Are Exchange Rates Excessively Volatile And What Does 7fexcessively Volatile Mean Anyway PDF Download

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Are Exchange Rates Excessively Volatile? and What Does "Excessively Volatile" Mean, Anyway?

Are Exchange Rates Excessively Volatile? and What Does
Author: Mr.Leonardo Bartolini
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 31
Release: 1995-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451850697

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Using data for the major currencies from 1973 to 1994, we apply recent tests of asset price volatility to re-examine whether exchange rates have been excessively volatile with respect to the predictions of the monetary model of the exchange rate and of standard extensions that allow for sticky prices, sluggish money adjustment, and time-varying risk premia. Consistent with previous evidence from regression-based tests, most of the models that we examine are rejected by our volatility-based tests. In general, however, we find that exchange rates have not been excessively volatile relative to movements of their determinants, with respect to the predictions of even the most restrictive version of the monetary model. Alternative measures of “volatility”, however, may disguise the cause of rejection as excessive exchange rate volatility. This a Working Paper and the author(s) would welcome any comments on the present text. Citations should refer to a Working Paper of the International Monetary Fund, mentioning the author(s), and the date of issuance. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the Fund.


Are Exchange Rates "excessively" Volatile?

Are Exchange Rates
Author: Sushil B. Wadhwani
Publisher:
Total Pages: 20
Release: 1984
Genre: Foreign exchange - Rates - Variation - Econometric models
ISBN:

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Excess Volatility and the Asset-Pricing Exchange Rate Model with Unobservable Fundamentals

Excess Volatility and the Asset-Pricing Exchange Rate Model with Unobservable Fundamentals
Author: Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 21
Release: 1999-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451849222

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This paper presents a method to test the volatility predictions of the textbook asset-pricing exchange rate model, which imposes minimal structure on the data and does not commit to a choice of exchange rate “fundamentals.” Our method builds on existing tests of excess volatility in asset prices, combining them with a procedure that extracts unobservable fundamentals from survey-based exchange rate expectations. We apply our method to data for the three major exchange rates since 1984 and find broad evidence of excess exchange rate volatility with respect to the predictions of the canonical asset-pricing model in an efficient market.


Managing Foreign Exchange Rate Risk: Capacity Development for Public Debt Managers in Emerging Market and Low-Income Countries

Managing Foreign Exchange Rate Risk: Capacity Development for Public Debt Managers in Emerging Market and Low-Income Countries
Author: Thordur Jonasson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2024-08-02
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper presents some sound practices for foreign-currency risk management in developing countries and outlines instruments for managing sovereign debt portfolio currency exposures. Adoption of a debt management strategy with well-defined targets for foreign exchange risk is a critical element of public debt risk management. To this end, public debt managers often need to face with complex strategic and operational matters related to public debt hedging practices, including the use of derivatives. In this context, we highlight the main institutional challenges in the management of foreign exchange risk in sovereign debt portfolios and discuss the overall implementation of a foreign exchange risk-management strategy.


Macroeconomic Causes of Unemployment: Diagnosis and Policy Recommendations /

Macroeconomic Causes of Unemployment: Diagnosis and Policy Recommendations /
Author: Wolfgang Filc
Publisher: Duncker & Humblot
Total Pages: 448
Release: 2015-03-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9783428497584

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This conference volume deals with one of the most severe economic, social and political problems major European economies face since the early nineties, the problem of lasting high unemployment. Contrary to the current German discussion, solely concentrating on microeconomic explanations and therapy recommendations, this volume presents papers based on various macro-economic points of view, showing different ways out of the employment crisis. Apart from renowned German economists, some well-known international academics participated in the 1998 Berlin symposium, to learn from experience in other countries.The first chapter contains the main standard textbook models and paradigms explaining lasting high unemployment. The question in the second chapter is if it is possible to fight unemployment with the help of macro policy on a purely national basis in the presence of global markets. The third chapter indicates possible effects of misalignments in financial markets on economic growth and employment. The contributions of the fourth chapter present experiences of other countries, which have succeeded in recent years in lowering their unemployment rates. The question at issue is, if these concepts can be transferred to Germany. The topics of the concluding chapter are practical macroeconomic starting points for sustainable employment growth in Europe. The methods contradict supply side arguments for the stabilisation of employment predominant in the German discussion. Attention is focused on relations between the role of monetary and fiscal policy in close conjunction with wage policy. Furthermore it is made evident that in global markets a theoretical macroeconomic concept as a base for sustainable employment is not very promising without enhanced international co-operation.