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Devaluation in Low-Inflation Economies

Devaluation in Low-Inflation Economies
Author: Miguel A. Kiguel
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 30
Release: 1993
Genre: Devaluacion
ISBN:

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The Economics of Inflation

The Economics of Inflation
Author: Constantino Bresciani-Turroni
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 467
Release: 2013-05-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1135033226

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The Economics of Inflation provides a comprehensive analysis of economic conditions in Germany under the Great Inflation and discusses inflationary conditions in general. The analysis is supported by extensive statistical material. * For this translation the author thoroughly revised the original work * Includes an appendix on German economic conditions in the years following the monetary reform, 1923-24


How Currency Devaluation Works

How Currency Devaluation Works
Author: Barbara Gottfried Hollander
Publisher: The Rosen Publishing Group, Inc
Total Pages: 82
Release: 2011-01-15
Genre: Juvenile Nonfiction
ISBN: 1448823773

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Explains currency devaluation, its causes, and its effects.


A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System

A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 692
Release: 2007-12-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226066908

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At the close of the Second World War, when industrialized nations faced serious trade and financial imbalances, delegates from forty-four countries met in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, in order to reconstruct the international monetary system. In this volume, three generations of scholars and policy makers, some of whom participated in the 1944 conference, consider how the Bretton Woods System contributed to unprecedented economic stability and rapid growth for 25 years and discuss the problems that plagued the system and led to its eventual collapse in 1971. The contributors explore adjustment, liquidity, and transmission under the System; the way it affected developing countries; and the role of the International Monetary Fund in maintaining a stable rate. The authors examine the reasons for the System's success and eventual collapse, compare it to subsequent monetary regimes, such as the European Monetary System, and address the possibility of a new fixed exchange rate for today's world.


External Devaluations

External Devaluations
Author: Sebastian Acevedo Mejia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2015-11-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513512919

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The paper investigates whether the macroeconomic effects of external devaluations have systematically different effects in small states, which are typically more open and less diversified than larger peers. Through several analytical approaches -- DSGE model, event study, and regression analysis -- it finds that the effects of devaluation on growth and external balances are not significantly different between small and large states, with both groups equally likely to experience expansionary or contractionary outcomes. However, the transmission channels are different: devaluations in small states are more likely to affect demand through expenditure compression, rather than expenditure-switching channels. In particular, consumption tends to fall more sharply in small states due to adverse income effects, thereby reducing import demand. Policy conclusions point to the importance of social safety nets, complementary wage and antiinflation policies, investment-boosting reforms, and attention to potential adverse balance sheet effects to ensure positive outcomes.


Beyond Inflation Targeting

Beyond Inflation Targeting
Author: Gerald A. Epstein
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 333
Release: 2009
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1849801983

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Inflation targeting (IT) has become the sacred cow of central banking. But its suitability to developing nations remains contested. The contributors to this volume perform the valuable service of sketching out plausible, more development-friendly alternatives. They are to be commended in particular for avoiding a one-size-fits-all approach and paying close attention to the needs of specific countries. Their proposals range from relatively minor tinkering in IT to comprehensive overhaul. A common theme is the central role of the real exchange rate, which the central banks ignore at their economies peril. Dani Rodrik, Harvard University, US As the world economy is devastated by a virulent financial crisis and jobs are lost in scores, central bankers are increasingly questioned as to why they have failed to sustain stability and growth even though they told us all along that conquering inflation would be necessary and sufficient to do so while hoping to get a pat on the back for achieving a degree of price stability unprecedented in recent times. This book provides a lot of food for thought on why. It is a powerful critique of the orthodox obsession with inflation in neglect of the two deepseated problems of the unbridled market economy financial instability and unemployment. It is a must for all policy makers, notably in the developing world, and for the mainstream. Yilmaz Akyuz, formerly of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Geneva, Switzerland This collective volume makes a compelling case for balancing the developmental and stabilization functions of central banks. In particular, the authors emphasize that, as practiced in many successful developing countries, competitive real exchange rates can be good for growth and employment generation, and should thus be a specific focus of central bank actions. The book is a must read for those looking for a more balanced framework for central bank policies. José Antonio Ocampo, Columbia University, US and former Under-Secretary-General of the United Nations for Economic and Social Affairs and Finance Minister of Colombia This book, written by an international team of economists, develops concrete, country specific alternatives to inflation targeting, the dominant policy framework of central bank policy that focuses on keeping inflation in the low single digits to the virtual exclusion of other key goals such as employment creation, poverty reduction and sustainable development. The book includes thematic chapters, including analyses of class attitudes toward inflation and unemployment and the gender impacts of restrictive monetary policy. Other chapters propose improved monetary frameworks for Argentina, Brazil, India, Mexico, the Philippines, South Africa, Turkey, and Vietnam. Policy frameworks that are explored include employment targeting, and targeting a stable and competitive real exchange rate. The authors also show that to reach a larger number of targets, including higher employment and stable inflation, central banks must use a larger number of instruments, including capital management techniques. This volume offers concrete, socially valuable alternatives that economists, policy makers, students and interested laypeople should consider before adopting one size fits all, often inadequate, policies that have become a virtual policy making fad.


Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Spain

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Spain
Author: Ms.Zuzana Murgasova
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 1996-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451943415

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This paper examines the factors underlying the stability of inflation observed following devaluations of the Spanish peseta, which took place during the 1992-93 Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) crisis. The long-run equilibrium relationships between the exchange rate and the aggregate price indices are estimated using the Johansen maximum likelihood-method. The short-run dynamics are obtained from error-correction models. The model is then simulated by calibrating changes in the exogenous variables to their actual values. The results indicate that the cost-push-up effect of devaluations may have been completely offset by determinants of the cyclical position of the economy and the low inflation rate in 1993-94 should not be viewed as unusual.


Exchange Rate Policy, the Real Exchange Rate, and Inflation

Exchange Rate Policy, the Real Exchange Rate, and Inflation
Author: Miguel Alberto Kiguel
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 1992
Genre: Foreign exchange
ISBN:

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Attempts to achieve real depreciation through continuous devaluation or by accelerating the rate of crawl - when not supported by changes in other policies and in the underlying conditions - usually end up increasing inflation, yet remain ineffective in changing the real exchange rate.


Dollarization in Transition Economies

Dollarization in Transition Economies
Author: Ms.Ratna Sahay
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 34
Release: 1995-09-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 145195008X

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After most restrictions on foreign currency holdings were relaxed in the early 1990s, foreign currency deposits in transition economies have been increasing rapidly. This paper takes a first look at the evidence on dollarization for 15 transition economies, and then discusses some key conceptual and policy implications. Depending on the institutional constraints, foreign currency deposits as a proportion of broad money reached a peak of between 30 and 60 percent in 1992-93. Unlike what has been observed in Latin America, however, dollarization has fallen substantially in the aftermath of successful stabilization plans in Estonia, Lithuania, Mongolia, and Poland. Since foreign currency deposits reflect mainly a portfolio choice, the fall in dollarization can be primarily attributed to higher real returns on domestic-currency assets, as a result of lower inflation and more market-determined interest rates.


Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries
Author: Mr.Marco Airaudo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 65
Release: 2016-03-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475523165

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We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.