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Discrete Probability Models and Methods

Discrete Probability Models and Methods
Author: Pierre Brémaud
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 561
Release: 2017-01-31
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3319434764
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The emphasis in this book is placed on general models (Markov chains, random fields, random graphs), universal methods (the probabilistic method, the coupling method, the Stein-Chen method, martingale methods, the method of types) and versatile tools (Chernoff's bound, Hoeffding's inequality, Holley's inequality) whose domain of application extends far beyond the present text. Although the examples treated in the book relate to the possible applications, in the communication and computing sciences, in operations research and in physics, this book is in the first instance concerned with theory. The level of the book is that of a beginning graduate course. It is self-contained, the prerequisites consisting merely of basic calculus (series) and basic linear algebra (matrices). The reader is not assumed to be trained in probability since the first chapters give in considerable detail the background necessary to understand the rest of the book.

Introduction to Probability Models

Introduction to Probability Models
Author: Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 801
Release: 2006-12-11
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0123756871
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Introduction to Probability Models, Tenth Edition, provides an introduction to elementary probability theory and stochastic processes. There are two approaches to the study of probability theory. One is heuristic and nonrigorous, and attempts to develop in students an intuitive feel for the subject that enables him or her to think probabilistically. The other approach attempts a rigorous development of probability by using the tools of measure theory. The first approach is employed in this text. The book begins by introducing basic concepts of probability theory, such as the random variable, conditional probability, and conditional expectation. This is followed by discussions of stochastic processes, including Markov chains and Poison processes. The remaining chapters cover queuing, reliability theory, Brownian motion, and simulation. Many examples are worked out throughout the text, along with exercises to be solved by students. This book will be particularly useful to those interested in learning how probability theory can be applied to the study of phenomena in fields such as engineering, computer science, management science, the physical and social sciences, and operations research. Ideally, this text would be used in a one-year course in probability models, or a one-semester course in introductory probability theory or a course in elementary stochastic processes. New to this Edition: 65% new chapter material including coverage of finite capacity queues, insurance risk models and Markov chains Contains compulsory material for new Exam 3 of the Society of Actuaries containing several sections in the new exams Updated data, and a list of commonly used notations and equations, a robust ancillary package, including a ISM, SSM, and test bank Includes SPSS PASW Modeler and SAS JMP software packages which are widely used in the field Hallmark features: Superior writing style Excellent exercises and examples covering the wide breadth of coverage of probability topics Real-world applications in engineering, science, business and economics

Interpreting Probability Models

Interpreting Probability Models
Author: Tim Futing Liao
Publisher: SAGE
Total Pages: 100
Release: 1994-06-30
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780803949997
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What is the probability that something will occur, and how is that probability altered by a change in an independent variable? To answer these questions, Tim Futing Liao introduces a systematic way of interpreting commonly used probability models. Since much of what social scientists study is measured in noncontinuous ways and, therefore, cannot be analyzed using a classical regression model, it becomes necessary to model the likelihood that an event will occur. This book explores these models first by reviewing each probability model and then by presenting a systematic way for interpreting the results from each.

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation
Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 399
Release: 2009-07-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0521766559
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This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

Models for Probability and Statistical Inference

Models for Probability and Statistical Inference
Author: James H. Stapleton
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 466
Release: 2007-12-14
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0470183403
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This concise, yet thorough, book is enhanced with simulations and graphs to build the intuition of readers Models for Probability and Statistical Inference was written over a five-year period and serves as a comprehensive treatment of the fundamentals of probability and statistical inference. With detailed theoretical coverage found throughout the book, readers acquire the fundamentals needed to advance to more specialized topics, such as sampling, linear models, design of experiments, statistical computing, survival analysis, and bootstrapping. Ideal as a textbook for a two-semester sequence on probability and statistical inference, early chapters provide coverage on probability and include discussions of: discrete models and random variables; discrete distributions including binomial, hypergeometric, geometric, and Poisson; continuous, normal, gamma, and conditional distributions; and limit theory. Since limit theory is usually the most difficult topic for readers to master, the author thoroughly discusses modes of convergence of sequences of random variables, with special attention to convergence in distribution. The second half of the book addresses statistical inference, beginning with a discussion on point estimation and followed by coverage of consistency and confidence intervals. Further areas of exploration include: distributions defined in terms of the multivariate normal, chi-square, t, and F (central and non-central); the one- and two-sample Wilcoxon test, together with methods of estimation based on both; linear models with a linear space-projection approach; and logistic regression. Each section contains a set of problems ranging in difficulty from simple to more complex, and selected answers as well as proofs to almost all statements are provided. An abundant amount of figures in addition to helpful simulations and graphs produced by the statistical package S-Plus(r) are included to help build the intuition of readers.

Introduction to Probability

Introduction to Probability
Author: Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 548
Release: 2021-11-24
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1118548558
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INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY Discover practical models and real-world applications of multivariate models useful in engineering, business, and related disciplines In Introduction to Probability: Multivariate Models and Applications, a team of distinguished researchers delivers a comprehensive exploration of the concepts, methods, and results in multivariate distributions and models. Intended for use in a second course in probability, the material is largely self-contained, with some knowledge of basic probability theory and univariate distributions as the only prerequisite. This textbook is intended as the sequel to Introduction to Probability: Models and Applications. Each chapter begins with a brief historical account of some of the pioneers in probability who made significant contributions to the field. It goes on to describe and explain a critical concept or method in multivariate models and closes with two collections of exercises designed to test basic and advanced understanding of the theory. A wide range of topics are covered, including joint distributions for two or more random variables, independence of two or more variables, transformations of variables, covariance and correlation, a presentation of the most important multivariate distributions, generating functions and limit theorems. This important text: Includes classroom-tested problems and solutions to probability exercises Highlights real-world exercises designed to make clear the concepts presented Uses Mathematica software to illustrate the text’s computer exercises Features applications representing worldwide situations and processes Offers two types of self-assessment exercises at the end of each chapter, so that students may review the material in that chapter and monitor their progress Perfect for students majoring in statistics, engineering, business, psychology, operations research and mathematics taking a second course in probability, Introduction to Probability: Multivariate Models and Applications is also an indispensable resource for anyone who is required to use multivariate distributions to model the uncertainty associated with random phenomena.

Probability Models And Applications (Revised Second Edition)

Probability Models And Applications (Revised Second Edition)
Author: Ingram Olkin
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 732
Release: 2019-09-03
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9813202068
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Written by renowned experts in the field, this reissue of a textbook has as its unifying theme the role that probability models have had, and continue to have, in scientific and practical applications. It includes many examples, with actual data, of real-world use of probability models, while expositing the mathematical theory of probability at an introductory calculus-based level. Detailed descriptions of the properties and applications of probability models that have successfully modeled real phenomena are given, as well as an explanation of methods for testing goodness of fit of these models. Readers will receive a firm foundation in techniques for deriving distributions of various summaries of data that will prepare them for subsequent studies of statistics, as well as a solid grounding in concepts such as that of conditional probability that will prepare them for more advanced courses in stochastic processes.

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling
Author: Howard M. Taylor
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 410
Release: 2014-05-10
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1483269272
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An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling provides information pertinent to the standard concepts and methods of stochastic modeling. This book presents the rich diversity of applications of stochastic processes in the sciences. Organized into nine chapters, this book begins with an overview of diverse types of stochastic models, which predicts a set of possible outcomes weighed by their likelihoods or probabilities. This text then provides exercises in the applications of simple stochastic analysis to appropriate problems. Other chapters consider the study of general functions of independent, identically distributed, nonnegative random variables representing the successive intervals between renewals. This book discusses as well the numerous examples of Markov branching processes that arise naturally in various scientific disciplines. The final chapter deals with queueing models, which aid the design process by predicting system performance. This book is a valuable resource for students of engineering and management science. Engineers will also find this book useful.

Probability on Trees and Networks

Probability on Trees and Networks
Author: Russell Lyons
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 1023
Release: 2017-01-20
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1316785335
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Starting around the late 1950s, several research communities began relating the geometry of graphs to stochastic processes on these graphs. This book, twenty years in the making, ties together research in the field, encompassing work on percolation, isoperimetric inequalities, eigenvalues, transition probabilities, and random walks. Written by two leading researchers, the text emphasizes intuition, while giving complete proofs and more than 850 exercises. Many recent developments, in which the authors have played a leading role, are discussed, including percolation on trees and Cayley graphs, uniform spanning forests, the mass-transport technique, and connections on random walks on graphs to embedding in Hilbert space. This state-of-the-art account of probability on networks will be indispensable for graduate students and researchers alike.

Discrete Distributions

Discrete Distributions
Author: Daniel Zelterman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 306
Release: 2005-09-27
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0470868899
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There have been many advances in the theory and applications of discrete distributions in recent years. They can be applied to a wide range of problems, particularly in the health sciences, although a good understanding of their properties is very important. Discrete Distributions: Applications in the Health Sciences describes a number of new discrete distributions that arise in the statistical examination of real examples. For each example, an understanding of the issues surrounding the data provides the motivation for the subsequent development of the statistical models. Provides an overview of discrete distributions and their applications in the health sciences. Focuses on real examples, giving readers an insight into the utility of the models. Describes the properties of each distribution, and the methods that led to their development. Presents a range of examples from the health sciences, including cancer, epidemiology, and demography. Features discussion of software implementation – in SAS, Fortran and R – enabling readers to apply the methods to their own problems. Written in an accessible style, suitable for applied statisticians and numerate health scientists. Software and data sets are made available on the Web. Discrete Distributions: Applications in the Health Sciences provides a practical introduction to these powerful statistical tools and their applications, suitable for researchers and graduate students from statistics and biostatistics. The focus on applications, and the accessible style of the book, make it an excellent practical reference source for practitioners from the health sciences.