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Analyst Reactions to Expectations Management in the Post-Regulation Fair Disclosure Period

Analyst Reactions to Expectations Management in the Post-Regulation Fair Disclosure Period
Author: Sherry F. Li
Publisher:
Total Pages: 12
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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Using a uniquely hand-collected dataset, we examine how financial analysts react to expectations management in the post-Regulation Fair Disclosure (FD) period. We find evidence that management issues pessimistic public guidance to lower analysts' expectations to a beatable level in the new regulatory environment. Majority of the analysts revised their forecasts downward immediately (in terms of days rather than weeks) after the issuance of a pessimistic public guidance. The magnitude of the downward revision is significantly greater for firms that beat the expectations through managerial guidance than firms that beat the expectations without guidance. In addition, firms that beat analysts' expectations through pessimistic guidance are able to achieve a larger positive earnings surprise at the earnings announcement than the “legitimate beaters”


An Empirical Examination of the Management Strategies Used by Firms to Meet Or Beat Analysts' Forecasts

An Empirical Examination of the Management Strategies Used by Firms to Meet Or Beat Analysts' Forecasts
Author: Jan LaVern Williams
Publisher:
Total Pages: 254
Release: 2006
Genre: Corporations
ISBN:

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This study documents that the number of firms that MBE has declined in the early 2000s. Furthermore, the results of the study suggest that the market detects expectations management and applies a discount to firms that use this strategy to MBE. The findings also indicate that prior to Regulation Fair Disclosure, the market is surprised by earnings announcements and reacts differently to the strategies used to MBE. Subsequent to Regulation Fair Disclosure, however, the market is aware of downward expectations management and does not react differently to strategies used to MBE. This study contributes to the literature by using a sample that includes a post Regulation Fair Disclosure and Sarbanes-Oxley Act time period. It also extends the literature by jointly examining the market reaction to two strategies that previously had been examined independently. The results of this study are helpful to standard and policy setters who devise laws to improve financial reporting and investor confidence in the capital markets.-- Abstract.


Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series,2011) Vol.9

Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series,2011) Vol.9
Author: Cheng F. Lee
Publisher: Center for PBBEFR & Airiti Press
Total Pages: 339
Release: 2011-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9866286436

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Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series) is an annual publication designed to disseminate developments in the quantitative analysis of finance and accounting. The publication is a forum for statistical and quantitative analyses of issues in finance and accounting as well as applications of quantitative methods to problems in financial management, financial accounting, and business management. The objective is to promote interaction between academic research in finance and accounting and applied research in the financial community and the accounting profession.


The Effect of Regulation Fair Disclosure on the Relevance of Conference Calls to Financial Analysts

The Effect of Regulation Fair Disclosure on the Relevance of Conference Calls to Financial Analysts
Author: Afshad J. Irani
Publisher:
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2003
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study examines the effect of Regulation Fair Disclosure (FD) on the relevance of company-sponsored conference calls. Measuring relevance by a conference call's ability to improve analyst forecast accuracy and consensus, I find larger improvements in both variables during the period surrounding conference calls in the post-FD era versus the pre-FD era. These findings imply that in the post-FD era relatively more about a firm's upcoming earnings becomes known during conference calls, consistent with FD's success in eliminating selective disclosure.


Did Regulation Fair Disclosure Level the Playing Field? Evidence from an Analysis of Changes in Trading Volume and Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Announcements

Did Regulation Fair Disclosure Level the Playing Field? Evidence from an Analysis of Changes in Trading Volume and Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Announcements
Author: Anwer S. Ahmed
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

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We contribute to the literature on Regulation Fair Disclosure (FD) in three ways. First, we provide evidence on whether FD has achieved its intended effect of leveling the information playing field by examining whether differences across investors' information quality prior to earnings announcements have declined after the pronouncement of the regulation. We find strong evidence of a decline in earnings announcement period trading volume attributable to differential prior precision after FD consistent with a more level playing field. Second, we re-examine whether FD has resulted in firms reducing or chilling their information flows (disclosures) to investors. Contrary to prior work, we find that there is evidence of an overall reduction or chill in information flows after FD relative to a quot;cleanerquot; pre-FD period than the pre-FD period used in other studies. Third, we document that while the leveling effect of FD is relatively wide-spread, the chill effect is driven by (i) relatively smaller, high technology firms and (ii) relatively larger firms with high book-to-market ratios. We interpret the latter result as evidence that firms with relatively high costs of public disclosure chose to eliminate the disclosure altogether rather than broadening access to the disclosure.


Focus on Finance and Accounting Research

Focus on Finance and Accounting Research
Author: Michael H. Neelan
Publisher: Nova Publishers
Total Pages: 192
Release: 2007
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781600213809

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Preface; The Role of Revenues and Costs in CEO Compensation; The Importance of Intellectual Capital Reporting: Perspectives from Finance Professionals; Has Regulation Changed the Market's Reward for Meeting or Beating Expectations?; Reaction of the Brazilian Stock Market to Positive and Negative Shocks; Earnings Management to Meet Earnings Benchmarks: Evidence from Japan; Audit in Ukraine; Auditor Reputation and Auditor Independence: Evidence from an Emerging Market; Trends of the Returns-Earnings Associations Over the Last Three Decades; Managers' Discretionary Behaviour, Earnings Management and Corporate Governance: An Empirical International Analysis; Index.


The Impact of Regulation Fair Disclosure on Investors' Prior Information Quality - Evidence from an Analysis of Changes in Trading Volume and Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Announcements

The Impact of Regulation Fair Disclosure on Investors' Prior Information Quality - Evidence from an Analysis of Changes in Trading Volume and Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Announcements
Author: Anwer S. Ahmed
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

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We document that Regulation Fair Disclosure has reduced differences in information quality between investors prior to quarterly earnings announcements consistent with the intent of the regulation. This reduction is driven by small firms and high technology firms, rather than the large firms targeted by the SEC, which suggests that selective disclosure among large firms may have been much more limited than what was presumed by proponents of FD. In addition, we document that FD has decreased the average information quality of investors in small and high technology firms in the period prior to an earnings announcement while having no lasting effect on other firms. Taken together these two results suggest that, for small and high technology firms, FD succeeded in eliminating selective disclosure but also lowered the average quality of information available about these firms.


Regulation Fair Disclosure and Earnings Information

Regulation Fair Disclosure and Earnings Information
Author: Warren Bailey
Publisher:
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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With the adoption of Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD), market behavior around earnings releases displays no significant change in return volatility (after controlling for decimalization of stock trading) but significant increases in trading volume due to difference in opinion. Analyst forecast dispersion increases, and increases in other measures of disagreement and difference of opinion suggest greater difficulty in forming forecasts beyond the current quarter. Corporations increase the quantity of voluntary disclosures, but only for current quarter earnings. Thus, Reg FD seems to increase the quantity of information available to the public while demanding more effort and struggle from investment professionals.


The Effects of Regulation Fair Disclosure on Management Forecasts

The Effects of Regulation Fair Disclosure on Management Forecasts
Author: Carla Carnaghan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

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We examine management forecasts to determine whether Regulation Fair Disclosure has improved the quality and quantity of public disclosures. Management forecasts are voluntary, provide earnings guidance and are highly sought by investors and analysts. We find that the information disclosed by managers has improved in terms of frequency, specificity and verifiable information provided. We also find that Regulation Fair Disclosure has reduced information asymmetry, and information leakage prior to the release of the MEF. We find no evidence of greater returns volatility. Our results suggest that generally Regulation Fair Disclosure has achieved one of its stated goals of providing a more level playing field to all investors.