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Are Capital Buffers Pro-cyclical?

Are Capital Buffers Pro-cyclical?
Author: Juan Ayuso
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2002
Genre: Bank capital
ISBN:

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Se analiza la relación entre el ciclo económico y los excedentes de capital sobre requerimientos de recursos propios de bancos y cajas en España. A partir de un panel de datos individuales para el período 1986-2000 (que cubre un ciclo completo), se estima una ecuación para el comportamiento del capital excedentario, que incluye entre los regresores un indicador de posición cíclica. Los resultados del ejercicio son muy robustos y claros y muestran que, una vez que se controlan los efectos del resto de sus determinantes, los excesos de capital mantienen una relación negativa con la posición en el ciclo. En términos cuantitativos, un aumento de un punto porcentual en la tasa de crecimiento del PIB reduce el colchón de capital en un 17%. Esta relación es, además,asimétrica, siendo más acusada durante las fases expansivas del ciclo. De acuerdo con estos resultados, el llamado problema de la prociclicidad de los requerimientos de capital debería ser tenido en cuenta en el diseño final de Basilea II, probablemente en el marco del segundo pilar de dicho acuerdo.


Measures Aimed at Mitigating Pro Cyclical Effects of the Capital Requirements Framework

Measures Aimed at Mitigating Pro Cyclical Effects of the Capital Requirements Framework
Author: Marianne Ojo D Delaney PhD
Publisher:
Total Pages: 16
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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As well as highlighting the importance of introducing counter cyclical capital buffers, this paper draws attention to the need for greater focus on “more forward looking provisions”, as well as provisions which are aimed at addressing losses and unforeseen problems attributed to “maturity transformation of short-term deposits into long term loans.” Whilst the need for forward looking provisioning has been echoed by some authorities on the literature, the paper also adds weight to the argument through its attempt to link such an argument to the ever increasing prominence assumed by liquidity risks - since liquidity also contributes to pro cyclicality.“The complex response of financial institutions to deteriorating market conditions - which to a large extent, is attributed to liquidity shortfalls which reflected on and off balance sheet maturity mismatches and excessive levels of leverage, has resulted in an increasingly important role for liquidity provided by central banks in the funding of bank balance sheets.” Owing to such increased importance of liquidity risks, this paper also attempts to highlight why the Basel Committee's Counter Cyclical Buffer Proposal - a response to the recent financial crisis (which to a significant extent, focuses on banking sector capital requirements), should also take greater account of more forward looking provisions. In so doing, it draws attention to the importance of coupling forward looking provisions (as well as other measures) with counter cyclical charges and why this provides a better alternative to the mere introduction of counter cyclical capital charges.


Usability of Bank Capital Buffers: The Role of Market Expectations

Usability of Bank Capital Buffers: The Role of Market Expectations
Author: José Abad
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 61
Release: 2022-01-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1616358939

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Following the COVID shock, supervisors encouraged banks to use capital buffers to support the recovery. However, banks have been reluctant to do so. Provided the market expects a bank to rebuild its buffers, any draw-down will open up a capital shortfall that will weigh on its share price. Therefore, a bank will only decide to use its buffers if the value creation from a larger loan book offsets the costs associated with a capital shortfall. Using market expectations, we calibrate a framework for assessing the usability of buffers. Our results suggest that the cases in which the use of buffers make economic sense are rare in practice.


Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles

Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles
Author: Mr.Jaromir Benes
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2016-04-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 148432305X

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This paper presents a new version of MAPMOD (Mark II) to study the effectiveness of macroprudential regulations. We extend the original model by explicitly modeling the housing market. We show how household demand for housing, house prices, and bank mortgages are intertwined in what we call a deadly embrace. Without macroprudential policies, this deadly embrace naturally leads to housing boom and bust cycles, which can be very costly for the economy, as shown by the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09.


Countercyclical Capital Buffers

Countercyclical Capital Buffers
Author: Mathias Drehmann
Publisher:
Total Pages: 70
Release: 2010
Genre: Bank capital
ISBN:

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This paper provides some general lessons for the design of countercyclical capital buffers. Its main empirical contribution is to analyse conditioning variables which could guide the build-up and release of capital. A major distinction for countercyclical capital schemes is whether conditioning variables are bank-specific or system-wide. The evidence presented in the paper indicates that the idiosyncratic component can be sizeable when a bank-specific approach is used. This makes a system-wide approach preferable, for which the best variables as signal for the pace and size of the accumulation of the buffers are not necessarily the best for the timing and intensity of the release. The credit-to-GDP ratio seems best for the build-up phase. Some measure of aggregate losses, possibly combined with indicators of credit conditions, seem to perform well for signalling the beginning of the release phase. Nonetheless, the analysis indicates that designing a fully rule-based mechanism may not be possible at this stage as some degree of judgment seems inevitable. A parallel exercise indicates that reducing the sensitivity of the minimum capital requirement is an important element of a credible countercyclical buffer scheme.


Banking Competition and Capital Ratios

Banking Competition and Capital Ratios
Author: Martin Cihák
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2007-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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We use data for more than 2,600 European banks to test whether increased competition causes banks to hold higher capital ratios. Employing panel data techniques, and distinguishing between the competitive conduct of small and large banks, we show that banks tend to hold higher capital ratios when operating in a more competitive environment. This result holds when controlling for the degree of concentration in banking systems, inter-industry competition, characteristics of the wider financial system, and the regulatory and institutional environment.


Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy

Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2014-06-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498342620

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This note provides guidance to facilitate the staff’s advice on macroprudential policy in Fund surveillance. It elaborates on the principles set out in the “Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy,” taking into account the work of international standard setters as well as the evolving country experience with macroprudential policy. The main note is accompanied by supplements offering Detailed Guidance on Instruments and Considerations for Low Income Countries