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Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding Swift Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade

Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding Swift Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade
Author: Narek Ghazaryan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 63
Release: 2021-12-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1616357630

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This paper extends earlier research by adding SWIFT data on documentary collections to the short-term forecast of international trade. While SWIFT documentary collections accounted for just over one percent of world trade financing in 2020, they have strong explanatory power to forecast world trade and national trade in selected economies. The informational content from documentary collections helps improve the forecast of world trade, while a horse race with machine learning algorithms shows significant non-linearities between trade and its determinants during the Covid-19 pandemic.


Another Piece of the Puzzle

Another Piece of the Puzzle
Author: Pat Hastings
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2004
Genre: Dogs
ISBN: 9780967841427

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From Pat Hastings and other experts, learn about the impact of puppy-rearing practices and socialization on a puppy's ability to develop happily and confidently in the challenging human world. Begins with an overview of developmental stages and moves on to selected articles by respected dog people about the contributions breeders and owners can make to their puppies' health, well-being and sure-footedness. Whether you're a breeder, exhibitor, performance competitor, puppy owner or prospective puppy buyer, what you learn may surprise you and will at least make you better prepared for your next experience with puppies.


A Different College Experience

A Different College Experience
Author: Brian Mills
Publisher: B&H Publishing Group
Total Pages: 167
Release: 2019-01-15
Genre: Religion
ISBN: 1462794254

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For many, the college experience is defined by drinking, sex, impulsive decision-making, and a journey of self discovery. It's packaged as a consequence-free zone to have the "best time of your life." But the reality is that what happens in college doesn't stay in college. There are real, lasting consequences to your decisions. Student ministry leaders Ben Trueblood and Brian Mills have seen this firsthand. With decades of student-ministry leadership under their belts, they have seen too many lives fall apart because of the world's view of what the college experience should be. You don't have to have that kind of college experience. Fortunately, just as the gospel redeems all of life, the gospel redeems the college experience. It tells us there is another way. In this book, Ben and Brian provide a biblical and practical guide for how you can have a fun, joy-filled, and spiritually enriching college experience while avoiding the pitfalls that have captured so many before you.


The Intimate Way of Zen

The Intimate Way of Zen
Author: James Ishmael Ford
Publisher: Shambhala Publications
Total Pages: 297
Release: 2024-07-23
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 0834845679

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An intimate mystery encompasses you and tugs upon your heart—what does it mean to follow that tug across the arc of a spiritual life? Reflecting out of more than fifty years of practice in Zen Buddhism, Unitarian Universalism, and other contemplative traditions, James Ishmael Ford invites us into a journey through life's mysteries and the stages of spiritual development. Lightly structured by the archetypal Buddhist oxherding images, Ford’s exploration is rooted in the Zen way while being deeply enriched by various strains of world mysticism. The book, sprinkled with insights and quotes from Buddhist, Daoist, and Christian traditions, serves as a map and a companion to spiritual seekers or pilgrims—whether within one religious tradition or cobbling together a way of one’s own. “Here is the most natural of all natural experiences,” writes Ford. “In the midst of our suffering, our longing, our desperation, we capture a glimpse. Something touches us. And with that, if we are lucky and really notice some movement of some spirit within us, we turn our attention to the intimate way.”


Shadows

Shadows
Author: Stanley J. Serxner
Publisher: iUniverse
Total Pages: 73
Release: 2019-11-25
Genre: Fiction
ISBN: 1532086563

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These are short stories. No novels. Hardly any violence or sex. Some are funny, some mystery, some deeper than others. Is there a major motion picture lurking in my stories? Will I rate the New York Times best seller list? Will I be translated into 57 obscure languages? Hope springs eternal. Meanwhile, soar with me into my flighty flights of imagination. Thanks! Questions? Comments? Email: [email protected]


Celtic Mysteries Windows to Another Dimension in America's Northeast

Celtic Mysteries Windows to Another Dimension in America's Northeast
Author: Philip Imbrogno
Publisher: Cosimo, Inc.
Total Pages: 185
Release: 2005-09-01
Genre: Religion
ISBN: 161640597X

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Centered in New York's Hudson River Valley are a series of mysterious stone chambers and carved standing megaliths that have perplexed researchers of the paranormal and archaeologist for decades. What are the strange carvings and language written on the chambers walls? Why are these structures built over areas of negative magnetic anomalies? Scientists and historians tend to write off these structures as colonial root cellars, but authors Philip Imbrogno and Marianne Horrigan, who have researched and studied the chambers for more than ten years, believe they are evidence that the East Coast of North America was explored by people from Europe centuries before Columbus. The ancient people who constructed these chambers may have been Druids who came to the new world in search of a gateway to the world of the gods. The paranormal and UFO phenomena associated with these stone chambers suggest they may indeed be windows to another reality. "The book is a must read for anyone who is interested in the paranormal, UFOs, and ancient archeology. If you like a real life mystery, then this book will keep you enthralled from cover to cover." -- Greenwich Time Philip Imbrogno has been investigating and researching paranormal phenomena for more than thirty years. He has a BS degree in astronomy from the University of Texas, a BS degree in Earth Science from Northeastern/ Boston College, and a Masters degree in chemistry from M.I.T. He is has been a science educator for the past 25 years and has authored countless magazine articles, numerous newspaper columns, and several books on science and the paranormal. Marianne Horrigan is a paranormal researcher whose articles have appeared in Fate and UFO Universe. She has been involved in research projects at the Bowman Observatory in Greenwich, Connecticut, and has co-authored several books with Philip Imbrogno.


The Don of Siracusa

The Don of Siracusa
Author: Sean Rea
Publisher: FriesenPress
Total Pages: 387
Release: 2019-08-08
Genre: Fiction
ISBN: 1525538810

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Stefano Caruso always does things the right way. With a grandfather who was forced to flee the venal Sicilian mafia and start life anew in America, Stefano now heads the corporation his father and grandfather built. Handsome and successful, he’s on top of the world...until one day he has an unexpected visitor and gets shocking news. Stefano is being cheated and lied to, and the company his family built from the ground up is in mortal jeopardy. That’s when Benito Cuggi, the face of the modern-day mafia, comes into his life. Cuggi appears to live by a strict code of morals that the laws of Western society cannot enforce. Loyalty and trust are rewarded, while betrayal is punished. Now Stefano faces a difficult choice. Can he ally himself with what he’s been taught to hate and fear? Or should he let what generations of his family built be stolen out from under him? Fraught with moral complexity, Siracusa is a fast-paced, exciting crime thriller that pits good against evil and righteousness versus deception, while asking whether good men should sometimes do bad things to punish evil.


Structural Health Monitoring/Management (SHM) in Aerospace Structures

Structural Health Monitoring/Management (SHM) in Aerospace Structures
Author: Fuh-Gwo Yuan
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 536
Release: 2024-04-30
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0443191492

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Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) Management in Aerospace and Civil Structures provides readers with the spectacular progress that has taken place over the last twenty years with respect to the area of Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) Management. The SHM field encompasses transdisciplinary areas, including smart materials, sensors and actuators, damage diagnosis and prognosis, signal and image processing algorithms, wireless intelligent sensing, data fusion, and energy harvesting. This book focuses on how SHM techniques can be applied to aircraft, mechanical and civil engineering structures with particular emphasis on composite materials. Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) Management in Aerospace and Civil Structures will be a valuable reference resource for R&D managers, materials scientists and engineers working in the aerospace sector as well as for researchers and system designers working in industry, academia and government research agencies developing new systems for the SHM of aerospace, mechanical and civil engineering structures. Presents new developments in smart materials for sensing and actuation Discusses new developments in mechanical metamaterials Presents the latest on signal/imaging processing for damage diagnosis Explores damage prognosis and integrated vehicle health management (IVHM) Covers new developments in machine learning and artificial Intelligence


The "God" Part of the Brain

The
Author: Matthew Alper
Publisher: Sourcebooks, Inc.
Total Pages: 290
Release: 2008-09-01
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1402236379

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A thought-provoking study of science and religion about our human need to believe in a higher power, for spiritual seekers and atheists alike. In The God Part of the Brain, Matthew Alper pioneers a radical theory: the human inclination toward spirituality and belief in a higher power can be attributed to a specific part of our brain. This bold hypothesis takes us on an exciting journey that merges science, philosophy, and spirituality in a unique way. Alper engages readers with compelling arguments based on neuroscience, evolutionary biology, and anthropology, provoking profound thought on the nature of existence and our inherent need for spiritual meaning as a coping mechanism that emerged in humans to help us survive our unique and otherwise debilitating awareness of death. His narrative is accessible yet deeply profound, providing insights that stimulate both intellectual curiosity and spiritual introspection. Key Features: Groundbreaking Hypothesis: Presents a bold new theory about the neuroscientific basis of human spirituality. Interdisciplinary Approach: Combines insights from neuroscience, evolutionary biology, and anthropology to explore spiritual experiences. Intellectually Stimulating: Challenges readers to contemplate profound questions about existence, faith, and the human mind. Accessible Narrative: Engages readers with a narrative that is both informative and accessible, regardless of their scientific background. Provocative and Thoughtful: Invites deep introspection about our inherent need for spiritual meaning. Praise for The "God" Part of the Brain "This cult classic in many ways parallels Rene Descartes' search for reliable and certain knowledge...Drawing on such disciplines as philosophy, psychology, and biology, Alper argues that belief in a spiritual realm is an evolutionary coping method that developed to help humankind deal with the fear of death...Highly recommended."— Library Journal "I very much enjoyed the account of your spiritual journey and believe it would make excellent reading for every college student - the resultant residence-hall debates would be the best part of their education. It often occurs to me that if, against all odds, there is a judgmental God and heaven, it will come to pass that when the pearly gates open, those who had the valor to think for themselves will be escorted to the head of the line, garlanded, and given their own personal audience." — Edward O. Wilson, two-time Pulitzer Prize-Winner "This is an essential book for those in search of a scientific understanding of man's spiritual nature. Matthew Alper navigates the reader through a labyrinth of intriguing questions and then offers undoubtedly clear answers that lead to a better understanding of our objective reality." — Elena Rusyn, MD, PhD; Gray Laboratory; Harvard Medical School "What a wonderful book you have written. It was not only brilliant and provocative but also revolutionary in its approach to spirituality as an inherited trait."— Arnold Sadwin, MD, former chief of Neuropsychiatry at the University of Pennsylvania "A lively manifesto...For the discipline's specific application to the matter at hand, I've seen nothing that matches the fury of The 'God' Part of the Brain, which perhaps explains why it's earned something of a cult following." — Salon.com "All 6 billion plus inhabitants of Earth should be in possession of this book. Alper's tome should be placed in the sacred writings' section of libraries, bookstores, and dwellings throughout the world. Matthew Alper is the new Galileo...Immensely important...Defines in a clear and concise manner what each of us already knew but were afraid to admit and exclaim."— John Scoggins, PhD "Vibrant ... vivacious. An entertaining and provocative introduction to speculations concerning the neural basis of spirituality."— Free Inquiry Magazine


A Little Piece of Me

A Little Piece of Me
Author: Stephen A. Geller
Publisher: Author House
Total Pages: 293
Release: 2014
Genre: Fiction
ISBN: 1481762419

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Marcia Kleinman has a difficult husband, a difficult mother and a little boy, Max, who has a rare chronic liver disease that will eventually require a liver transplantation. A talented pianist, Marcia resisted strong urgings from her teachers and, especially, from her mother to develop a concert career and, instead, has been content to teach music at the college level. Marcia's mother was a well known concert pianist. Marcia's husband, Michael, is a young, aggressive attorney at a major, multicity firm who was transferred to the Los Angeles office from New York. When Max, their son, becomes ill they are presented with difficult choices that include allowing Marcia to donate a portion of her own liver. Michael is initially opposed to this choice and would prefer to wait until an appropriate liver becomes available from another child of Max's approximate age and size who has suddenly died. During the months during which Max's condition slowly worsens Marcia seeks relief from stress by deciding to learn Beethoven's Appassionata piano sonata, a piece that her mother recorded but that Marcia had not been able to master in the past. When she was a teenager Marcia visited southern California and came to love it. When Michael is offered a promotion and partnership in the law firm, if he returns to the New York office, their marriage is further stressed by Michael's resistance to Marcia being a donor, by his controlling nature, and by Marcia's reluctance to leave Los Angeles and her close friends.