Dynamic Population Models PDF Download
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| Author | : Robert Schoen |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 254 |
| Release | : 2007-05-05 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 1402052308 |
Download Dynamic Population Models Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Dynamic Population Models is the first book to comprehensively discuss and synthesize the emerging field of dynamic modeling. Incorporating the latest research, it includes thorough discussions of population growth and momentum under gradual fertility declines, the impact of changes in the timing of events on fertility measures, and the complex relationship between period and cohort measures. The book is designed to be accessible to those with only a minimal knowledge of calculus.
| Author | : K. B. Newman |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 223 |
| Release | : 2014-07-16 |
| Genre | : Medical |
| ISBN | : 1493909770 |
Download Modelling Population Dynamics Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book gives a unifying framework for estimating the abundance of open populations: populations subject to births, deaths and movement, given imperfect measurements or samples of the populations. The focus is primarily on populations of vertebrates for which dynamics are typically modelled within the framework of an annual cycle, and for which stochastic variability in the demographic processes is usually modest. Discrete-time models are developed in which animals can be assigned to discrete states such as age class, gender, maturity, population (within a metapopulation), or species (for multi-species models). The book goes well beyond estimation of abundance, allowing inference on underlying population processes such as birth or recruitment, survival and movement. This requires the formulation and fitting of population dynamics models. The resulting fitted models yield both estimates of abundance and estimates of parameters characterizing the underlying processes.
| Author | : T. Royama |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 384 |
| Release | : 2012-12-06 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 9401129169 |
Download Analytical Population Dynamics Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A knowledge of animal population dynamics is essential for the proper management of natural resources and the environment. This book, now available in paperback, develops basic concepts and a rigorous methodology for the analysis of animal population dynamics to identify the underlying mechanisms.
| Author | : Mimmo Iannelli |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 350 |
| Release | : 2017-08-27 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 9402411461 |
Download The Basic Approach to Age-Structured Population Dynamics Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book provides an introduction to age-structured population modeling which emphasizes the connection between mathematical theory and underlying biological assumptions. Through the rigorous development of the linear theory and the nonlinear theory alongside numerics, the authors explore classical equations that describe the dynamics of certain ecological systems. Modeling aspects are discussed to show how relevant problems in the fields of demography, ecology and epidemiology can be formulated and treated within the theory. In particular, the book presents extensions of age-structured modeling to the spread of diseases and epidemics while also addressing the issue of regularity of solutions, the asymptotic behavior of solutions, and numerical approximation. With sections on transmission models, non-autonomous models and global dynamics, this book fills a gap in the literature on theoretical population dynamics. The Basic Approach to Age-Structured Population Dynamics will appeal to graduate students and researchers in mathematical biology, epidemiology and demography who are interested in the systematic presentation of relevant models and mathematical methods.
| Author | : Shripad Tuljapurkar |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 148 |
| Release | : 2013-04-17 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 3642516521 |
Download Population Dynamics in Variable Environments Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Demography relates observable facts about individuals to the dynamics of populations. If the dynamics are linear and do not change over time, the classical theory of Lotka (1907) and Leslie (1945) is the central tool of demography. This book addresses the situation when the assumption of constancy is dropped. In many practical situations, a population will display unpredictable variation over time in its vital rates, which must then be described in statistical terms. Most of this book is concerned with the theory of populations which are subject to random temporal changes in their vital rates, although other kinds of variation (e. g. , cyclical) are also dealt with. The central questions are: how does temporal variation work its way into a population's future, and how does it affect our interpretation of a population's past. The results here are directed at demographers of humans and at popula tion biologists. The uneven mathematical level is dictated by the material, but the book should be accessible to readers interested in population the ory. (Readers looking for background or prerequisites will find much of it in Hal Caswell's Matrix population models: construction, analysis, and in terpretation (Sinauer 1989) ). This book is in essence a progress report and is deliberately brief; I hope that it is not mystifying. I have not attempted to be complete about either the history or the subject, although most sig nificant results and methods are presented.
| Author | : Nicolas Bacaër |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 160 |
| Release | : 2011-02-01 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 0857291157 |
Download A Short History of Mathematical Population Dynamics Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
As Eugene Wigner stressed, mathematics has proven unreasonably effective in the physical sciences and their technological applications. The role of mathematics in the biological, medical and social sciences has been much more modest but has recently grown thanks to the simulation capacity offered by modern computers. This book traces the history of population dynamics---a theoretical subject closely connected to genetics, ecology, epidemiology and demography---where mathematics has brought significant insights. It presents an overview of the genesis of several important themes: exponential growth, from Euler and Malthus to the Chinese one-child policy; the development of stochastic models, from Mendel's laws and the question of extinction of family names to percolation theory for the spread of epidemics, and chaotic populations, where determinism and randomness intertwine. The reader of this book will see, from a different perspective, the problems that scientists face when governments ask for reliable predictions to help control epidemics (AIDS, SARS, swine flu), manage renewable resources (fishing quotas, spread of genetically modified organisms) or anticipate demographic evolutions such as aging.
| Author | : National Research Council |
| Publisher | : National Academies Press |
| Total Pages | : 399 |
| Release | : 2013-10-04 |
| Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
| ISBN | : 0309264944 |
Download Using Science to Improve the BLM Wild Horse and Burro Program Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Using Science to Improve the BLM Wild Horse and Burro Program: A Way Forward reviews the science that underpins the Bureau of Land Management's oversight of free-ranging horses and burros on federal public lands in the western United States, concluding that constructive changes could be implemented. The Wild Horse and Burro Program has not used scientifically rigorous methods to estimate the population sizes of horses and burros, to model the effects of management actions on the animals, or to assess the availability and use of forage on rangelands. Evidence suggests that horse populations are growing by 15 to 20 percent each year, a level that is unsustainable for maintaining healthy horse populations as well as healthy ecosystems. Promising fertility-control methods are available to help limit this population growth, however. In addition, science-based methods exist for improving population estimates, predicting the effects of management practices in order to maintain genetically diverse, healthy populations, and estimating the productivity of rangelands. Greater transparency in how science-based methods are used to inform management decisions may help increase public confidence in the Wild Horse and Burro Program.
| Author | : Mimmo Iannelli |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 346 |
| Release | : 2015-01-23 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 3319030264 |
Download An Introduction to Mathematical Population Dynamics Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book is an introduction to mathematical biology for students with no experience in biology, but who have some mathematical background. The work is focused on population dynamics and ecology, following a tradition that goes back to Lotka and Volterra, and includes a part devoted to the spread of infectious diseases, a field where mathematical modeling is extremely popular. These themes are used as the area where to understand different types of mathematical modeling and the possible meaning of qualitative agreement of modeling with data. The book also includes a collections of problems designed to approach more advanced questions. This material has been used in the courses at the University of Trento, directed at students in their fourth year of studies in Mathematics. It can also be used as a reference as it provides up-to-date developments in several areas.
| Author | : Peter Turchin |
| Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
| Total Pages | : 471 |
| Release | : 2013-02-15 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 1400847281 |
Download Complex Population Dynamics Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Why do organisms become extremely abundant one year and then seem to disappear a few years later? Why do population outbreaks in particular species happen more or less regularly in certain locations, but only irregularly (or never at all) in other locations? Complex population dynamics have fascinated biologists for decades. By bringing together mathematical models, statistical analyses, and field experiments, this book offers a comprehensive new synthesis of the theory of population oscillations. Peter Turchin first reviews the conceptual tools that ecologists use to investigate population oscillations, introducing population modeling and the statistical analysis of time series data. He then provides an in-depth discussion of several case studies--including the larch budmoth, southern pine beetle, red grouse, voles and lemmings, snowshoe hare, and ungulates--to develop a new analysis of the mechanisms that drive population oscillations in nature. Through such work, the author argues, ecologists can develop general laws of population dynamics that will help turn ecology into a truly quantitative and predictive science. Complex Population Dynamics integrates theoretical and empirical studies into a major new synthesis of current knowledge about population dynamics. It is also a pioneering work that sets the course for ecology's future as a predictive science.
| Author | : Louis W. Botsford |
| Publisher | : Oxford University Press, USA |
| Total Pages | : 353 |
| Release | : 2019-10 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 0198758367 |
Download Population Dynamics for Conservation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book outlines concepts such as population variability, population stability, population viability and persistance, and harvest yield. Also addressed are specific applications to conservation such as managing species at risk, fishery management, and the spatial manageement of marine resources.--Adapted from back cover.
