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Consumer Credit Models

Consumer Credit Models
Author: Lyn C. Thomas
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 400
Release: 2009-01-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0191552496

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The use of credit scoring - the quantitative and statistical techniques to assess the credit risks involved in lending to consumers - has been one of the most successful if unsung applications of mathematics in business for the last fifty years. Now with lenders changing their objectives from minimising defaults to maximising profits, the saturation of the consumer credit market allowing borrowers to be more discriminating in their choice of which loans, mortgages and credit cards to use, and the Basel Accord banking regulations raising the profile of credit scoring within banks there are a number of challenges that require new models that use credit scores as inputs and extensions of the ideas in credit scoring. This book reviews the current methodology and measures used in credit scoring and then looks at the models that can be used to address these new challenges. The first chapter describes what a credit score is and how a scorecard is built which gives credit scores and models how the score is used in the lending decision. The second chapter describes the different ways the quality of a scorecard can be measured and points out how some of these measure the discrimination of the score, some the probability prediction of the score, and some the categorical predictions that are made using the score. The remaining three chapters address how to use risk and response scoring to model the new problems in consumer lending. Chapter three looks at models that assist in deciding how to vary the loan terms made to different potential borrowers depending on their individual characteristics. Risk based pricing is the most common approach being introduced. Chapter four describes how one can use Markov chains and survival analysis to model the dynamics of a borrower's repayment and ordering behaviour . These models allow one to make decisions that maximise the profitability of the borrower to the lender and can be considered as part of a customer relationship management strategy. The last chapter looks at how the new banking regulations in the Basel Accord apply to consumer lending. It develops models that show how they will change the operating decisions used in consumer lending and how their need for stress testing requires the development of new models to assess the credit risk of portfolios of consumer loans rather than a models of the credit risks of individual loans.


Consumer Credit Models

Consumer Credit Models
Author: L. C. Thomas
Publisher:
Total Pages: 385
Release: 2009
Genre: Consumer credit
ISBN: 9780191715914

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This text reviews the current methodology and measures used in credit scoring and then looks at the models that can be used to address new challenges.


Consumer Credit and the American Economy

Consumer Credit and the American Economy
Author: Thomas A. Durkin
Publisher: Financial Management Associati
Total Pages: 737
Release: 2014
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0195169921

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This article provides an introduction to a law review symposium by the Journal of Law, Economics, and Policy on our book (co-authored with Michael E. Staten), Consumer Credit and the American Economy (Oxford 2014). The conference, held November 2014, collects several articles responding to and building on the research agenda laid out by our book. For those who have not read the book, this article is intended to summarize several of the main themes of the book, including discussion of economic models of consumer credit usage, trends in consumer credit usage over time, the use of high-cost credit, and behavioral economics.


Handbook of Credit Scoring

Handbook of Credit Scoring
Author: Elizabeth Mays
Publisher: Global Professional Publishi
Total Pages: 392
Release: 1995-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781888988017

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· Credit scoring is a vital and sometimes misunderstood tool in financial services · Evaluates the different systems available Bankers and lenders depend on credit scoring to determine the best credit risks--and ensure maximum profit and security from their loan portfolios. Handbook of Credit Scoring offers the insights of a select group of experts on credit scoring systems. Topics include: Scoring Applications, Generic and Customized Scoring Models, Using consumer credit information, Scorecard modelling with continuous vs. Classed variables, Basic scorecard Development and Validation, Going beyond Credit Score, Data mining, Scorecard collection strategies, project management for Credit Scoring


Credit Risk Scorecards

Credit Risk Scorecards
Author: Naeem Siddiqi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 124
Release: 2012-06-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118429168

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Praise for Credit Risk Scorecards "Scorecard development is important to retail financial services in terms of credit risk management, Basel II compliance, and marketing of credit products. Credit Risk Scorecards provides insight into professional practices in different stages of credit scorecard development, such as model building, validation, and implementation. The book should be compulsory reading for modern credit risk managers." —Michael C. S. Wong Associate Professor of Finance, City University of Hong Kong Hong Kong Regional Director, Global Association of Risk Professionals "Siddiqi offers a practical, step-by-step guide for developing and implementing successful credit scorecards. He relays the key steps in an ordered and simple-to-follow fashion. A 'must read' for anyone managing the development of a scorecard." —Jonathan G. Baum Chief Risk Officer, GE Consumer Finance, Europe "A comprehensive guide, not only for scorecard specialists but for all consumer credit professionals. The book provides the A-to-Z of scorecard development, implementation, and monitoring processes. This is an important read for all consumer-lending practitioners." —Satinder Ahluwalia Vice President and Head-Retail Credit, Mashreqbank, UAE "This practical text provides a strong foundation in the technical issues involved in building credit scoring models. This book will become required reading for all those working in this area." —J. Michael Hardin, PhD Professor of StatisticsDepartment of Information Systems, Statistics, and Management ScienceDirector, Institute of Business Intelligence "Mr. Siddiqi has captured the true essence of the credit risk practitioner's primary tool, the predictive scorecard. He has combined both art and science in demonstrating the critical advantages that scorecards achieve when employed in marketing, acquisition, account management, and recoveries. This text should be part of every risk manager's library." —Stephen D. Morris Director, Credit Risk, ING Bank of Canada


Credit Scoring and Its Applications, Second Edition

Credit Scoring and Its Applications, Second Edition
Author: Lyn Thomas
Publisher: SIAM
Total Pages: 380
Release: 2017-08-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1611974550

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Credit Scoring and Its Applications?is recognized as the bible of credit scoring. It contains a comprehensive review of the objectives, methods, and practical implementation of credit and behavioral scoring. The authors review principles of the statistical and operations research methods used in building scorecards, as well as the advantages and disadvantages of each approach. The book contains a description of practical problems encountered in building, using, and monitoring scorecards and examines some of the country-specific issues in bankruptcy, equal opportunities, and privacy legislation. It contains a discussion of economic theories of consumers' use of credit, and readers will gain an understanding of what lending institutions seek to achieve by using credit scoring and the changes in their objectives.? New to the second edition are lessons that can be learned for operations research model building from the global financial crisis, current applications of scoring, discussions on the Basel Accords and their requirements for scoring, new methods for scorecard building and new expanded sections on ways of measuring scorecard performance. And survival analysis for credit scoring. Other unique features include methods of monitoring scorecards and deciding when to update them, as well as different applications of scoring, including direct marketing, profit scoring, tax inspection, prisoner release, and payment of fines.?


Consumer Credit in the United States

Consumer Credit in the United States
Author: United States. National Commission on Consumer Finance
Publisher:
Total Pages: 348
Release: 1972
Genre: Consumer credit
ISBN:

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Keeping Score on Credit Scores

Keeping Score on Credit Scores
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Financial Services. Subcommittee on Financial Institutions and Consumer Credit
Publisher:
Total Pages: 240
Release: 2010
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Consumer Lending in Theory and Practice

Consumer Lending in Theory and Practice
Author: Teplý, Petr
Publisher: Charles University in Prague, Karolinum Press
Total Pages: 188
Release: 2016-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 8024632365

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This book deals with consumer lending from both theoretical and empirical points of view. In the theoretical section, it book analyses the wider context of financial literacy, household indebtedness and the global consumer credit market including relevant legal, regulatory and risk management issues. In the empirical section, the book uses The Navigator of Responsible Lending as an evaluation tool to assess both bank and non-bank consumer credit providers in the Czech Republic. Although our empirical research is done as a case study on the Czech Republic, its basic ideas might be easily applied to other countries as well. Enclosures to the book include additional texts relevant to consumer lending (including case studies and an unofficial English translation of the Czech Consumer Credit Act) and therefore provide the reader with several perspectives on the topic.


Credit Scoring for Risk Managers

Credit Scoring for Risk Managers
Author: Elizabeth Mays
Publisher: CreateSpace
Total Pages: 266
Release: 2011-02-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781450578967

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This is the second edition of Credit Scoring For Risk Managers: The Handbook for Lenders. Like the first edition, it was written for bankers and other consumer lenders who need a clear understanding of how to use credit scoring effectively throughout the loan life cycle. In today's financial system, scoring is used by virtually all lenders for all types of consumer lending assets, making it vitally important that risk managers understand how to manage and monitor scores and how to set policies for their use. This edition is substantially different from the first edition published in 2004. The world's economies have been through a major financial crisis and severe recession and some have questioned the role and value of models and scores used by lenders in the years leading up to the U.S. housing collapse and economic downturn. We have devoted a significant portion of the book to topics relevant to ensuring scorecards are properly managed through volatile environments and controlling the risk of using credit scores for decision-making. Ten of the book's sixteen chapters are new. Many focus on scorecard management practices and on controlling model risk. Score management refers to all the activities model managers and users engage in after the scorecard is developed. These include setting proper lending policies to use in conjunction with the score, periodic back-testing and validation, and remediation of any issues that may arise related to scorecard performance. Chapter 4 takes the reader step by step through a scorecard development project and discusses best practices for managing and documenting scorecard projects to increase the transparency of the performance, assumptions and limitations of scoring models. The last three chapters are devoted to the important topic of score model governance. Chapter 14 describes how to design a model governance framework to ensure credit scoring models are properly developed, used and validated on an on-going basis. Chapter 15 is focused on model monitoring and back-testing and describes a set of reports lenders should create and review to ensure their scorecards are performing well. Independent review of risk models by a third-party model expert is an important part of sound model governance. In Chapter 16 we describe how to carry out a thorough independent model review. Other chapters focus on new material not covered in the previous edition including types of data that are used as predictive information in scores (Chapter 3), fair lending analysis of scorecards and the creation of adverse action reasons (Chapter 11), the use of scores as components of other models (Chapter 10), common scoring mistakes to avoid (Chapter 12) and the important topic of reject inference (Chapter 9).