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Audit Quality and Properties of Analyst Earnings Forecasts

Audit Quality and Properties of Analyst Earnings Forecasts
Author: Bruce K. Behn
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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Under the assumption that audit quality relates positively to unobservable financial reporting reliability, we investigate whether audit quality is associated with the predictability of accounting earnings by focusing on analyst earnings forecast properties. The evidence shows that analysts' earnings forecast accuracy is higher and the forecast dispersion is smaller for firms audited by a Big Five auditor. We further find that auditor industry specialization is associated with higher forecast accuracy and less forecast dispersion in the non-Big Five auditor sample but not in the Big Five auditor sample. Overall, our results suggest that high quality audit provided by Big Five auditors and industry specialist non-Big Five auditors is associated with better forecasting performance by analysts.


Management Earnings Forecasts and the Quality of Analysts' Forecasts

Management Earnings Forecasts and the Quality of Analysts' Forecasts
Author: Carol Liu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study investigates whether effective audit committees influence the association between management earnings forecasts and the properties of analysts" forecasts. We posit that this influence on the part of an audit committee would likely result from increased responsibility for monitoring voluntary disclosure. Using the four attributes that the Blue Ribbon Committee (1999) and prior research suggest as being indicative of audit committee effectiveness, we find that analysts" forecasts exhibit higher accuracy and lower dispersion with the issuance of management forecasts for those firms employing audit committees that are composed exclusively of independent directors, include an accounting expert, and act with due diligence. We also find that effective audit committees strengthen the association between management and analyst forecast accuracy. Our evidence, therefore, supports the notion that effective corporate governance influences the reliability of voluntary disclosure, and thereby benefits the users of financial information.


Audit Firm Industry Specialisation and Analyst Forecast Accuracy

Audit Firm Industry Specialisation and Analyst Forecast Accuracy
Author: Yi Wu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2014
Genre: Accounting firms
ISBN:

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My thesis examines whether the extent to which audit firms concentrate their business in particular industries ('audit firm industry specialisation') improves the usefulness of published financial reports for analysts' predictions of future earnings, and whether the strength of any observed association varies in a manner consistent with the existence of a causal relationship between audit quality and analyst forecast accuracy. Prior research presents diametrically opposite predictions and results regarding the directional relationship between audit firm industry specialisation and analyst forecast accuracy. My thesis shows that the conflicting results in the literature arise largely from prior studies' focus on short-horizon (end-of-year) forecast accuracy, which is subject to competing effects related to audit quality, and which in turn renders the resulting empirical models highly sensitive to model specification. I argue that analyst long-horizon (beginning-of-year) forecast accuracy is a more direct measure of the usefulness of published earnings for the prediction of future performance, and demonstrate that regressions using this metric consistently report a significant positive relation between audit firm industry specialisation and forecast accuracy. I then examine whether the observed positive association between audit firm industry specialisation and forecast accuracy varies with factors argued to reflect the relative importance of audit quality to the predictability of earnings. First, I show that the impact of audit firm industry specialisation on forecast accuracy increases with the underlying riskiness of clients' operations (proxied by cash flow volatility and innate accrual quality). I then argue that audit firm industry specialisation should have a greater impact on the forecast accuracy of lower-quality analysts (where quality is proxied by experience, employer size, 'All-Star' status and composite measures), who rely relatively heavily on published earnings when generating forecasts. To this end, I present evidence that audit firm industry specialisation has a greater impact on forecast accuracy for: (1) firm-years where the average 'quality' of analysts covering the firm is lower, and (2) for forecasts issued by individual analysts of lower quality. My results are robust to the use of controls for the endogenous selection of industry specialist auditors. In sum, my study presents evidence that greater audit quality does improve the usefulness of financial statements for the prediction of future earnings.


Auditors' Response to Analysts' Forecast Properties

Auditors' Response to Analysts' Forecast Properties
Author: Yin Yen William Foo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2014
Genre: Auditing
ISBN:

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This study draws on information asymmetry theory and audit pricing theory to examine the linkage between analysts' earnings forecast properties and audit pricing in the US. To test these associations information asymmetry is measured by (1) analysts' forecast accuracy, and (2) analysts' forecast dispersion. This study provides evidence that higher analyst earnings forecast accuracy (dispersion) are associated with lower (higher) audit fee pricing. Our interpretation of these results are that analysts, as important financial intermediaries, provide useful information to other third parties, including auditors. We find that these relationships are stronger for small firms and younger firms in line with these firms having higher informational problems, and that audit firm industry specialization plays a significant role in reducing information asymmetry.


Common Individual Auditors and Analyst Forecast Performance

Common Individual Auditors and Analyst Forecast Performance
Author: Junxiong Fang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 63
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

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We examine the importance of analysts covering firms with common audit partners to analyst earnings forecast performance (hereafter, we term the analyst, auditor, and the firm as being “common”). We find that analysts issue more accurate and less optimistically biased earnings forecasts for firms with common audit partners than other analysts following the same firm without common audit partners. Consistent with expectations, we identify auditors' style in making audit judgments as the channel through which analysts accumulate better information from covering firms with common audit partners. In a series of cross-sectional analyses, we find that this result is stronger when: (1) analysts suffer from poor direct access to firm-specific information from managers; (2) the information value from common auditors is higher, evident in their clients having more opaque operations, more difficult-to-forecast earnings, and greater stock price synchronicity; and (3) the quality of information that analysts elicit from auditors is higher, evident in auditors belonging to a large audit firm. Our results are robust to different approaches for addressing the potential endogeneity of analysts' coverage decisions.


Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations

Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations
Author: Sundaresh Ramnath
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Total Pages: 125
Release: 2008
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1601981627

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Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations reviews research related to the role of financial analysts in the allocation of resources in capital markets. The authors provide an organized look at the literature, with particular attention to important questions that remain open for further research. They focus research related to analysts' decision processes and the usefulness of their forecasts and stock recommendations. Some of the major surveys were published in the early 1990's and since then no less than 250 papers related to financial analysts have appeared in the nine major research journals that we used to launch our review of the literature. The research has evolved from descriptions of the statistical properties of analysts' forecasts to investigations of the incentives and decision processes that give rise to those properties. However, in spite of this broader focus, much of analysts' decision processes and the market's mechanism of drawing a useful consensus from the combination of individual analysts' decisions remain hidden in a black box. What do we know about the relevant valuation metrics and the mechanism by which analysts and investors translate forecasts into present equity values? What do we know about the heuristics relied upon by analysts and the market and the appropriateness of their use? Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations examines these and other questions and concludes by highlighting area for future research.


Audit Committee Accounting Expertise, Analyst Following, and Market Liquidity

Audit Committee Accounting Expertise, Analyst Following, and Market Liquidity
Author: David B. Farber
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

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We study the relation between audit committee accounting expertise, analyst following, and market liquidity. Our main results indicate that analyst following increases subsequent to the appointment of an accounting expert to the audit committee. We also provide evidence that accrual quality, as opposed to audit quality or management earnings forecasts, is the channel through which accounting expertise increases analyst following and improves analyst forecast properties. We also show that audit committee accounting expertise is related to higher trading volume and lower liquidity risk, supporting incentives for greater analyst following. Our study extends prior literature by providing evidence that audit committee accounting expertise enhances firms' information environment beyond the effects it has on financial reporting quality or analysts' forecast properties. Our study also complements the literature on determinants of analyst following and market liquidity, both of which are related to cost of capital. Results from our study should be useful to firms seeking to enhance analyst following and market liquidity.


On the Properties of Financial Analyst Earnings Forecasts: Some New Evidence

On the Properties of Financial Analyst Earnings Forecasts: Some New Evidence
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release:
Genre:
ISBN:

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The importance of information in the formation process of security prices has a long history. The dissemination of information can take on different forms depending on the legal constraints. However, in all developed financial markets, financial analysts play a prominent role in collecting, analysing and diffusing information. Financial analysts typically supply future earnings estimates and stock picking advices in the form of recommendations. Earnings estimates are the essential part of security valuation by analysts and investors. They have even become an integral part of financial reporting in the financial press. Early research has accumulated evidence that these estimates are optimistically biased. More recently, empirical studies have found that analysts' optimistic bias is lessening, that its extent differs across analysts, firm characteristics and countries. Broadly speaking, this dissertation investigates the determinants of financial analyst forecasts bias. In the first essay, I examine the relative accuracy of European financial analysts' earnings forecasts and its determinants. I show that the results obtained for US analysts can not be generalised to European analysts who face a seemingly different job market as well as several different institutional and economic environments. In the second essay, I investigate the influence of financial analysts' location on their performance. More precisely, I examine the relative performance of local versus foreign analysts on Latin American stock markets. I find foreign analysts to be more timely and more accurate than their local counterparts. In addition, I document stronger price reactions after foreign analysts' forecast revisions than after those of local analysts. The third essay is related to the declining pattern of financial analyst forecast bias. In particular, I investigate whether US CEOs compensation arrangements give CEOs incentives to manipulate analysts' expectations downward in order to release ea.


Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Analysts' Forecasts

Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Analysts' Forecasts
Author: Jahidur Md Rahman
Publisher:
Total Pages: 18
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study conducts a comprehensive review of the literature published during 1996- 2017 to identify the factors that affect the accuracy of financial analysts' forecasts. We organize our review around three main groups, namely, (a) drivers of analyst forecast accuracy, (b) quality financial reporting, and (c) accounting standards. Among the several factors found, some factors (experience of the analyst, earnings quality, audit quality, IFRS adoption, and annual report readability) have a positive relationship with the accuracy of analysts' forecasts while others (politically connected firms, firms audited by Non-Big 4, and international GAAP differences) have a negative relationship. Our findings contribute to future research by examining the factors affecting analyst forecast accuracy from different perspectives, which will prove to be useful for academicians, regulators, investors, and financial analysts.


Evidence on the Relation between Audit and Earnings Quality. Do Clients of Higher Quality Auditors Provide Better Financial Reporting?

Evidence on the Relation between Audit and Earnings Quality. Do Clients of Higher Quality Auditors Provide Better Financial Reporting?
Author:
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2017-06-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 366846748X

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Seminar paper from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Accounting and Taxes, grade: 1,3, , language: English, abstract: This paper studies the relation between audit and earnings quality. It examines whether firms audited by a Big 4 member engage in higher earnings management activities as proxied by the magnitude of discretionary and absolute accruals, as well as an income smoothing measure. The author predicts that large auditors have higher competencies and incentives to deliver a higher quality audit. Therefore, their clients are expected to reveal less sophisticated earnings management and thus higher earnings quality. The results do not support this relation. Since standardsetters have been concerned about managers’ use of discretion to manage earnings in their financial reports, an increasing amount of empirical research was conducted to address this issue, additionally to regulation. While independent auditors (aim to) assure that these statements are in accordance with legal compliance, the actual audit quality can be grasped as the contingency that the auditor exposes and discloses an anomaly in their clients’ financial reports. Whereas numerous audit scandals threaten the trustworthiness of well-known large auditors, there is various research revealing that Big N audited firms are supposed to disclose financial reports of higher quality. Supplementing misguiding accrual accounting practices in this regard, this study also addresses another proxy for earnings management: income smoothing. Burgstahler and Dichev (1997) explain corporate income smoothing with the fact that managers avoid revealing earning decreases and losses to diminish costs arising from transactions with stakeholders. Similarly, Degeorge, Patel and Zeckhauser (1999) show that managers smooth earnings to meet analysts’ forecasts. On the other hand there are various contrary studies. DeFond and Jimbalvo (1993) found that auditor-client disagreements resulting from earnings management, are more present in Big 4 audited firms. They explain this with the properties of the “common” Big 4 clients. For the reason of the ambiguous results, it is interesting to study the effects and compare them with prior evidence to answer the question whether Big 4 auditors deliver “higher” quality in terms of a “better” financial reporting. The terms are operationalized using a dis-cretionary accruals and income smoothing measure and analyzed for (non-)Big 4 audited UK-firms in the period 2005-2011.