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| Author | : Enrique G. Mendoza |
| Publisher | : London : Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario |
| Total Pages | : 46 |
| Release | : 1989 |
| Genre | : Business cycles |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Martín Uribe |
| Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
| Total Pages | : 646 |
| Release | : 2017-04-04 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0691158770 |
A cutting-edge graduate-level textbook on the macroeconomics of international trade Combining theoretical models and data in ways unimaginable just a few years ago, open economy macroeconomics has experienced enormous growth over the past several decades. This rigorous and self-contained textbook brings graduate students, scholars, and policymakers to the research frontier and provides the tools and context necessary for new research and policy proposals. Martín Uribe and Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé factor in the discipline's latest developments, including major theoretical advances in incorporating financial and nominal frictions into microfounded dynamic models of the open economy, the availability of macro- and microdata for emerging and developed countries, and a revolution in the tools available to simulate and estimate dynamic stochastic models. The authors begin with a canonical general equilibrium model of an open economy and then build levels of complexity through the coverage of important topics such as international business-cycle analysis, financial frictions as drivers and transmitters of business cycles and global crises, sovereign default, pecuniary externalities, involuntary unemployment, optimal macroprudential policy, and the role of nominal rigidities in shaping optimal exchange-rate policy. Based on courses taught at several universities, Open Economy Macroeconomics is an essential resource for students, researchers, and practitioners. Detailed exploration of international business-cycle analysis Coverage of financial frictions as drivers and transmitters of business cycles and global crises Extensive investigation of nominal rigidities and their role in shaping optimal exchange-rate policy Other topics include fixed exchange-rate regimes, involuntary unemployment, optimal macroprudential policy, and sovereign default and debt sustainability Chapters include exercises and replication codes
| Author | : Enrique G. Mendoza |
| Publisher | : London : Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario |
| Total Pages | : 44 |
| Release | : 1988 |
| Genre | : Business cycles |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Jan Jacobs |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 248 |
| Release | : 1998-09-30 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780792382546 |
Econometric Business Cycle Research deals with econometric business cycle research (EBCR), a term introduced by the Nobel-laureate Jan Tinbergen for his econometric method of testing (economic) business cycle theories. EBCR combines economic theory and measurement in the study of business cycles, i.e., ups and downs in overall economic activity. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle indicators, simultaneous equations models, vector autoregressive systems and real business indicators. After a sketch of the history of the methods, we investigate whether the methods meet the goals of EBCR: the three traditional ones, description, forecasting and policy evaluation, and the one Tinbergen introduced, the implementation|testing of business cycles. The first three EBCR methods are illustrated for the Netherlands, a typical example of a small, open economy. The main conclusion of the book is that simultaneous equation models are the best vehicle for EBCR, if all its goals are to be attained simultaneously. This conclusion is based on a fairly detailed assessment of the methods and is not over-turned in the empirical illustrations. The main conclusion does not imply the end of other EBCR methods. Not all goals have to be met with a single vehicle, other methods might serve the purpose equally well - or even better. For example, if one is interested in business cycle forecasts, one might prefer a business cycle indicator or vector autoregressive system. A second conclusion is that many ideas/concepts that play an important role in current discussions about econometric methodology in general and EBCR in particular, were put forward in the 1930s and 1940s. A third conclusion is that it is difficult, if not impossible, to compare the outcomes of RBC models to outcomes of the other three methods, because RBC modellers are not interested in modelling business cycles on an observation-per-observation basis. A more general conclusion in this respect is that methods should adopt the same concept of business cycles to make them comparable.
| Author | : Ms.Valerie Cerra |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 50 |
| Release | : 2020-05-29 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513536990 |
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
| Author | : Andrew B. Abel |
| Publisher | : Addison Wesley Longman |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 1998 |
| Genre | : ABD- Ekonomik koşullar |
| ISBN | : 9780201883336 |
Part 1 Introduction Chapter 1 Introduction to Macroeconomics 1.1 What Macroeconomics Is About 1.2 What Macroeconomists Do 1.3 Why Macroeconomists Disagree Chapter 2 The Measurement and Structure of the National Economy 2.1 National Income Accounting: The Measurement of Production, Income, and Expenditure 2.2 Gross Domestic Product 2.3 Saving and Wealth 2.4 Real GDP, Price Indexes, and Inflation 2.5 Interest Rates Part 2 Long-Run Economic Performance Chapter 3 Productivity, Output, and Employment 3.1 How Much Does the Economy Produce? The Production Function 3.2 The Demand for Labor 3.3 The Supply of Labor 3.4 Labor Market Equilibrium 3.5 Unemployment 3.6 Relating Output and Unemployment: Okun's Law Chapter 4 Consumption, Saving, and Investment 4.1 Consumption and Saving 4.2 Investment 4.3 Goods Market Equilibrium Chapter 5 Saving and Investment in the Open Economy 5.1 Balance of Payments Accounting 5.2 Goods Market Equilibrium in an Open Economy 5.3 Saving and Investment in a Small Open Economy 5.4 Saving and Investment in Large Open Economies 5.5 Fiscal Policy and the Current Account Chapter 6 Long-Run Economic Growth 6.1 The Sources of Economic Growth 6.2 Growth Dynamics: The Solow Model 6.3 Government Policies to Raise Long-Run Living Standards Chapter 7 The Asset Market, Money, and Prices 7.1 What Is Money? 7.2 Portfolio Allocation and the Demand for Assets 7.3 The Demand for Money 7.4 Asset Market Equilibrium 7.5 Money Growth and Inflation Part 3 Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Policy Chapter 8 Business Cycles 8.1 What Is a Business Cycle? 8.2 The American Business Cycle: The Historical Record 8.3 Business Cycle Facts 8.4 Business Cycle Analysis: A Preview Chapter 9 The IS-LM/AD-AS Model: A General Framework for Macroeconomic Analysis 9.1 The FE Line: Equilibrium in the Labor Market 9.2 The IS Curve: Equilibrium in the Goods Market 9.3 The LM Curve: Asset Market Equilibrium 9.4 General Equilibrium in the Complete IS LM Model 9.5 Price Adjustment and the Attainment of General Equilibrium 9.6 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Chapter 10 Classical Business Cycle Analysis: Market-Clearing Macroeconomics 10.1 Business Cycles in the Classical Model 10.2 Money in the Classical Model 10.3 The Misperceptions Theory and the Nonneutrality of Money Chapter 11 Keynesianism: The Macroeconomics of Wage and Price Rigidity 11.1 Real-Wage Rigidity 11.2 Price Stickiness 11.3 Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the Keynesian Model 11.4 The Keynesian Theory of Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Stabilization Part 4 Macroeconomic Policy: Its Environment and Institutions Chapter 12 Unemployment and Inflation 12.1 Unemployment and Inflation: Is There a Trade-Off? 12.2 The Problem of Unemployment 12.3 The Problem of Inflation Chapter 13 Exchange Rates, Business Cycles, and Macroeconomic Policy in the Open Economy 13.1 Exchange Rates 13.2 How Exchange Rates Are Determined: A Supply-and-Demand Analysis 13.3 The IS LM Model for an Open Economy 13.4 Macroeconomic Policy in an Open Economy with Flexible Exchange Rates 13.5 Fixed Exchange Rates Chapter 14 Monetary Policy and the Federal Reserve System 14.1 Principles of Money Supply Determination 14.2 Monetary Control in the United States 14.3 The Conduct of Monetary Policy: Rules Versus Discretion Chapter 15 Government Spending and Its Financing 15.1 The Government Budget: Some Facts and Figures 15.2 Government Spending, Taxes, and the Macroeconomy 15.3 Government Deficits and Debt 15.4 Deficits and Inflation Appendix A Some Useful Analytical Tools.
| Author | : Edmund S. Phelps |
| Publisher | : Harvard University Press |
| Total Pages | : 444 |
| Release | : 1994 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780674843738 |
Dissatisfied with the explanations of the business cycle provided by the Keynesian, monetarist, New Keynesian, and real business cycle schools, Edmund Phelps has developed from various existing strands-some modern and some classical--a radically different theory to account for the long periods of unemployment that have dogged the economies of the United States and Western Europe since the early 1970s. Phelps sees secular shifts and long swings of the unemployment rate as structural in nature. That is, they are typically the result of movements in the natural rate of unemployment (to which the equilibrium path is always tending) rather than of long-persisting deviations around a natural rate itself impervious to changing structure. What has been lacking is a "structuralist" theory of how the natural rate is disturbed by real demand and supply shocks, foreign and domestic, and the adjustments they set in motion. To study the determination of the natural rate path, Phelps constructs three stylized general equilibrium models, each one built around a distinct kind of asset in which firms invest and which is important for the hiring decision. An element of these models is the modern economics of the labor market whereby firms, in seeking to dampen their employees' propensities to quit and shirk, drive wages above market-clearing levels-the phenomenon of the "incentive wage"--and so generate involuntary unemployment in labor-market equilibrium. Another element is the capital market, where interest rates are disturbed by demand and supply shocks such as shifts in profitability, thrift, productivity, and the rate of technical progress and population increase. A general-equilibrium analysis shows how various real shocks, operating through interest rates upon the demand for employees and through the propensity to quit and shirk upon the incentive wage, act upon the natural rate (and thus equilibrium path). In an econometric and historical section, the new theory of economic activity is submitted to certain empirical tests against global postwar data. In the final section the author draws from the theory some suggestions for government policy measures that would best serve to combat structural slumps.
| Author | : George Alogoskoufis |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 30 |
| Release | : 2013 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
This paper puts forward an intertemporal model of a small open economy which allows for the simultaneous analysis of the determination of endogenous growth and external balance. The model assumes infinitely lived, overlapping generations that maximize lifetime utility, and competitive firms that maximize their net present value in the presence of adjustment costs for investment. Domestic securities are assumed perfect substitutes for foreign securities and the economy is small in the sense of being a price taker in international goods and assets markets. The endogenous growth rate is determined solely as a function of the determinants of domestic investment, such as the world real interest rate, the technology of domestic production and adjustment costs for investment. The endogenous growth rate is independent of domestic savings and the preferences of consumers. Given the domestic growth and investment rate, the preferences of consumers determine the current account and external balance. The model can also be used to analyze the implications of budgetary policy. The world real interest rate affects growth negatively but has a positive impact on external balance. The productivity of domestic capital affects growth positively but causes a deterioration in external balance. Government consumption and government debt affect the current account and external balance negatively, but do not affect the endogenous growth rate. This model addresses and resolves the indeterminancy problems that arise in comparable representative household endogenous growth models of small open economies.
| Author | : Sebastian Edwards |
| Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
| Total Pages | : 782 |
| Release | : 2002-11-15 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780226184944 |
Economists and policymakers are still trying to understand the lessons recent financial crises in Asia and other emerging market countries hold for the future of the global financial system. In this timely and important volume, distinguished academics, officials in multilateral organizations, and public and private sector economists explore the causes of and effective policy responses to international currency crises. Topics covered include exchange rate regimes, contagion (transmission of currency crises across countries), the current account of the balance of payments, the role of private sector investors and of speculators, the reaction of the official sector (including the multilaterals), capital controls, bank supervision and weaknesses, and the roles of cronyism, corruption, and large players (including hedge funds). Ably balancing detailed case studies, cross-country comparisons, and theoretical concerns, this book will make a major contribution to ongoing efforts to understand and prevent international currency crises.
| Author | : Thomas F. Cooley |
| Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
| Total Pages | : 452 |
| Release | : 1995-02-26 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780691043234 |
This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t
