Energy And Sustainable Development In Mexico PDF Download

This thesis develops two future scenarios for the possible development of the energy sector within México in order to achieve sustainability. Despite the fact that sustainability encompasses too many dimensions within the possible lines of development, in this study is assumed as a state where society's actions do not compromise the needs of future generations. To be more specific, it focuses on energy consumption as way to achieve it. The rationale behind this study lies under the potential impacts that climate change may enhance for future society's development; which has been mostly driven by an increase in GHG atmospheric concentrations as a result of human activities throughout the last years. Of such activities, energy use is considered to be the major contributor to such increase by the burning of fossil fuels. On the other hand, energy has also been perceived as a key element in society's development by enhancing quality of life. México is no exception in such trends; whereas its energy sector is compromised in its majority by fossil fuels. Thus, if sustainability is to be achieved in the long term, actions must start as soon as possible. Hence that the overall aim of this study is to stimulate decision-makers and society in general to take insight into what changes may be required to achieve sustainability within the Mexican energy sector. For this, an 85%-50% reduction in CO2eq emissions from the overall energy sector in México by the year 2050 from the 2000 levels is proposed. Thence two future scenarios are created, the Business As Usual (BAU), which pictures what may happen if we continue to develop under current trends, and; one normative scenario done by a backcasting approach, which envisions a sustainable energy sector throughout the previously stated aim in order to introduce a set of possible strategies on how to attain it.