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China's Fiscal Multiplier and Its State Dependence

China's Fiscal Multiplier and Its State Dependence
Author: Wen Zhang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper studies the effects of government spending on China's output with a threshold structural vector autoregressive model. The empirical findings suggest that increasing government expenditure significantly raises China's aggregate output. Contrary to the evidence of countercyclical fiscal multipliers in the advanced economies, China's fiscal multiplier tends to be procyclical, suggesting a novel fiscal policy transmission mechanism in China.


Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China

Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China
Author: Sophia Chen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2017-12-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484332180

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We jointly estimate credit and fiscal multipliers in China. We use the tenure of the provincial party secretary, interacted with the type of stimulus used in other provinces, to obtain separate instruments for provincial credit and government expenditure. We estimate a fiscal multiplier of 0.8 and a credit multiplier of 0.2 in 2001-2015. The multipliers have changed over time. The fiscal multiplier has increased from 0.75 in 2001-2008 to 1.4 in 2010-2015. The credit multiplier has declined from 0.17 to zero over the same periods. Our results suggest that reducing credit growth in China is unlikely to disrupt output growth, whereas fiscal policy may be effective in supporting macroeconomic adjustment.


How Big (Small?) are Fiscal Multipliers?

How Big (Small?) are Fiscal Multipliers?
Author: Ethan Ilzetzki
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 68
Release: 2011-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455218022

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We contribute to the intense debate on the real effects of fiscal stimuli by showing that the impact of government expenditure shocks depends crucially on key country characteristics, such as the level of development, exchange rate regime, openness to trade, and public indebtedness. Based on a novel quarterly dataset of government expenditure in 44 countries, we find that (i) the output effect of an increase in government consumption is larger in industrial than in developing countries, (ii) the fisscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rate but zero in economies operating under flexible exchange rates; (iii) fiscal multipliers in open economies are lower than in closed economies and (iv) fiscal multipliers in high-debt countries are also zero.


People’s Republic of China

People’s Republic of China
Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 96
Release: 2023-02-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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People’s Republic of China: Selected Issues


Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis

Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis
Author: Alberto Alesina
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 596
Release: 2013-06-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 022601844X

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The recent recession has brought fiscal policy back to the forefront, with economists and policy makers struggling to reach a consensus on highly political issues like tax rates and government spending. At the heart of the debate are fiscal multipliers, whose size and sensitivity determine the power of such policies to influence economic growth. Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis focuses on the effects of fiscal stimuli and increased government spending, with contributions that consider the measurement of the multiplier effect and its size. In the face of uncertainty over the sustainability of recent economic policies, further contributions to this volume discuss the merits of alternate means of debt reduction through decreased government spending or increased taxes. A final section examines how the short-term political forces driving fiscal policy might be balanced with aspects of the long-term planning governing monetary policy. A direct intervention in timely debates, Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis offers invaluable insights about various responses to the recent financial crisis.


The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity

The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity
Author: Richard Hemming
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 62
Release: 2002-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.


Resurging Asian Giants

Resurging Asian Giants
Author: Klaus Gerhaeusser
Publisher: Asian Development Bank
Total Pages: 577
Release: 2010-07-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9290920688

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The economies of the People's Republic of China and India have seen dramatic growth in recent years. As their respective successes continue to reshape the world's economic landscape, noted Chinese and Indian scholars have studied the two countries' development paths, in particular their rich and diverse experiences in such areas as education, information technology, local entrepreneurship, capital markets, macroeconomic management, foreign direct investment, and state-owned enterprise reforms. Drawing on these studies, ADB has produced a timely collection of lessons learned that serves as a valuable refresher on the challenges and opportunities ahead for developing economies, especially those in Asia and the Pacific.


The State of China’s State Capitalism

The State of China’s State Capitalism
Author: Juann H. Hung
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 354
Release: 2018-11-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811309833

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This book comprises a collection of well-researched essays on selected contemporary economic and finance issues in China, making a timely contribution to the intellectual intercourse regarding the implications of China’s rise. These essays analyze issues related to the state of China’s ecology, real estate market, inbound and outbound FDI, income inequality, etc., and offer analysis on the policy and institutional causes of those issues. Readers will be able to infer their implications for business opportunities in China and the tradeoff / tension between economic growth and social welfare. Moreover, this book introduces an array of data and data sources useful to scholars and practitioners interested in studying the Chinese model of economic growth. This book will be a valuable resource to journalists and scholars trying to gain insight into China’s extraordinary pace of growth in the past three decades.


Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth

Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 257
Release: 2015-04-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498344658

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This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.


China: Surpassing the “Middle Income Trap”

China: Surpassing the “Middle Income Trap”
Author: Shaojie Zhou
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Total Pages: 218
Release: 2020-10-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789811565397

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This open access book explores one of the most fiercely debated issues in China: if and how China will surpass the middle income trap that has plagued many developing countries for years. This book gives readers a clear picture of China today and acts as a reference for other developing countries. China is facing many setbacks and experiencing an economic slowdown in recent years due to some serious issues, and income inequality is one such issue deferring China’s development potential by creating a middle income trap. This book thoroughly investigates both the unpromising factors and favorable conditions for China to overcome the trap. It illustrates that traps may be encountered at any stage of development and argues that political stability is the prerequisite to creating a favorable environment for economic development and addressing this “middle income trap”. Written by one of China's central planners, this book offers precious insights into the industrial policies that are transforming China and the world and will be of interest to China scholars, economists and political scientists.