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Asymmetric Volatility in Equity Markets Around the World

Asymmetric Volatility in Equity Markets Around the World
Author: Jone Horpestad
Publisher:
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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The observation that price declines usually lead to volatility increases is known as the asymmetric volatility effect and has become a stylized fact about the financial markets. We study asymmetric volatility effect in 19 equity indices from North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia and Australia, utilizing not only daily data and four GARCH class models, but also realized volatility calculated from high-frequency data within HAR class models. We first confirm the stylized fact that stock market indices around the world exhibit the asymmetric volatility effect. This effect is stronger for US and European market indices. Second, we find that the asymmetric volatility effect is strong enough to significantly improve out-of-sample forecasts of an accurate HAR volatility model. Third, we show that forecast improvements of the asymmetric volatility models are largest during periods of higher market volatility, when accurate volatility forecasts matter the most.


Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets

Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets
Author: Geert Bekaert
Publisher:
Total Pages: 76
Release: 1997
Genre: Investments
ISBN:

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It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level and to examine two potential explanations of the asymmetry: leverage effects and time-varying risk premiums. Our empirical application uses the market portfolio and portfolios with different leverage constructed from Nikkei 225 stocks, extending the empirical evidence on asymmetry to Japanese stocks. Although volatility asymmetry is present and significant at the market and the portfolio levels, its source differs across portfolios. We find that it is important to include leverage ratios in the volatility dynamics but that their economic effects are mostly dwarfed by the volatility feedback mechanism. Volatility feedback is enhanced by a phenomenon that we term covariance asymmetry: conditional covariances with the market increase only significantly following negative market news. We do not find significant asymmetries in conditional betas.


Explaining Asymmetric Volatility around the World

Explaining Asymmetric Volatility around the World
Author: Tõnn Talpsepp
Publisher:
Total Pages: 54
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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Based on the APARCH model and two outlier detection methods, we compute reliable time series of volatility asymmetry for 49 countries with relatively few observations. Results show a steady increase in the asymmetry over the years for most countries. We find that economic development and market capitalization/GDP are the most important factors that increase volatility asymmetry. We also find that higher participation of private investors and coverage by financial analysts increases the asymmetry, suggesting investor sentiment as a driving force. Leverage and feasibility of short-selling increase volatility in falling market conditions, although only to a smaller extent.


Integration and the Asymmetric Transmission of Volatility

Integration and the Asymmetric Transmission of Volatility
Author: Bruce Allen Hearn
Publisher:
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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Considerable attention has been given to market integration and volatility transmission between national stock markets, although this has previously been confined to OECD countries or emerging markets in Latin America and Asia-Pacific. Using a new and comprehensive dataset, this paper finds evidence of volatility transmission between ten rival markets in SSA, noting that this volatility is intrinsically asymmetric. Extensive spillovers are found across these markets, some uni-directional and others bilateral. However, continued illiquidity, incomplete institutions and low levels of domestic participation indicate that an integrated financial community remains premature, and considerable regulatory reform and harmonisation will be necessary before this can be achieved.


Extreme Asymmetric Volatility, Leverage, Feedback and Asset Prices

Extreme Asymmetric Volatility, Leverage, Feedback and Asset Prices
Author: Sofiane Aboura
Publisher:
Total Pages: 62
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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Asymmetric volatility in equity markets has been widely documented in finance, where two competing explanations, as considered in Bekaert and Wu (2000), are the financial leverage and the volatility feedback hypothesis. We explicitly test for the role of both hypotheses in explaining extreme daily U.S. equity market movements during the period January 1990 to September 2008. To this aim, we examine asymmetric volatility based on a novel model of market returns, implied market volatility and volatility of volatility. We then test for extreme asymmetry and the distinct predictions of both hypotheses. Our results document significant extreme asymmetric volatility. This effect is contemporaneous, consistent with both hypotheses, and it is important for large market declines. We further derive aggregate asset pricing implications under extreme volatility feedback. Given our results, asymmetric volatility, which includes the effect of volatility feedback at extreme levels, is shown to play an important role in explaining substantial equity market declines.


Chinese and World Equity Markets

Chinese and World Equity Markets
Author: Kuan-Pin Lin
Publisher:
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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After more than fifteen years of Chinese equity markets, we study how variance, covariance, and correlations have developed in these markets relative to world markets, based on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model of Engle (2002). Chinese markets offer A-shares to domestic investors and otherwise identical B-shares to foreign investors. We find that the volatility of A-shares has declined over the past decade. We find no asymmetric volatility relative to world markets in China. Contrary to the global trend of increasing cross-country correlations, we find stationary correlations for China. A-share indices have never been correlated with world markets, and B-share indices exhibit a low degree of correlation with Western markets (0-5%) and a slightly higher degree of correlation with other Asian markets (10-20%). We interpret these findings using Gordon's growth model.


Volatility Spillover Across Major Equity Markets

Volatility Spillover Across Major Equity Markets
Author: Pardeep Singh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 13
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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Volatility spillover among major equity markets has long fascinated academicians and researchers alike. This paper presents an elaborate survey and analysis of the literature on the subject. Review of extant studies on various basis such as markets studied, methodology employed, among others has important implications for various stakeholders. We report that there has been wide variation in results because different studies have examined different markets using wide range of financial econometric methodologies. Some have considered only volatility or both volatility and spillover. Still others have incorporated the impact of global financial crisis on volatility spillover. Future researchers should examine if there is any volatility spillovers between various sectors of an economy, between different financial markets of the same economy, amongst same sectors of different markets, probe whether size effect is relevant, identify the transmission channels of volatility spillover, enumerate reasons behind volatility spillover, examine asymmetric volatility responses among stock markets and can use more advanced econometric techniques.


Stock Market Volatility

Stock Market Volatility
Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 654
Release: 2009-04-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1420099558

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Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel