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Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems
Author: Mr.Eduardo Borensztein
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2000-01-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781557758286

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Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption to other developing countries, and have even had repercussions on advanced economies. To predict crises, their causes must be clearly understood. Two competing strands of theories are reviewed in this paper. The first focuses on the consequences of such policies as excessive credit growth in provoking depletion of foreign exchange reserves and making a devaluation enevitable. The second emphasizes the trade-offs between internal and external balance that the policymaker faces in defending a peg.


The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises
Author: Andrew Berg
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2000-09-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased with the efficiency of global communications, considerably shortening the time policymakers have to respond to emerging crises. This pamphlet takes alook at attempts by economists to predict crises by developing early warning systems to signal when trouble may be brewing in currency markets and banking systems.


The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises
Author: Andrew Berg
Publisher:
Total Pages: 134
Release: 2000-01-01
Genre:
ISBN: 9781557759856

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The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased with the efficiency of global communications, considerably shortening the time policymakers have to respond to emerging crises. This pamphlet takes a look at attempts by economists to predict crises by developing early warning systems to signal when trouble may be brewing in currency markets and banking systems.


Capital Flows and Crises

Capital Flows and Crises
Author: Barry J. Eichengreen
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 396
Release: 2004
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262550598

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An analysis of the connections between capital flows and financial crises as well as between capital flows and economic growth.


A Decade after the Global Recession

A Decade after the Global Recession
Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 475
Release: 2021-03-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1464815283

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This year marks the tenth anniversary of the 2009 global recession. Most emerging market and developing economies weathered the global recession relatively well, in part by using the sizable fiscal and monetary policy ammunition accumulated during prior years of strong growth. However, their growth prospects have weakened since then, and many now have less policy space. This study provides the first comprehensive stocktaking of the past decade from the perspective of emerging market and developing economies. Many of these economies have now become more vulnerable to economic shocks. The study discusses lessons from the global recession and policy options for these economies to strengthen growth and prepare for the possibility of another global downturn.


Globalization and the International Financial System

Globalization and the International Financial System
Author: Peter Isard
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 388
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521605076

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Economic globalization has given rise to frequent and severe financial crises in emerging market economies. Other countries are also unsuccessful in their efforts to generate economic growth and reduce poverty. This book provides perspectives on various aspects of the international financial system that contribute to financial crises and growth failures, and discusses the remedies that economists have proposed for addressing the underlying problems. It also sheds light on a central feature of the international financial system that remains mysterious to many economists and most non-economists: the activities of the International Monetary Fund and the factors that influence its effectiveness. Dr Isard offers policy perspectives on what countries can do to reduce their vulnerabilities to financial crises and growth failures, and a number of general directions for systemic reform. The breadth of the agenda provides grounds for optimism that the international financial system can be strengthened considerably without revolutionary change.


Sovereign Default Risk Valuation

Sovereign Default Risk Valuation
Author: Jochen Andritzky
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 261
Release: 2006-11-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3540374493

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Past cycles of sovereign lending and default suggest that debt crises will recur at some point. This book shows why investors should reckon with similar credit events in the future. Surveying the sovereign bond market, the author provides investors with a useful toolkit for analyzing sovereign bonds and foreseeing trends in the international financial architecture. The result should be a better understanding of debt crises and more deliberate investment decisions.


Economic Theory and Financial Policy

Economic Theory and Financial Policy
Author: Jacques J. Polak
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 268
Release: 2016-07-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317472489

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As former Director of Research and a founding member of the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund, Jacques J. Polak has advised theoreticians and policymakers worldwide. This collection brings together his most current writings, and is published under the auspices of the IMF. The hallmark of Dr. Polak's recent research has been his ability to draw on decades of personal experience and reflection to comprehend and describe the context for current policy debates. In the past decade, he has contributed much to the debates on international financial policy and the role of the IMF, and this volume brings together most of these recent papers to make them accessible to a broader audience.


Sovereign Risk and Financial Crisis

Sovereign Risk and Financial Crisis
Author: Silvia Pepino
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 176
Release: 2015-08-11
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1137511648

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This book provides an original and timely insight into the role that the domestic and international political economy played in the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis, combining an innovative theoretical framework with in-depth bond market analysis.


Financial Policies in Emerging Markets

Financial Policies in Emerging Markets
Author: Mario I. Bléjer
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 282
Release: 2002
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262025256

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An overview of the financial vulnerability of emerging market economies and how the impact of exchange rate regimes affects this vulnerability.