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Emergence of "Regular" and "Predictable" as a Treasury Debt Management Strategy

Emergence of
Author: Kenneth D. Garbade
Publisher:
Total Pages: 19
Release: 2007-08
Genre:
ISBN: 9781422315293

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During the 1970s, U.S. Treasury (UST) officials revised the framework within which they selected the maturities of new notes & bonds. Previously, they chose maturities on an offering-by-offering basis. By 1982, the UST had ceased these ¿tactical¿ sales & was selling notes & bonds on a ¿regular & predictable¿ schedule. This article describes that key change in the TST¿s debt mgmt. strategy. In 1975, UST officials financed an unusually rapid expansion of the fed. deficit with a flurry of tactical offerings. Because the timing & maturities of the offerings followed no predictable pattern, the sales sometimes took investors by surprise, disrupting the market. These events led UST officials to embrace a program of regular & predictable issuance. Tables.


The Effect of 'Regular and Predictable' Issuance on Treasury Bill Financing

The Effect of 'Regular and Predictable' Issuance on Treasury Bill Financing
Author: Paul Glasserman
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

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The mission of Treasury debt management is to meet the financing needs of the federal government at the lowest cost over time. To achieve this objective, the U.S. Treasury Department follows a principle of “regular and predictable” issuance of Treasury securities. But how effective is such an approach in achieving least-cost financing of the government's debt? This article explores this question by estimating the difference in financing costs between a pure cost-minimization strategy for setting the size of Treasury bill auctions and strategies that focus instead on “smoothness” considerations--interpreted here as various forms of the regular and predictable principle. Using a mathematical optimization framework to analyze the alternative strategies, the authors find that the additional cost of including smoothness considerations, expressed as the increase in average auction yield over the cost-minimization strategy, is likely less than one basis point. The cost gap narrows further when the flexibility to use a limited number of cash management bills is added.


Debt Management

Debt Management
Author: Goverment Accountability Office
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2013-08-09
Genre:
ISBN: 9781492124870

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To achieve its primary debt management objective of financing the federal government's borrowing needs at the lowest cost over time, Treasury issues debt through a regular and predictable schedule of auctions across a wide range of securities. Treasury marketable securities consist of bills that mature in a year or less, notes with original maturities of more than 1 to not over 10 years, and bonds with original maturities of more than 10 years.2 Treasury seeks to appeal to a broad range of investors and to provide the market with a high degree of stability in the amount issued of each security, particularly for longer-term securities.3 Financing across the yield curve (that is, issuing short-, medium-, and long-term debt) appeals to the broadest range of investors, mitigates refunding and market rate risks, and provides the market with a pricing mechanism for setting interest rates. These all contribute to overall market liquidity and promotion of efficient capital markets. In a liquid market, trading can be completed at will and the offer and purchase prices differ only slightly. Liquidity is important to Treasury because liquid securities can be auctioned at lower rates and thus minimizes Treasury borrowing costs.


Birth of a Market

Birth of a Market
Author: Kenneth D. Garbade
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 407
Release: 2012
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262016370

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The evolution of "a marvel of modern finance," the market for U.S. Treasury securities, from 1917 to 1939. The market for U.S. Treasury securities is a marvel of modern finance. In 2009 the Treasury auctioned $8.2 trillion of new securities, ranging from 4-day bills to 30-year bonds, in 283 offerings on 171 different days. By contrast, in the decade before World War I, there was only about $1 billion of interest-bearing Treasury debt outstanding, spread out over just six issues. New offerings were rare, and the debt was narrowly held, most of it owned by national banks. In Birth of a Market, Kenneth Garbade traces the development of the Treasury market from a financial backwater in the years before World War I to a multibillion dollar market on the eve of World War II. Garbade focuses on Treasury debt management policies, describing the origins of several pillars of modern Treasury practice, including "regular and predictable" auction offerings and the integration of debt and cash management. He recounts the actions of Secretaries of the Treasury, from William McAdoo in the Wilson administration to Henry Morgenthau in the Roosevelt administration, and their responses to economic conditions. Garbade's account covers the Treasury market in the two decades before World War I, how the Treasury financed the Great War, how it managed the postwar refinancing and paydowns, and how it financed the chronic deficits of the Great Depression. He concludes with an examination of aspects of modern Treasury debt management that grew out of developments from 1917 to 1939.


Debt Limit

Debt Limit
Author: Susan J. Irving
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Total Pages: 52
Release: 2011-04
Genre: Reference
ISBN: 1437982166

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Since 1995, the statutory debt limit has been increased 12 times to its current level of $14.294 trillion. The Dept. of the Treasury (DoT) notified Congress that the current debt limit could be reached as early as April 5, 2011. Under current law debt subject to the limit will exceed $25 trillion in 2021. This report: (1) describes the actions that DoT traditionally takes to manage debt near the limit; (2) analyzes the effects that approaching the debt limit has had on the market for DoT securities; and (3) describes alternative mechanisms that would permit consideration of the link between policy decisions and the effect on debt when or before decisions are made. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand edition of an important, hard-to-find report.


Techniques of Treasury Debt Management

Techniques of Treasury Debt Management
Author: Tilford C. Gaines
Publisher: Free Press
Total Pages: 342
Release: 1962
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended

Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2003-09-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 149832892X

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A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks

A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks
Author: Thordur Jonasson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 133
Release: 2018-04-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484350545

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This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and attain desired portfolio structures. Also, the paper outlines how LMOs could be integrated into a debt management strategy and serve as policy tools to reduce potential debt portfolio vulnerabilities. Further, the paper presents operational issues faced by debt managers, including the need to develop a risk management framework, interactions of debt management with fiscal policy, monetary policy, and financial stability, as well as efficient government bond markets.


Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets

Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 157
Release: 2021-03-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513573926

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This guidance note was prepared by International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Group staff under a project undertaken with the support of grants from the Financial Sector Reform and Strengthening Initiative, (FIRST).The aim of the project was to deliver a report that provides emerging market and developing economies with guidance and a roadmap in developing their local currency bond markets (LCBMs). This note will also inform technical assistance missions in advising authorities on the formulation of policies to deepen LCBMs.


Revised Guidelines for Public Debt Management

Revised Guidelines for Public Debt Management
Author: International Monetary Fund,
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2015-03-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498330665

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The Revised Guidelines for Public Debt Management have been developed as part of a broader work program undertaken by the IMF and the World Bank to strengthen the international financial architecture, promote policies and practices that contribute to financial stability and transparency, and reduce countries external vulnerabilities.