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Determinants of Growth and Business Cycles

Determinants of Growth and Business Cycles
Author: Christoph Hausen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 277
Release: 2003
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN: 9783897001787

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Economic growth and business cycles are two distinct, but closely related issues. Economic growth is one of the most demanding challenges for policy makers and economists all over the world. In industrial countries, significant demographic changes in the decades ahead will have a major impact. At the same time, the degree of interdependency between economic regions is increasing, posing a challenge for industrial as well as developing countries. Business cycles as a topic for economic research sometimes follow a cyclical pattern themselves. Especially after long and strong boom periods the business cycle is often said to be obsolete, replaced by a new kind of pattern, a 'new' economy or the like. The empirical problem for analysts of both growth and business cycles is that new developments are difficult to monitor in real time. Cyclical, structural and other patterns are overlapping, making it difficult to assess the nature of observations. The INFER Annual Conference 2003 on "Determinants of Growth and Business Cycles: Theory, Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications" which was held in September 2003 in Giessen, Germany, gave room for theoretical papers, empirical results and case studies, including vigorous policy statements as well as elaborate modelling with a focus on practical relevance. Most of the presented papers and one of the introductory lectures are included in this volume. Papers were presented in three sessions: Session I focused on the "Determinants of Growth". Session II was on "Business Cycles: Theory and Empirical Evidence". Session III covered "Convergence and Economic Development". Contributors to this volume come from two continents and eight countries, working in research institutes, universities, central banks and international organisations.


Economic Growth and Business Cycles

Economic Growth and Business Cycles
Author: Paolo Sylos Labini
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 264
Release: 1993
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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In this study, Professor Sylos Labini offers an analysis of growth that is at once theoretical, historical and statistical. The central aim of neo-classical economics has been to discover the equilibrium values of prices, incomes, employment and production. This text by contrast, seeks to understand the logic behind the movement of these quantities over time.


Business Cycles and Economic Growth

Business Cycles and Economic Growth
Author: James Stemble Duesenberry
Publisher: New York : McGraw-Hill
Total Pages: 368
Release: 1958
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN:

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Global Business Cycles

Global Business Cycles
Author: Mr.Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2008-06-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451870019

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This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in key macroeconomic aggregates-output, consumption, and investment-into different factors. These are: (i) a global factor, which picks up fluctuations that are common across all variables and countries; (ii) three group-specific factors, which capture fluctuations that are common to all variables and all countries within each group of countries; (iii) country factors, which are common across all aggregates in a given country; and (iv) idiosyncratic factors specific to each time series. Our main result is that, during the period of globalization (1985-2005), there has been some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among the group of industrial economies and among the group of emerging market economies. Surprisingly, there has been a concomitant decline in the relative importance of the global factor. In other words, there is evidence of business cycle convergence within each of these two groups of countries but divergence (or decoupling) between them.


The Origins of Economic Growth

The Origins of Economic Growth
Author: Arvid Aulin
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 244
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642607128

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Dealing with factors affecting economic growth in knowledge-based societies, the author shows that the interaction between material and nonmaterial values is the ultimate source of all economic growth. The model thus developed predicts the quantitative facts concerning business cycles better than the conventional real-cycle models, while also producing a new growth path whose existence is verified by empirical facts. The results provide strong evidence of the economic relevance of nonmaterial values, and also prompt a new view of the stochastic elements in the business cycles.


Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research
Author: Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 452
Release: 1995-02-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780691043234

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This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t


Determinants of Growth (General) and Regional Growth, Theory and Evidence

Determinants of Growth (General) and Regional Growth, Theory and Evidence
Author: Marco Alexander Caiza Andresen
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 64
Release: 2007-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3638675750

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Seminar paper from the year 2006 in the subject Economics - Economic Cycle and Growth, grade: 1,7, University of Paderborn (Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Business Computing ), course: Research and Independent Studies in International Economics, 71 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: The aim of this term paper is to find out what causes economic growth through analyzing determinants of growth in general and of regional growth, both in theory and evidence. The question why some countries grow significantly slower than others has been discussed intensively over the last decades. By thorough study of literature the main determinants will be indicated and similarities and differences between general and regional growth become visible. After a short introduction, in the second chapter the main growth determinants will be presented individually for the general and the regional area, each time also an introduction to the extensive literature (theory and empirics) of the specific area will be given beforehand. In the last chapter a conclusion will be drawn and an answer given to the question on which are the key determinants by comparing them with each other and in how far the results do distinguish on general and regional level.


Political Economy, Growth, and Business Cycles

Political Economy, Growth, and Business Cycles
Author: Alex Cukierman
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 430
Release: 1992
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262031943

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These original contributions by some of today's leading macroeconomists and political economists explore a broad spectrum of social, political, and technological variables that encourage or impede economic growth. What political and economic factors stimulate growth and make an economy expand? These original contributions by some of today's leading macroeconomists and political economists explore a broad spectrum of social, political, and technological variables that encourage or impede economic growth. Topics range from economic reform and price flexibility to the economic effects of political coups and include both theoretical analysis and empirical results.During the past decade, economists have seen important new developments linking growth and business cycles to government policy. These contributions provide a clear understanding of these processes and their effect in shaping economic policy. They look at the welfare side of economics and offer strong economic models to explain the connection between social policies and economic growth. For example, John Londregan and Keith Poole address the economic effects of political coups, Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini explore the question of whether inequality is harmful for growth, and Stephen Parente and Edward Prescott look at the role of technology adoption in stimulating growth.The essays cover a wide range of approaches. Several focus on the interaction between growth and the choice of policy, where policy reacts to economic and distributional considerations through a majority rule process. Others take the policy as given and focus on the empirical estimation of the speed of convergence of rates of growth across states and regions and the importance of externalities and knowledge spillovers for rates of growth. Essays about the business cycle fall into two broad categories. One, arising from the new political economy tradition, examines the effects of elections and price decontrols on the business cycle. The other explores the implications of optimal economic policies in a representative agent framework for the cyclical behavior of the economy.


Business Cycles

Business Cycles
Author: Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 613
Release: 2007-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226978923

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This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.