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Asset Return Dynamics Under Bad Environment-Good Environment Fundamentals

Asset Return Dynamics Under Bad Environment-Good Environment Fundamentals
Author: Geert Bekaert
Publisher:
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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We introduce a "bad environment-good environment" technology for consumption growth in a consumption-based asset pricing model. Using the preference structure from Campbell and Cochrane (1999), the model generates realistic time-varying volatility, skewness and kurtosis in fundamentals while still permitting closed-form solutions for asset prices. The model not only fits standard salient asset prices features including means and volatilities for equity returns and risk free rates, but also generates a realistic variance premium and option prices.


Asset return dynamics under bad environment-good environment fundamentals

Asset return dynamics under bad environment-good environment fundamentals
Author: Geert Bekaert
Publisher:
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2009
Genre: Assets (Accounting)
ISBN:

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We introduce a "bad environment-good environment" technology for consumption growth in a consumption- based asset pricing model. Using the preference structure from Campbell and Cochrane (1999), the model generates realistic time-varying volatility, skewness and kurtosis in fundamentals while still permitting closed-form solutions for asset prices. The model not only fits standard salient asset prices features including means and volatilities for equity returns and risk free rates, but also generates a realistic variance premium and option prices.


Asset Return Dynamics Under Habits and Bad-Environment-Good Environment Fundamentals

Asset Return Dynamics Under Habits and Bad-Environment-Good Environment Fundamentals
Author: Geert Bekaert
Publisher:
Total Pages: 82
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

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We introduce a “bad environment-good environment” (BEGE) technology for consumption growth in a consumption-based asset pricing model with external habit formation. The model generates realistic non-Gaussian features of consumption growth and fits standard salient features of asset prices including the means and volatilities of equity returns and a low risk free rate. BEGE dynamics additionally allow the model to generate realistic properties of equity index options prices, and their comovements with the macroeconomic outlook. In particular, when option-implied volatility is high, as measured for instance by the VIX index, the distribution of consumption growth is more negatively skewed.


Alternative Investments

Alternative Investments
Author: H. Kent Baker
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 660
Release: 2013-03-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118241126

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A comprehensive guide to alternative investments that reveals today's latest research and strategies Historically low interest rates and bear markets in world stock markets have generated intense interest in alternative investments. With returns in traditional investment vehicles relatively low, many professional investors view alternative investments as a means of meeting their return objectives. Alternative Investments: Instruments, Performance, Benchmarks, and Strategies, can put you in a better position to achieve this difficult goal. Part of the Robert W. Kolb Series in Finance, Alternative Investments provides an in-depth discussion of the historic performance, benchmarks, and strategies of every major alternative investment market. With contributions from professionals and academics around the world, it offers valuable insights on the latest trends, research, and thinking in each major area. Empirical evidence about each type of alternative investment is featured, with research presented in a straightforward manner. Examines a variety of major alternative asset classes, from real estate, private equity, and commodities to managed futures, hedge funds, and distressed securities Provides detailed insights on the latest research and strategies, and offers a thorough explanation of historical performance, benchmarks, and other critical information Blends knowledge from the conceptual world of scholars with the pragmatic view of practitioners in this field Alternative investments provide a means of diversification, risk control, and return enhancement and, as such, are attractive to many professional investors. If you're looking for an effective way to hone your skills in this dynamic area of finance, look no further than this book.


General Equilibrium Option Pricing Method: Theoretical and Empirical Study

General Equilibrium Option Pricing Method: Theoretical and Empirical Study
Author: Jian Chen
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 163
Release: 2018-04-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811074283

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This book mainly addresses the general equilibrium asset pricing method in two aspects: option pricing and variance risk premium. First, volatility smile and smirk is the famous puzzle in option pricing. Different from no arbitrage method, this book applies the general equilibrium approach in explaining the puzzle. In the presence of jump, investors impose more weights on the jump risk than the volatility risk, and as a result, investors require more jump risk premium which generates a pronounced volatility smirk. Second, based on the general equilibrium framework, this book proposes variance risk premium and empirically tests its predictive power for international stock market returns.


Investment Irreversibility, Real Activity and Asset Return Dynamics

Investment Irreversibility, Real Activity and Asset Return Dynamics
Author: Ilan Cooper
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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We conduct an empirical investigation of an investment-based asset pricing model. We introduce a novel theoretically derived economically fundamental variable, namely the rate of capital utilization and test its relationships with return volatility, systematic risk and expected returns. Our evidence, based on 459 manufacturing industries from the NBER productivity database, on the roles of assets in place and growth options in stock return dynamics is broadly consistent with the predictions of the new strand of models. We also propose a novel measure for the degree of investment irreversibility, namely the volatility of the capacity utilization rate.


Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research
Author: Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 452
Release: 1995-02-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780691043234

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This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t


Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management
Author: Söhnke M. Bartram
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
Total Pages: 95
Release: 2020-08-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 195292703X

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Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and risk management practices by increasing efficiency, accuracy, and compliance. In particular, AI techniques help construct portfolios based on more accurate risk and return forecasts and more complex constraints. Trading algorithms use AI to devise novel trading signals and execute trades with lower transaction costs. AI also improves risk modeling and forecasting by generating insights from new data sources. Finally, robo-advisors owe a large part of their success to AI techniques. Yet the use of AI can also create new risks and challenges, such as those resulting from model opacity, complexity, and reliance on data integrity.


Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics

Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics
Author: Peter Christoffersen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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We consider three sets of phenomena that feature prominently and separately in the financial economics literature: conditional mean dependence (or lack thereof) in asset returns, dependence (and hence forecastability) in asset return signs, and dependence (and hence forecastability) in asset return volatilities. We show that they are very much interrelated, and we explore the relationships in detail. Among other things, we show that: (a) Volatility dependence produces sign dependence, so long as expected returns are nonzero, so that one should expect sign dependence, given the overwhelming evidence of volatility dependence; (b) The standard finding of little or no conditional mean dependence is entirely consistent with a significant degree of sign dependence and volatility dependence; (c) Sign dependence is not likely to be found via analysis of sign autocorrelations, runs tests, or traditional market timing tests, because of the special nonlinear nature of sign dependence; (d) Sign dependence is not likely to be found in very high-frequency (e.g., daily) or very low-frequency (e.g., annual) returns; instead, it is more likely to be found at intermediate return horizons; (e) Sign dependence is very much present in actual U.S. equity returns, and its properties match closely our theoretical predictions; (f) The link between volatility forecastability and sign forecastability remains intact in conditionally non-Gaussian environments, as for example with time-varying conditional skewness and/or kurtosis.