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Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes

Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes
Author: Heinz Eulau
Publisher: Algora Publishing
Total Pages: 260
Release: 2007
Genre: History
ISBN: 0875862721

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Does economics influence elections? How does such influence work? Under what conditions is it more or less likely to occur? Free, popular elections matter, and they make a difference precisely because, at periodic intervals, they set the limits or constraints within which the interests of business and the interests of the people pursue their political goals. These are the basic ideas addressed in the chapters of this volume. "This fine collection of papers dealing with the effects of economic variables on electoral behaviour and electoral outcomes . . . will be of particular interest to specialists in the study of elections, but will also be valuable to students of political economy and comparative politics more generally . . ." - Canadian Journal of Politics


The Economy and the Vote

The Economy and the Vote
Author: Wouter van der Brug
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 11
Release: 2007-04-30
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1139464221

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Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take account of electoral competition between parties. A research strategy to correct this problem is designed and applied to investigate effects of economic conditions on (individual) voter choices and (aggregate) election outcomes over 42 elections in 15 countries. It shows that economic conditions exert small effects on individual party preferences, which can have large consequences for election outcomes. In countries where responsibility for economic policy is clear, voters vote retrospectively and reward or punish incumbent parties - although in coalition systems smaller government parties often gain at the expense of the largest party when economic conditions deteriorate. Where clarity of responsibility for economic policy is less clear, voters vote more prospectively on the basis of expected party policies.


The Economic Vote

The Economic Vote
Author: Raymond M. Duch
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 359
Release: 2008-03-17
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1139470620

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This book proposes a selection model for explaining cross-national variation in economic voting: Rational voters condition the economic vote on whether incumbents are responsible for economic outcomes, because this is the optimal way to identify and elect competent economic managers under conditions of uncertainty. This model explores how political and economic institutions alter the quality of the signal that the previous economy provides about the competence of candidates. The rational economic voter is also attentive to strategic cues regarding the responsibility of parties for economic outcomes and their electoral competitiveness. Theoretical propositions are derived, linking variation in economic and political institutions to variability in economic voting. The authors demonstrate that there is economic voting, and that it varies significantly across political contexts. The data consist of 165 election studies conducted in 19 different countries over a 20-year time period.


The Economy and the Vote

The Economy and the Vote
Author: Wouter van der Brug
Publisher:
Total Pages: 234
Release: 2007
Genre: Elections
ISBN: 9780511278846

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This book estimates he effects of economic conditions on the behaviour of individual voters and on election outcomes.


Economic Voting

Economic Voting
Author: Han Dorussen
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 342
Release: 2003-09-02
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 113452370X

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Economic voting is a phenomenon that political scientists and economists can hardly overlook. There is ample evidence for a strong link between economic conditions and government popularity. However, not everything is that simple and this edited collection focuses on 'the comparative puzzle' of economic voting. Economic Voting emphasises the importance of comparative research design and argues that the psychology of the economic voter model needs to be developed further.


The Economic Vote

The Economic Vote
Author: Duch Raymond M Stevenson Randolph T
Publisher:
Total Pages: 418
Release: 2014-05-14
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9780511388231

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Defining and measuring the economic vote -- Patterns of retrospective economic voting in western democracies -- Estimation, measurement and specification -- Competency signals and rational retrospective economic voting -- What do voters know about economic variation and its sources? -- Political control of the economy -- Responsibility, contention, and the economic vote -- The distribution of responsibility and economic vote -- The pattern of contention and the economic vote.


The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour

The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour
Author: Kai Arzheimer
Publisher: SAGE
Total Pages: 1358
Release: 2016-09-15
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 147395925X

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The study of voting behaviour remains a vibrant sub-discipline of political science. The Handbook of Electoral Behaviour is an authoritative and wide ranging survey of this dynamic field, drawing together a team of the world′s leading scholars to provide a state-of-the-art review that sets the agenda for future study. Taking an interdisciplinary approach and focusing on a range of countries, the handbook is composed of eight parts. The first five cover the principal theoretical paradigms, establishing the state of the art in their conceptualisation and application, and followed by chapters on their specific challenges and innovative applications in contemporary voting studies. The remaining three parts explore elements of the voting process to understand their different effects on vote outcomes. The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour is an essential benchmark publication for advanced students, researchers and practitioners in the fields of politics, sociology, psychology and research methods.


Political Control of the Economy

Political Control of the Economy
Author: Edward R. Tufte
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 188
Release: 2020-10-06
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0691219419

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Speculations about the effects of politics on economic life have a long and vital tradition, but few efforts have been made to determine the precise relationship between them. Edward Tufte, a political scientist who covered the 1976 Presidential election for Newsweek, seeks to do just that. His sharp analyses and astute observations lead to an eye-opening view of the impact of political life on the national economy of America and other capitalist democracies. The analysis demonstrates how politicians, political parties, and voters decide who gets what, when, and how in the economic arena. A nation's politics, it is argued, shape the most important aspects of economic life--inflation, unemployment, income redistribution, the growth of government, and the extent of central economic control. Both statistical data and case studies (based on interviews and Presidential documents) are brought to bear on four topics. They are: 1) the political manipulation of the economy in election years, 2) the new international electoral-economic cycle, 3) the decisive role of political leaders and parties in shaping macroeconomic outcomes, and 4) the response of the electorate to changing economic conditions. Finally, the book clarifies a central question in political economy: How can national economic policy be conducted in both a democratic and a competent fashion?


Mass Politics in Tough Times

Mass Politics in Tough Times
Author: Nancy Bermeo
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Total Pages: 402
Release: 2014
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 019935751X

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In Mass Politics in Tough Times, the eminent political scientists Larry Bartels and Nancy Bermeo have gathered a group of leading scholars to analyze the political responses to the Great Recession in the US, Western Europe, and East-Central Europe.


Economics and Elections

Economics and Elections
Author: Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Total Pages: 204
Release: 1990
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780472081332

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A cross-national study of the effect of economic conditions on voting behavior in the United States and the Western democracies