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Behaviour of Asset Pricing Anomalies Around Earnings Announcements

Behaviour of Asset Pricing Anomalies Around Earnings Announcements
Author: Ameer Hassan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 148
Release: 2011
Genre: Stock exchanges
ISBN:

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In support of the efficient market hypothesis, Fama (1998) suggests financial anomalies are nothing but "methodological illusions". Existing literature tests certain anomalies around Earnings Announcements (EAs) and finds that anomalous returns are enhanced around these dates, indicating mispricing. However, due to data limitations, not much work has been done beyond US samples. Extending the existing country specific literature on anomalies, this study tests value/growth and price momentum anomalies around earnings announcements for a sample of 46 non-US countries over a period of ten years (1999-2008). Using robust event study methodology, the study contributes to the literature by providing evidence on anomalies around earnings announcements in an international perspective. The study also contributes by providing a cross-country perspective which allows a test of the impact of certain rules (e.g. various accounting standards) and regulations (e.g. various investor protection regulations) on the size of anomalies and could also help explain the differences (if any) across countries. Because countries with better accounting standards and hence better earnings announcement informativeness have higher value/growth portfolio returns around earnings announcements, the tests on value/growth support the mispricing argument. The case of price momentum is also in conformity with initial results; accounting standards stand out in cross-sectional regressions as well as rule of law and political stability. None of these results can be explained by the risk based argument.


The Announcement Waiting Game

The Announcement Waiting Game
Author: Timothy Harindra De Silva
Publisher:
Total Pages: 58
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN:

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Firms and asset pricing anomalies earn large returns around earnings announcements. This paper advances an explanation for this phenomenon based on holding costs, which are costs incurred by investors while maintaining an existing position. Since holding costs raise the marginal cost of holding a position, I hypothesize holding costs cause sophisticated investors to concentrate their positions in stocks and anomalies around earnings announcements, which subsequently induces concentration in price discovery around these announcements. This paper proposes empirical tests to identify (i) how holding costs influence the trading behavior of sophisticated investors and (ii) whether holding costs contribute to the concentration in returns around earnings releases through their effects on trading behavior. In sum, this paper hopes to highlight the importance of considering the objective function and constraints of the investors performing price discovery when studying the relationship between information releases and market outcomes.


Stock Market Anomalies

Stock Market Anomalies
Author: Elroy Dimson
Publisher: CUP Archive
Total Pages: 328
Release: 1988-03-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521341042

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Stock Price Reaction to Quarterly Earnings Announcements with respect of outlook changes and deviation to consensus forecast

Stock Price Reaction to Quarterly Earnings Announcements with respect of outlook changes and deviation to consensus forecast
Author: Benjamin Schmitt
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 57
Release: 2015-06-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3656972419

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Bachelor Thesis from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.1, EBS European Business School gGmbH (Finance), language: English, abstract: Many authors have already studied about stock price reactions after earnings announcements yet, which is because of the importance of earnings announcements, in particular quarterly earnings announcements, for many investors. However, all major studies concerning this topic deal with long-term scenarios, the stock’s price performance is measured for a time period of at least three quarters. Due to the fact that there are many investors, especially institutional investors such as hedge funds that trade stocks much more frequently, the existing studies are not relevant for them. This paper studies stock price reactions around quarterly earnings announcements for companies listed in Deutscher Aktienindex (DAX) or Midcap DAX (MDAX) with respect to changes of the company’s full-year outlook and of earnings surprise regarding analyst consensus forecast within ten days before and after the announcement date. Hence, this paper aims to analyse short-term reaction to quarterly earnings announcements, which are of relevance for all investors, whose investment strategy is, at least partially, focussing on the short-term performance. The main target group of this analysis are therefore hedge funds and investors that run short-term strategies. Due to the fact that the widespread Event Study Methodology is focused on the long-term, it is irrelevant for this analysis.


Anomalous Price Behavior Following Earnings Surprises

Anomalous Price Behavior Following Earnings Surprises
Author: Michael Kaestner
Publisher:
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

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Behavioral Finance aims to explain empirical anomalies by introducing investor psychology as a determinant of asset pricing. Two kinds of anomalies, namely underreaction and overreaction, have been established by an impressive record of empirical work. While underreaction defines a slow adjustment of prices to corporate events or announcements, overreaction deals with extreme stock price reactions to previous information or past performance.This study investigates current and past earnings surprises for listed US companies over the period 1983-1999. It provides evidence that investors exhibit long-term overreaction to past, highly unexpected, earnings surprises. Investors tend to overestimate (underestimate) future earnings after extreme positive (negative) earnings surprises. As, on average, these extreme past surprises are not confirmed by subsequent earnings figures, they are followed by a correction of the initial overreaction at the date of the subsequent earnings announcement. Moreover, the longer the similar earnings surprise series, the higher the subsequent correction, suggesting that representativeness may cause this overreaction phenomenon.


Market Reactions to Earnings Announcements

Market Reactions to Earnings Announcements
Author: Duc Khuong Nguyen
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Total Pages: 256
Release: 2014-11-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780230277748

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The study of market reaction around earnings announcements is central to the understanding of investor's behavior. Traditional finance theory assumes that investors are rational, and their behavior is objective. But, since investor rationality is not confirmed by facts and cognitive psychology plays an undeniable role in the exhaustive understanding of human behavior, a more effective tool rather than traditional models based on the concept of capital market efficiency might be required to gauge investor's behavior. The use of experimental method is, in this case, particularly advantageous in that it allows us to take both the psychological and irrational parameters of market operators into account. This book provides an in-depth investigation into market anomalies and market reactions to earnings announcements from an experimental perspective. It discusses various experimental designs and modeling techniques needed by finance researchers and practitioners to analyze the dynamic behavior of markets and operators.


Econophysics and Capital Asset Pricing

Econophysics and Capital Asset Pricing
Author: James Ming Chen
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 293
Release: 2017-10-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319634658

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This book rehabilitates beta as a definition of systemic risk by using particle physics to evaluate discrete components of financial risk. Much of the frustration with beta stems from the failure to disaggregate its discrete components; conventional beta is often treated as if it were "atomic" in the original Greek sense: uncut and indivisible. By analogy to the Standard Model of particle physics theory's three generations of matter and the three-way interaction of quarks, Chen divides beta as the fundamental unit of systemic financial risk into three matching pairs of "baryonic" components. The resulting econophysics of beta explains no fewer than three of the most significant anomalies and puzzles in mathematical finance. Moreover, the model's three-way analysis of systemic risk connects the mechanics of mathematical finance with phenomena usually attributed to behavioral influences on capital markets. Adding consideration of volatility and correlation, and of the distinct cash flow and discount rate components of systematic risk, harmonizes mathematical finance with labor markets, human capital, and macroeconomics.


Investors' Misreaction to Unexpected Earnings

Investors' Misreaction to Unexpected Earnings
Author: Michael Kaestner
Publisher:
Total Pages: 17
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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Behavioral Finance aims to explain empirical anomalies by introducing investor psychology as a determinant of asset pricing. Two kinds of anomalies, namely underreaction and overreaction, have been established by an impressive record of empirical work. While underreaction defines a slow adjustment of prices to corporate events or announcements, overreaction deals with extreme stock price reactions to previous information or past performance. Theoretical models have shown that both phenomena find potential explanations in cognitive biases, that is, investor irrationality.This study investigates current and past earnings surprises and subsequent market reaction for listed US companies over the period 1983-1999. The results suggest that investors simultaneously exhibit short-term underreaction to earnings announcements and long-term overreaction to past highly unexpected earnings. A potential explanation for the reported overreaction phenomenon is the representativeness bias. As I show, the overreaction and the later reversal is stronger for events, which exhibit a long series of similar past earnings surprises.


The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies

The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies
Author: Leonard Zacks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 352
Release: 2011-08-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118127765

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Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.


Momentum and Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift Anomalies

Momentum and Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift Anomalies
Author: Ronnie Sadka
Publisher:
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper investigates the components of liquidity risk that are important for asset-pricing anomalies. Firm-level liquidity is decomposed into variable and fixed price effects and estimated using intraday data for the period 1983-2001. Unexpected systematic (market-wide) variations of the variable component rather than the fixed component of liquidity are shown to be priced within the context of momentum and post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD) portfolio returns. As the variable component is typically associated with private information (e.g., Kyle (1985)), the results suggest that a substantial part of momentum and PEAD returns can be viewed as compensation for the unexpected variations in the aggregate ratio of informed traders to noise traders.