Dynamic Linkages And Volatility Spillover PDF Download
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Author | : Bhaskar Bagchi |
Publisher | : Emerald Group Publishing |
Total Pages | : 224 |
Release | : 2016-11-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1786355531 |
Download Dynamic Linkages and Volatility Spillover Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book examines the dynamic relationship and volatility spillovers between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of emerging economies. Unfortunately very little research has been conducted to analyze the volatility spillovers and dynamic relationship between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of India.
Author | : Carol Joseph Ayat |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 126 |
Release | : 2006 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Dynamic Linkages and Spillover Effects in the Gulf's Equity Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In the volatile world of stock exchanges, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) sta tes have become the latest "emerging markets". In the post- 9/11 environment, it is widely perceived that Gulf-based investors have switched their focus on a ma ssive scale from the West to the Middle East. In any case, there is no doubt tha t during the last few years, the stock markets in the Gulf States have grown eno rmously in terms of market capitalization and trading turnover. Given their rece nt extraordinary performance, and using daily data from January 1, 2004 to April 27, 2006, this project investigates the degree of integration of the Gulf's sto ck markets and their relationship to oil prices by means of time series economet ric techniques (Johansen cointegration test, Granger Causality, VECM and EGARCH) . Evidence for weak cointegration in the long-run is found. Price and volatility spillovers are found across markets some unidirectional and others bi-direction al. However, the lack of transparency, incomplete institutions, and continued re strictions barring foreign investment in the region, indicate that an integrated financial community remains premature.
Author | : Sabri Boubaker |
Publisher | : World Scientific |
Total Pages | : 828 |
Release | : 2019-06-27 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9813236663 |
Download Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.
Author | : Francis X. Diebold |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 285 |
Release | : 2015-02-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0199338329 |
Download Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.
Author | : Matthias Kalkuhl |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 620 |
Release | : 2016-04-12 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3319282018 |
Download Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.
Author | : Dimitris Kenourgios |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2017 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Financial Crises, Exchange Rate Linkages and Uncovered Interest-Rate Parity Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper examines the dynamic linkages among major exchange rates during the Global Financial Crisis and Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis. We extend the previous literature on volatility spillover linkages among the currencies by taking into account the uncovered interest-rate parity hypothesis for 2004-2015. The results indicate that the Canadian Dollar and Great British Pound were affected mainly by the US Dollar across the two crises due to strong financial and economic ties among the three economies, while the Japanese Yen shows evidence of a safe-haven currency. We also provide evidence of varying vulnerability of currencies to both crises, implying increased portfolio diversification benefits, since holding a portfolio with diverse currencies is less subject to systematic risk. These results show that the policy makers need to adopt a stricter form of monetary policy coordination among central banks, since the different vulnerability of currencies across turbulent periods reveals possible non-cooperative monetary policies.
Author | : Kee Teng |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 16 |
Release | : 2016 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Time-Varying Linkages of Economic Activities in China and the Stock Markets in ASEAN-5 Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This study attempts to investigate the evolution of dynamic linkages and volatility spillover between the five countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN-5) stock markets and China's economic activities. By using the movements and structural breaks of the time-varying correlation and Granger causality test, a suitable destination for equity portfolio diversification can be determined among the studied markets. This study covers monthly data from January 1991 to March 2015. The DCC-MGARCH model shows that the studied countries are time-varying correlated, while the structural break observed by Bai and Perron test coincided with major economic shocks, policy changes and the establishment of regional trade policies. The VAR model Granger causality test observed no volatility spillover from Chinese economic activities to the ASEAN-5 stock markets, except for Malaysia and the Philippines. However, the ASEAN-5 stock markets' volatility exerts a significant influence on China's economy, except for Singapore's stock market volatility. This study reveals that ASEAN-5 has gradually became the preferred destination for diversifying equity portfolios for investors in China.
Author | : Stijn Claessens |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 461 |
Release | : 2013-04-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475733143 |
Download International Financial Contagion Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.
Author | : Bassam Fattouh |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 25 |
Release | : 2012 |
Genre | : Petroleum products |
ISBN | : 9781907555442 |
Download The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Eswar S. Prasad |
Publisher | : Rowman & Littlefield |
Total Pages | : 225 |
Release | : 2011-02-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0815705654 |
Download Emerging Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Emerging market economies (EMEs) have become the darlings of international investors and the focus of enormous attention in academic, media, and policy circles. M. Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad present the definitive account of the evolution of EMEs and use the lens of the global financial crisis to evaluate their strengths and weaknesses. Led by a set of large and dynamic countries—including Brazil, China, India, and Russia—EMEs have become a dominant presence in the world economy. They now account for a substantial share of world output and have been a major driver of global growth during the past decade. They are significant players in international trade and financial flows and are beginning to exert rising clout in global policy debates. However, the financial crisis of 2007–09 and the worldwide recession that followed cast a pall over the notion that EMEs had become self-reliant and "decoupled" from demand conditions in and financial flows from advanced countries. Kose and Prasad, prominent experts on emerging market economies and globalization, draw on their extensive research to assess the resilience of EMEs in the face of the global financial crisis. Their analysis shows that EMEs, as a group, weathered the crisis much better than the advanced countries, and most of these economies have bounced back rapidly from the global recession. The authors track down the reasons for this resilience and explain why some countries in this group have done better than others. Based on this analysis, they draw lessons for the durability and sustainability of these economies' long-term growth. This book is important reading for anyone trying to anticipate the future growth of emerging markets or contemplating business opportunities in these economies.