topics
Author | : James Rieser Bright |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 520 |
Release | : 1968 |
Genre | : Technological forecasting |
ISBN | : |
Composite work on forecasting methodology in respect of technological change and Innovation - covers trend extrapolation and correlation analysis, operational research applications, simulation techniques, etc., for programme planning by government and management. Bibliography pp. 451 to 474, diagrams and references.
Author | : Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 240 |
Release | : 1973 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : |
Author | : John Heywood |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 141 |
Release | : 2022-06-01 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 3031037626 |
The intention of this book is to demonstrate that curriculum design is a profoundly philosophical exercise that stems from perceptions of the mission of higher education. Since the curriculum is the formal mechanism through which intended aims are achieved, philosophy has a profound role to play in the determination of aims. It is argued that the curriculum is far more than a list of subjects and syllabi, or that it is the addition, and subtraction, of items from a syllabus, or whether this subject should be added and that subject taken away. This book explores how curricular aims and objectives are developed by re-examining the curriculum of higher education and how it is structured in the light of its increasing costs, rapidly changing technology, and the utilitarian philosophy that currently governs the direction of higher education. It is concluded that higher education should be a preparation for and continuing support for life and work, a consequence of which is that it has to equip graduates with skill in independent learning (and its planning), and reflective practice. A transdisciplinary curriculum with technology at its core is deduced that serves the four realities of the person, the job, technology, and society.
Author | : Samuel H. Huang |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 232 |
Release | : 2013-06-11 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1466568941 |
Originally taught mainly in business schools, supply chain management has become a common elective and graduate course in engineering colleges. The increasing demand for engineers with supply chain knowledge has fed this shift. However, supply chain management textbooks that have a reasonable coverage of quantitative analysis techniques are few and