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Are Exchange Rates Excessively Volatile? and What Does "Excessively Volatile" Mean, Anyway?

Are Exchange Rates Excessively Volatile? and What Does
Author: Mr.Leonardo Bartolini
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 31
Release: 1995-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451850697

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Using data for the major currencies from 1973 to 1994, we apply recent tests of asset price volatility to re-examine whether exchange rates have been excessively volatile with respect to the predictions of the monetary model of the exchange rate and of standard extensions that allow for sticky prices, sluggish money adjustment, and time-varying risk premia. Consistent with previous evidence from regression-based tests, most of the models that we examine are rejected by our volatility-based tests. In general, however, we find that exchange rates have not been excessively volatile relative to movements of their determinants, with respect to the predictions of even the most restrictive version of the monetary model. Alternative measures of “volatility”, however, may disguise the cause of rejection as excessive exchange rate volatility. This a Working Paper and the author(s) would welcome any comments on the present text. Citations should refer to a Working Paper of the International Monetary Fund, mentioning the author(s), and the date of issuance. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the Fund.


Monetary Policy for a Volatile Global Economy

Monetary Policy for a Volatile Global Economy
Author: William S. Haraf
Publisher: American Enterprise Institute
Total Pages: 230
Release: 1990
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780844737133

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This volume focuses on the crucial relationships between domestic and international economic developments and on their implications for monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policies. The volume includes Richard N.Cooper on challenges to the international monetary system, Hali Edison and Michael Melvin on the choice of an exchange rate system, Gottfried Haberler on international and European monetary systems, Alan C.Stockman on exchange rates and the current account, Guido Tabellini on export of an inflation tax; and Thomas D.Willett and Clas Wihlborg on international capital flows and the dollar. It is a companion volume to Monetary Policy for a Changing Financial Environment.


Exchange Rate Volatility and Misalignment

Exchange Rate Volatility and Misalignment
Author: Jacob A. Frenkel
Publisher:
Total Pages: 68
Release: 1989
Genre: Economic policy
ISBN:

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In this paper, we analyze several proposals for reducing the volatility and/or misalignment of key-currency exchange rates. The proposals examined are a system of target zones, the imposition of controls or taxes on international capital flows, and a strengthening of international coordination over economic policies. We also review key characteristics of the behavior of major-currency exchange rates over the period of floating rates and examine the various criteria or standards for drawing inferences about excess volatility and misalignment. In evaluating exchange rate volatility, attention is directed toward the influence of the exchange rate regime, to the behavior of fundamentals, to the volatility of both goods prices and other asset prices, to the costs of exchange rate volatility, and to the nature of shocks facing the economy. Turning to misalignment, we examine the strengths and weaknesses of the purchasing-power-parity approach, of the underlying balance approach, and of the sustainability approach. We argue that inferences about excess exchange rate volatility and misalignment are subject to wide margins of error and that the exchange rate experience of the past 15 years is subject to multiple interpretations.


Economic Management in a Volatile Environment

Economic Management in a Volatile Environment
Author: Ramkishen S. Rajan
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 301
Release: 2014-12-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137371528

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This book discusses some of the challenges relating to macroeconomic and financial management in a volatile and uncertain world brought about by greater financial openness. It explores the implications of a key set of issues emanating from financial globalisation on emerging market economies in a rigorous but readable manner.


Are Exchange Rates "excessively" Volatile?

Are Exchange Rates
Author: Sushil B. Wadhwani
Publisher:
Total Pages: 20
Release: 1984
Genre: Foreign exchange - Rates - Variation - Econometric models
ISBN:

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Turbulent Waters

Turbulent Waters
Author: Ralph C. Bryant
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Total Pages: 522
Release: 2004-05-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0815700709

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Today's world is organized politically into nation states with sovereign national governments. But as Ralph C. Bryant explains in Turbulent Waters, the world's economic structure is outgrowing its political structure. The economic links among nations have increased more rapidly than economic activity itself. As economic integration has proceeded, borders have become more porous, differences among national economies have eroded, and the policy autonomy of national governments has been undermined. Collective-governance problems increasingly spill across national borders and thus grow in importance relative to problems of domestic governance. The evolving need for international cooperation and cross-border collective governance is likely to be the single most prominent feature of world politics and economics for at least the next half century. The progressive integration of the world economy, often called "globalization," has been especially dramatic for financial activity. Cross-border financial transactions facilitate saving and investment and thereby advance the well-being of individuals. But they can also generate turbulence and instability. Most individuals are unsure whether financial globalization promotes or threatens prosperity for a majority of the world's people. Bryant explains basic concepts about financial activity and collective governance, distills their international dimensions, and enables general readers to acquire a solid grasp of the key policy issues that national governments must resolve. He provides fresh insights about what is often termed the international financial architecture. But he also casts his net far wider: the book's ambitious goal is no less than to outline a pragmatically sound vision for the evolution of international governance for the world economy and financial system.


Understanding Interdependence

Understanding Interdependence
Author: Peter B. Kenen
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 566
Release: 2021-06-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0691231133

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Drawing together new papers by some of today's leading figures in international economics and finance, Understanding Interdependence surveys the current state of knowledge on the international monetary system and, by implication, defines the research horizon for the future. Covering topics including the behavior of exchange rates, the choice of exchange-rate regime, current-account adjustment in classical and Keynesian models, the extent and effects of capital mobility, international debt, the stabilization and reform of the formerly planned economies, European monetary union, and international policy coordination, the book underscores the importance of these subjects and identifies lessons for policymakers. The contributors to the volume are Michael Bruno, Ralph C. Bryant, Richard N. Cooper, Michael P. Dooley, Barry Eichengreen, Stanley Fischer, Charles A. E. Goodhart, Peter Hooper, Peter B. Kenen, Paul R. Krugman, Henri Lorie, Jaime Marquez, Ronald I. McKinnon, Michael Mussa, Maurice Obstfeld, John Odling-Smee, Assaf Razin, Dani Rodrik, Mark P. Taylor, and John Williamson.