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Comparative Analysis of Value at Risk (VAR) Methods for Portfolio with Non-Linear Return

Comparative Analysis of Value at Risk (VAR) Methods for Portfolio with Non-Linear Return
Author: Manohar Lal
Publisher:
Total Pages: 14
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:
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In this study various value at risk methods such as Historical Simulation, Variance-Covariance Approach and Monte Carlo Simulation are calculated, compared and tested for accuracy. Backtesting for the VaR methods is applied to check the accuracy of the VaR methods. The portfolio includes equally weighted three banking stock and one at-the-money (ATM) call option for one of the banking stock in the portfolio. The log return for the portfolio and individual investments are calculated. Different VaR calculation methods are used to calculate the downside risk of the portfolio and individual investments. VaR is calculated at 95% and 99% confidence level for the portfolio and individual securities. The value at risk for the portfolio at 95% confidence level from all the three methods are within the defined level of downside risk, while at 99% confidence level only Mote Carlo Simulation method provides good approximation of downside risk for a portfolio with options. Thus from this study it is inferred that for instrument or portfolio with non-linear return structure Monte Carlo simulation method provide good approximation of the downside risk.

Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk

Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk
Author: Pietro Penza
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 324
Release: 2001
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780471393139
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"This book, Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk by Vipul Bansal and Pietro Penza, has three advantages over earlier works on the subject. First, it takes a decidedly global approach-an essential ingredient for any comprehensive work on market risk. Second, it ties the scientifically grounded, yet intuitively appealing, VaR measure to earlier, more idiosyncratic measures of market risk that are used in specific market environs (e.g., duration in fixed income). Finally, it encompasses all of the accepted approaches to calculating a VaR measure and presents them in a clearly explained fashion with supporting illustrations and completely worked-out examples." -from the Foreword by John F. Marshall, PhD, Principal, Marshall, Tucker & Associates, LLC "Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk offers a much-needed intellectual bridge, a translation from the esoteric realm of mathematical finance to the domain of financial managers who seek guidance in applying developments from this important field of research as well as that of MBA-level graduate instruction. I believe the authors have done a commendable job of providing a carefully crafted, highly readable, and most useful work, and intend to recommend it to all those involved in business risk management applications." -Anthony F. Herbst, PhD, Professor of Finance and C.R. and D.S. Carter Chair, The University of Texas, El Paso and Founding editor of The Journal of Financial Engineering (1991-1998) "Finally there's a book that strikes a balance between rigor and application in the area of risk management in the banking industry. This innovative book is a MUST for both novices and professionals alike." -Robert P. Yuyuenyongwatana, PhD, Associate Professor of Finance, Cameron University "Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk is one of the most complete discussions of this emerging topic in finance that I have seen. The authors develop a logical and rigorous framework for using VaR models, providing both historical references and analytical applications." -Kevin Wynne, PhD, Associate Professor of Finance, Lubin School of Business, Pace University

Value at Risk, 3rd Ed.

Value at Risk, 3rd Ed.
Author: Philippe Jorion
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Total Pages: 624
Release: 2006-11-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0071736921
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Since its original publication, Value at Risk has become the industry standard in risk management. Now in its Third Edition, this international bestseller addresses the fundamental changes in the field that have occurred across the globe in recent years. Philippe Jorion provides the most current information needed to understand and implement VAR-as well as manage newer dimensions of financial risk. Featured updates include: An increased emphasis on operational risk Using VAR for integrated risk management and to measure economic capital Applications of VAR to risk budgeting in investment management Discussion of new risk-management techniques, including extreme value theory, principal components, and copulas Extensive coverage of the recently finalized Basel II capital adequacy rules for commercial banks, integrated throughout the book A major new feature of the Third Edition is the addition of short questions and exercises at the end of each chapter, making it even easier to check progress. Detailed answers are posted on the companion web site www.pjorion.com/var/. The web site contains other materials, including additional questions that course instructors can assign to their students. Jorion leaves no stone unturned, addressing the building blocks of VAR from computing and backtesting models to forecasting risk and correlations. He outlines the use of VAR to measure and control risk for trading, for investment management, and for enterprise-wide risk management. He also points out key pitfalls to watch out for in risk-management systems. The value-at-risk approach continues to improve worldwide standards for managing numerous types of risk. Now more than ever, professionals can depend on Value at Risk for comprehensive, authoritative counsel on VAR, its application, and its results-and to keep ahead of the curve.

Report on Analysis of the 260-Day Value at Risk (VAR) of Portfolio of Shares

Report on Analysis of the 260-Day Value at Risk (VAR) of Portfolio of Shares
Author: Calvin Monroe
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 19
Release: 2014-02-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 365660536X
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Scientific Essay from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: B, King`s College London, language: English, abstract: For quite a long time now the main concern for investors as well as regulators of financial markets has been the risk of catastrophic market and the sufficiency of capital needed to counter such kind of risk when it occurs. Many institutions have undergone loses despite their gigantic nature and good forecasting and this has been associated with inappropriate forms of pricing and poor management together with the fraudulent cases, factors that have always brought the issue of managing risk and regulating these financial markets to the level of public policy as well as discussion. A basic tool that has been identified as being effective in the assessment of financial risk is the Value at Risk (VaR) process (Artzner, et al., 1997). The VaR has been figured out as being an amount that is lost on a given form of portfolio including a small probability in a certain fixed period of time counted in terms of days. VaR however poses a major challenge during its implementation and this has more to do with the specification of the kind of probability distribution having extreme returns that is made use of during the calculation of the estimates used in the VaR analysis (Mahoney, 1996; McNeil & Frey, 2000; Dowd, 2001). As has been noted, the nature of VaR estimation majorly does depend on the accurate predictions of some uncommon events or risks that are catastrophic. This is attributed to the fact that VaR is a calculation made from the lowest portfolio returns. For this reason, any form of calculation that is employed in the estimation of VaR must be able to encompass the tail events’ prediction and make this its primary goal (Chiang, et al., 2007; Engle, 2002; Engle & Kroner, 1995; Engle & Rothschild, 1990; Francis, et al., 2001). There have been statistical techniques as well as thumb rules that many researchers argue as having been very instrumental in the prediction and analysis of intra-day and in most cases day-to-day risk. These are however; not appropriate for the analysis of VaR. The predictions of VaR now fall under parametric predictions that encompass conditional volatilities and non-parametric prediction that incorporate the unconditional volatilities (Jorion, 2006; Jorion, 2007).

Problems of Value At Risk - A Critical View

Problems of Value At Risk - A Critical View
Author: Alexander Melichar
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2010-11-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3640761499
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Seminar paper from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Controlling, grade: 1,5, University of Innsbruck (Institut für Banken und Finanzen), course: Seminar SBWL Risk Management, language: English, abstract: This seminar paper is divided in the following chapters: 1. Definition of Value at Risk: What is VaR, several definitions of this figure. 2. The three common approaches for calculating Value at Risk: Historical simulation, Monte Carlo simulation, Variance-Covariance model. 3. The critical view: Problems and limitations of Value at Risk. Which approach can be meaningfully used and when not? Why is Value at Risk not the “only truth” in financial institutions? What are the strengths and weaknesses of the several approaches in calculating Value at Risk?

Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing
Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 497
Release: 2019-03-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262039370
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An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Implementing Value at Risk

Implementing Value at Risk
Author: Philip Best
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 224
Release: 2000-11-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470865962
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Implementing Value at Risk Philip Best Value at Risk (VAR) is an estimate of the potential loss on a trading or investment portfolio. Its use has swept the banking world and is now accepted as an essential tool in any risk manager's briefcase. Perhaps the greatest strength of VAR is that it can cope with virtually all financial products, from simple securities through to complex exotic derivatives. This allows the risk taken, across diverse trading activities, to be compared. This said, VAR is no panacea. It is as critical to understand when the use of VAR is inappropriate as it is to understand the value VAR can add to a bank's understanding and control of its risks. This book aims to explain how VAR can be used as an integral part of a risk and business management framework, rather than as a stand-alone tool. The objectives of this book are to explain: What VAR is - and isn't! How to calculate VAR - the three main methods Why stress testing is needed to complement VAR How to make stress testing effective How to use VAR and stress testing to manage risk How to use VAR to improve a bank's performance VAR as a regulatory measure of risk and capital Risk management practitioners, general bank managers, consultants and students of finance and risk management will find this book, and the software package included, an invaluable addition to their library. Finance/Investment

The VaR Modeling Handbook: Practical Applications in Alternative Investing, Banking, Insurance, and Portfolio Management

The VaR Modeling Handbook: Practical Applications in Alternative Investing, Banking, Insurance, and Portfolio Management
Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Total Pages: 418
Release: 2010-02-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0071713646
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Value-at-Risk (VaR) is a powerful tool for assessing market risk in real time—a critical insight when making trading and hedging decisions. The VaR Modeling Handbook is the most complete, up-to-date reference on the subject for today’s savvy investors, traders, portfolio managers, and other asset and risk managers. Unlike market risk metrics such as the Greeks, or beta, which are applicable to only certain asset categories and sources of market risk, VaR is applicable to all liquid assets, making it a reliable indicator of total market risk. For this reason, among many others, VaR has become the dominant method for estimating precisely how much money is at risk each day in the financial markets. The VaR Modeling Handbook is a profound volume that delivers practical information on measuring and modeling risk specifically focused on alternative investments, banking, and the insurance sector. The perfect primer to The VaR Implementation Handbook (McGraw- Hill), this foundational resource features The experience of 40 internationally recognized experts Useful perspectives from a wide range of practitioners, researchers, and academics Coverage on applying VaR to hedge fund strategies, microcredit loan portfolios, and economic capital management approaches for insurance companies Each illuminating chapter in The VaR Modeling Handbook presents a specific topic, complete with an abstract and conclusion for quick reference, as well as numerous illustrations that exemplify covered material. Practitioners can gain in-depth, cornerstone knowledge of VaR by reading the handbook cover to cover or take advantage of its user-friendly format by using it as a go-to resource in the real world. Financial success in the markets requires confident decision making, and The VaR Modeling Handbook gives you the knowledge you need to use this state-of-the-art modeling method to successfully manage financial risk.

Financial Management and Risk Analysis Strategies for Business Sustainability

Financial Management and Risk Analysis Strategies for Business Sustainability
Author: Enríquez-Díaz, Joaquín
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 320
Release: 2021-04-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1799876365
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In light of the Sustainable Development Goals, sustainability is a factor to consider for understanding the changes that are coming in the business world and in different areas of management. Companies must reorient their business objectives towards sustainable and responsible production for the environment and society. In this context of change, it is important to open the debate and obtain more thorough knowledge on how companies should change their leaderships strategies and carry out their financial planning, as well as analyze the risk of their clients and innovative projects that respect the environment. Financial Management and Risk Analysis Strategies for Business Sustainability proposes a series of practical and theoretical perspectives on how the business world has to evolve to adapt to the new situation the world has reached due to undeniable climate change forcing businesses to redefine their productive processes and internal organization. Topics highlighted include financial management procedures, corporate social responsibility, risk analysis, financial literacy, and innovation in sustainability and sustainable development. This book is a useful reference source for managers, executives, engineers, business professionals, financial analysts, researchers, academicians, and students in the areas of management, human resources, accounting and finance, taxation, environmental economics, and some engineering areas.