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Asset Prices, Consumption, and the Business Cycle

Asset Prices, Consumption, and the Business Cycle
Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher:
Total Pages: 122
Release: 1998
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN:

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This paper reviews the behavior of financial asset prices in relation to consumption. The paper lists some important stylized facts that characterize US data, and relates them to recent developments in equilibrium asset pricing theory. Data from other countries are examined to see which features of the US experience apply more generally. The paper argues that to make sense of asset market behavior one needs a model in which the market price of risk is high, time-varying, and correlated with the state of the economy. Models that have this feature, including models with habit-formation in utility, heterogeneous investors, and irrational expectations, are discussed. The main focus is on stock returns and short-term real interest rates, but bond returns are also considered.


Asset Pricing for Dynamic Economies

Asset Pricing for Dynamic Economies
Author: Sumru Altug
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 686
Release: 2008-09-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1139474367

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This introduction to general equilibrium modelling takes an integrated approach to the analysis of macroeconomics and finance. It provides students, practitioners, and policymakers with an easily accessible set of tools that can be used to analyze a wide range of economic phenomena. Key features: • Provides a consistent framework for understanding dynamic economic models • Introduces key concepts in finance in a discrete time setting • Develops simple recursive approach for analyzing a variety of problems in a dynamic, stochastic environment • Sequentially builds up the analysis of consumption, production, and investment models to study their implications for allocations and asset prices • Reviews business cycle analysis and the business cycle implications of monetary and international models • Covers latest research on asset pricing in overlapping generations models and on models with borrowing constraints and transaction costs • Includes end-of-chapter exercises allowing readers to monitor their understanding of each topic Online resources are available at www.cambridge.org/altug_labadie


Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions

Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions
Author: Willi Semmler
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2007-03-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3540246967

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"Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions" is a book on Financial Economics from a dynamic perspective. It focuses on the dynamic interaction of financial markets and economic activity. The financial markets to be studied here encompasses the money and bond market, credit market, stock market and foreign exchange market. Economic activity is described by the activity of firms, banks, households, governments and countries. The book shows how economic activity affects asset prices and the financial market and how asset prices and financial market volatility feed back to economic activity. The focus in this book is on theories, dynamic models and empirical evidence. Empirical applications relate to episodes of financial instability and financial crises of the U.S., Latin American, Asian as well as Euro-area countries. The current version of the book has moved to a more extensive coverage of the topics in financial economics by updating the literature in the appropriate chapters. Moreover it gives a more extensive treatment of new and more advanced topics in financial economics such as international portfolio theory, multi-agent and evolutionary approaches, capital asset pricing beyond consumption-based models and dynamic portfolio decisions. Overall, the book presents material that researchers and practitioners in financial engineering need to know about economic dynamics and that economists, practitioners and policy makers need to know about the financial market.


Asset Pricing Lessons for Modeling Business Cycles

Asset Pricing Lessons for Modeling Business Cycles
Author: Michele Boldrin
Publisher:
Total Pages: 70
Release: 1996
Genre: Banks and banking, International
ISBN:

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We develop a model which accounts for the observed equity premium and average risk free rate, without implying counterfactually high risk aversion. The model also does well in accounting for business cycle phenomena. With respect to the conventional measures of business cycle volatility and comovement with output, the model does roughly as well as the standard business cycle model. On two other dimensions, the model's business cycle implications are actually improved. Its enhanced internal propagation allows it to account for the fact that there is positive persistence in output growth, and the model also provides a resolution to the 'excess sensitivity puzzle' for consumption and income. Key features of the model are habit persistence preferences, and a multisector technology with limited intersectoral mobility of factors of production.


Global Stock Markets

Global Stock Markets
Author: Wolfgang Drobetz
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 346
Release: 2013-06-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3663085295

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Wolfgang Drobetz provides empirical evidence on the time variation of expected stock returns over the stages of the business cycle.


Asset Prices in Affine Real Business Cycle Models

Asset Prices in Affine Real Business Cycle Models
Author: Maral Shamloo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 43
Release: 2010-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 145520949X

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We develop a tractable way to solve for equilibrium quantities and asset prices in a class of real business cycle models featuring Epstein-Zin preferences and affine dynamics for productivity growth and volatility. The method relies on log-linearization and exploits the log-normality of all the quantities. It is an easy substitute for more involved numerical techniques, such as higher order perturbation methods, and allows for easy implementation and analytical results. We show explicitly the link with perturbation techniques and find that the quantitative difference between the two is insignificant for several models of interest.


Using Asset Prices to Measure the Cost of Business Cycles

Using Asset Prices to Measure the Cost of Business Cycles
Author: Fernando Alvarez
Publisher:
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2000
Genre: Assets (Accounting)
ISBN:

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We propose a method to measure the welfare cost of economic fluctuations that does not require full specification of consumer preferences and instead uses asset prices. The method is based on the marginal cost of consumption fluctuations, the per unit benefit of a marginal reduction in consumption fluctuations expressed as a percentage of consumption. We show that this measure is an upper bound for the benefit of reducing all consumption fluctuations. We also clarify the link between the cost of consumption uncertainty, the equity premium, and the slope of the real term structure. To measure the marginal cost of fluctuations, we fit a variety of pricing kernels that reproduce key asset pricing statistics. We find that consumers would be willing to pay a very high price for a reduction in overall consumption uncertainty. However, for consumption fluctuations corresponding to business cycle frequencies, we estimate the marginal cost to be about 0.55% of lifetime consumption based on the period 1889-1997 and about 0.30% based on 1954-97.


Asset Prices, Booms, and Recessions

Asset Prices, Booms, and Recessions
Author: Willi Semmler
Publisher:
Total Pages: 200
Release: 2003
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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The book studies the interaction of the financial market, economic activity and the macroeconomy from a dynamic perspective. The financial market to be studied here encompasses the money and bond market, credit market, stock market and foreign exchange market. Economic activity is described by the activity of firms, banks, households, governments and countries. The book shows how economic activity affects asset prices and the financial market and how asset prices and financial market volatility feed back to economic activity. The focus in this book is on theories, dynamic models and empirical evidence. Empirical applications relate to episodes of financial instability and financial crises of the U.S., Latin American, Asian as well as Euro-area countries. The book is not only useful for researchers and practitioners in the field of financial engineering, but is also very useful for researchers and practitioners in economics.