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Case Study of Risk Management in the USAF B-1B Bomber Program

Case Study of Risk Management in the USAF B-1B Bomber Program
Author: Susan J. Bodilly
Publisher:
Total Pages: 76
Release: 1993
Genre: B-1 bomber
ISBN:

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This case study was undertaken in conjunction with six others to develop a better understanding of the risks involved in weapon system development and whether government policies effectively aid in the management of those risks to reduce the probability or severity of negative outcomes. The purpose of the larger study of seven Air Force procurement programs is to provide information that might improve the decision environment in which weapon systems are procured and thus to increase the probability of positive outcomes. This case focuses on the procurement of the B-1B bomber and covers the procurement of the entire aircraft platform and its component systems. The B-1B, with a direct program acquisition cost of $20.5 billion in 1981 dollars, represents a mixed array of technical advances depending on the component part examined. The case study identifies risk-related decisions made early in the program prior to or at the start of full-scale development. The assessments of risk and its subsequent management are then tracked to show how the early risk management decisions affected the program. The term risk, as used throughout this paper, is the probability that, given that an activity is undertaken, an event will occur that has negative outcomes for those involved. This case study (1) identifies acquisition practices that shape and manage risk and (2) suggests possible improvements.


Case Study of Risk Management in the USAF B-1B Bomber Program

Case Study of Risk Management in the USAF B-1B Bomber Program
Author: Frank A. Camm
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1993
Genre: AMRAAM (Air-to-air missile)
ISBN:

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This case study was undertaken with seven researchers to develop a better understanding of the risks involved in weapon system development and whether government policies effectively aid in the management of those risks. This case focuses on the procurement of the Low-Altitude Navigation Targeting Infrared for Night (LANTIRN) system, an avionics system for single seat fighter jets. This case study indicated that strategic decisions concerning the management of the procurement increased the probability of poor outcomes. Initiated by the Air Staff under an urgent requirement, the program had ambitions far beyond the technical base of the time, used extensive concurrency to meet the urgent requirement, and was developed by an inexperienced SPO. The result was severe cost overruns and schedule delays. This result could have been prevented if technical requirements had been better explored early in the program, including more specific program definition and technical demonstration, before key management decisions were put in place.


Case Study of Risk Management in the USAF LANTIRN Program

Case Study of Risk Management in the USAF LANTIRN Program
Author: Susan J. Bodilly
Publisher:
Total Pages: 84
Release: 1993
Genre: Aids to air navigation
ISBN:

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This case study was undertaken with seven researchers to develop a better understanding of the risks involved in weapon system development and whether government policies effectively aid in the management of those risks. This case focuses on the procurement of the Low-Altitude Navigation Targeting Infrared for Night (LANTIRN) system, an avionics system for single seat fighter jets. This case study indicated that strategic decisions concerning the management of the procurement increased the probability of poor outcomes. Initiated by the Air Staff under an urgent requirement, the program had ambitions far beyond the technical base of the time, used extensive concurrency to meet the urgent requirement, and was developed by an inexperienced SPO. The result was severe cost overruns and schedule delays. This result could have been prevented if technical requirements had been better explored early in the program, including more specific program definition and technical demonstration, before key management decisions were put in place.


Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 700
Release: 1995
Genre: Aeronautics
ISBN:

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Lists citations with abstracts for aerospace related reports obtained from world wide sources and announces documents that have recently been entered into the NASA Scientific and Technical Information Database.


The Supersonic Bone

The Supersonic Bone
Author: Kenneth Katz
Publisher: Pen and Sword Aviation
Total Pages: 552
Release: 2022-03-18
Genre: History
ISBN: 1399014722

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“This profusely illustrated and thoroughly researched book conveys a wealth of information” about the USAF’s B-1 bomber (Aviation History Magazine). When the B-52 Stratofortress entered operational service with the US Air Force in 1955, work was already underway on defining its successor. The B-70 Valkyrie, a Mach 3 jet bomber, was one option. Although two XB-70A prototypes flew, the B-70 never went into production. Out of the subsequent Advanced Manned Strategic Aircraft program came the B-1A bomber, which flew at high speed and low altitude to evade enemy air defenses. But the B-1A was cancelled in favor of fitting the B-52 with cruise missiles. The B-1, known as the BONE, was revived in 1981 as the improved B-1B to boost American military power and serve as a symbol of American strength at the peak of Cold War tensions. The B-1B entered service in 1986 with several deficiencies. The resolution of most of these issues coincided with the end of the Cold War. After the Cold War, the B-1B lost its primary nuclear mission but remained relevant by transforming into a high-speed, long-range, high-payload delivery platform for conventional precision-guided munitions. The first combat use of the B-1B was in 1998 in Iraq. The BONE has proved a highly effective combat aircraft in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, and the former Yugoslavia. This extensively illustrated book traces the BONE’s long development and operational history in detail. “A must-read book . . . a great reference for historians, pilots, engineers, and even policy makers. Both the writing and photos are excellent.” —Air & Space Power History


Barriers to Managing Risk in Large Scale Weapons System Development Programs

Barriers to Managing Risk in Large Scale Weapons System Development Programs
Author: Thomas Keith Glennan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 52
Release: 1993
Genre: Risk management
ISBN: 9780833013965

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The development stages of a major weapon system acquisition are inherently concerned with the management of risk. This study seeks to understand how the primary actors--the system program office (SPO), supervising command, Air Force Headquarters, Department of Defense (DoD), the contractors, and Congress--interact to shape and manage risk in major weapon system development efforts. The report, which integrates the results of seven case studies, finds that the problems the Air Force and DoD have with managing risk lie in implementation, not policy. Realistic cost, schedule, and performance goals, coupled with quality personnel, are the keys to good risk management. Senior officials in the Air Force and the DoD should understand the intense advocacy environment that shapes the recommendations of their subordinates.


Barriers to Managing Risk in Large Scale Weapons Systems Development Programs

Barriers to Managing Risk in Large Scale Weapons Systems Development Programs
Author: Kenneth R. Mayer
Publisher:
Total Pages: 43
Release: 1993
Genre:
ISBN:

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Managing the development of a major weapon system is, to a great extent, the management of risk. Top managers in the Air Force and its contractors will aim at managing development in such a way that the risks of shortfalls in performance or unacceptable development times and costs are monitored and controlled. This report integrates the findings of seven case studies of major weapon system development efforts. It attempts to understand how the actions of major actors, including the System Program Office (SPO), supervising command, Air Force Headquarters, Department of Defense (DoD), the contractors, and Congress, interact to shape the character and levels of risk inherent in a development and to manage that risk throughout the development. The systems that are subjects of the case studies were chosen to represent a wide spectrum of development tasks and levels of risk and include the following: (1) B-1B Bomber; (2) Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missile (AMRAAM); (3) Low- Altitude Navigation Targeting Infrared for Night System (LANTIRN); (4) F100-PW- 220 and F110-GE-100, Alternate Fighter Engines (AFE); (5) Space Elements of the Global Positioning System (GPS); (6) F-16/Multinational Staged Improvement Program (MSIP); and (7) Joint Surveillance Target Attack Radar System (Joint STARS). The studies, written largely from the perspective of the SPO, examine the management of risk during full-scale development but often reach back to the important planning and development activities in earlier stages of the acquisition process.


The U.S. Combat Aircraft Industry, 1909-2000

The U.S. Combat Aircraft Industry, 1909-2000
Author: Mark A. Lorell
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Total Pages: 159
Release: 2003-10-29
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 083303605X

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Drawing on primary and secondary sources on the aircraft industry, this report provides a brief survey of industry structure, innovation, and competition in the U.S. fixed-wing combat aircraft industry from its earliest days to the present. It supports a much larger research effort examining the future of the structure, innovation, and competition of the U.S. military aircraft industrial base that responds to congressional concerns about that future.


Bomber R & D Since 1945

Bomber R & D Since 1945
Author: Mark A. Lorell
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Total Pages: 100
Release: 1995
Genre: History
ISBN:

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The authors conclude that relevant experience does, indeed, matter--firms develop valuable system-specific knowledge in ongoing work, and experience in important new technologies has a distinct advantage.


The F-16 Multinational Staged Improvement Program

The F-16 Multinational Staged Improvement Program
Author: Frank A. Camm
Publisher:
Total Pages: 134
Release: 1993
Genre: F-16 (Jet Fighter plane)
ISBN:

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The F-16 Multinational Staged Improvement Program (MSIP) is the development program that the F-16 program has used to move beyond the F-16A/B. Its primary product has been the F-16C/D, an aircraft whose design evolves over time as new technological capabilities become available or attractive to incorporate in its design. MSIP is the program that F-16C/D developers have used to introduce these capabilities over time. The prime contractor for the F-16, General Dynamics, and the F-16 System Program Office (SPO) formally initiated the program in 1980. This study examines MSIP, giving special attention to means of assessing and managing the risks associated with system development. It is one of seven case studies conducted by RAND for the Air Force to examine the Air Force's management of risk in development programs during the 1980s.