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An Examination of International Crises: The Effect of Decision Maker Stress on Crisis Management, Attributes, and Outcomes in Non-protracted Conflict and Protracted Conflict Crises

An Examination of International Crises: The Effect of Decision Maker Stress on Crisis Management, Attributes, and Outcomes in Non-protracted Conflict and Protracted Conflict Crises
Author: Gregory Roy Cowan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 168
Release: 2007
Genre: International relations
ISBN: 9781109926736

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In the field of foreign policy analysis, there is a long history of research examining factors that impact decision making in conflicts, wars, and crises. The following research project is an attempt to add to this body of knowledge. This dissertation research examined factors affecting leaders' decision making during international crises. Specifically, a statistical analysis was conducted to examine information from the International Crisis Behavior Project, which contains data regarding international crises from 1918 to 2003. The key variable examined was decision maker stress. Statistical analyses were performed in order to determine the relationship between decision maker stress and various crises attributes and outcomes related to decision making. The crisis attributes and outcomes examined included: amount of time between crisis trigger and crisis response, the size of the decision making unit in a crisis, the type of crisis management response, the likelihood of definitive outcomes, and the tension level among crisis actors following a crisis. The statistical analysis was conducted separately on non-protracted conflict crises and protracted conflict crises. Results indicate that increases in decision maker stress do impact crises, and stress impacts crises differently in protracted conflict and non-protracted conflict crises. Following these analyses, there is a discussion of these results, including examples from various international crises, lessons to be learned, and areas of future study.


Decision-Making during International Crises

Decision-Making during International Crises
Author: Jonathan M. Roberts
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 343
Release: 1988-10-07
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1349194824

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An examination of the problems which national leaders face when they are involved in international crises, including stress, fatigue and communication difficulties. The majority of crises covered are post-1945, with others chosen to illustrate a particular constraint, such as July 1914.


Understanding the Impact of Emotional Stress on Crisis Decision Making

Understanding the Impact of Emotional Stress on Crisis Decision Making
Author: Noel Allan Sawatzky
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 291
Release: 2022-01-03
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 3030661075

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Motivational models are critical to understanding crisis decision making because leaders and their advisors are emotionally involved, intent on reducing stress, and motivated to find ways of advancing their interests while minimizing the risk of war. The principal theoretical work on the subject is Irving Janis and Leon Mann’s classic study of decision making, published in 1977. While useful, the book has a significant flaw: Janis and Mann theorize that policy maker stress during crisis is derived from decision deliberation, leading to a circular approach. This book solves the identified problem by addressing circularity between the rise of psychological stress, decision deliberation, and dysfunctional behavior with an independent measure of decision conditions using cognitive complexity. With an effective independent measure of stress, the key contribution of this volume is a reformulation of Janis and Mann’s model to render the construct more rigorous and empirically useful to the present-day study of crisis decision making.


A Century of Crisis and Conflict in the International System

A Century of Crisis and Conflict in the International System
Author: Michael Brecher
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 421
Release: 2017-07-25
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 3319571567

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This book is designed to present a fully developed theory of international crisis and conflict, along with substantial evidence of these two closely related phenomena. The book begins with a discussion of these topics at a theoretical level, defining and elaborating on core concepts: international crisis, interstate conflict, severity, and impact. This is followed by a discussion of the international system, along with two significant illustrations, the Berlin Blockade crisis (1948) and the India-Pakistan crisis over Kashmir (1965-66). The book then presents a unified model of crisis, focusing on the four phases of an international crisis, which incorporate the four periods of foreign policy crises for individual states. Findings from thirteen conflicts representing six regional clusters are then analyzed, concluding with a set of hypotheses and evidence on conflict onset, persistence, and resolution.


Mediating International Crises

Mediating International Crises
Author: Jonathan Wilkenfeld
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2007-05-07
Genre: Law
ISBN: 113599479X

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This book investigates the crisis management mechanism-mediation by third parties to determine the effectiveness of mediation efforts in crisis negotiations.


A Study of Crisis

A Study of Crisis
Author: Michael Brecher
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Total Pages: 1094
Release: 2022-06-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0472903128

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As the twentieth century draws to a close, it is time to look back on an epoch of widespread turmoil, including two world wars, the end of the colonial era in world history, and a large number of international crises and conflicts. This book is designed to shed light on the causes and consequences of military-security crises since the end of World War I, in every region, across diverse economic and political regimes, and cultures. The primary aim of this volume is to uncover patterns of crises, conflicts and wars and thereby to contribute to the advancement of international peace and world order. The culmination of more than twenty years of research by Michael Brecher and Jonathan Wilkenfeld, the book analyzes crucial themes about crisis, conflict, and war and presents systematic knowledge about more than 400 crises, thirty-one protracted conflicts and almost 900 state participants. The authors explore many aspects of conflict, including the ethnic dimension, the effect of different kinds of political regimes--notably the question whether democracies are more peaceful than authoritarian regimes, and the role of violence in crisis management. They employ both case studies and aggregate data analysis in a Unified Model of Crisis to focus on two levels of analysis--hostile interactions among states, and the behavior of decision-makers who must cope with the challenge posed by a threat to values, time pressure, and the increased likelihood that military hostilities will engulf them. This book will appeal to scholars in history, political science, sociology, and economics as well as policy makers interested in the causes and effects of crises in international relations. The rich data sets will serve researchers for years to come as they probe additional aspects of crisis, conflict and war in international relations. Michael Brecher is R. B. Angus Professor of Political Science, McGill University. Jonathan Wilkenfeld is Professor and Chair of the Department of Government and Politics, University of Maryland. They are the coauthors of Crises in the Twentieth Century: A Handbook of International Crisis, among other books and articles.


International Political Earthquakes

International Political Earthquakes
Author: Michael Brecher
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Total Pages: 360
Release: 2008-08-25
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9780472070015

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International Political Earthquakes is the masterwork of the preeminent scholar Michael Brecher. Brecher, who came of age before World War II, has witnessed more than seven decades of conflict and has spent his career studying the dynamics of relations among nations throughout the world. When terrorism, ethnic conflict, military buildup, or other local tensions spark an international crisis, Brecher argues that the structure of global politics determines its potential to develop into open conflict. That conflict, in turn, may then generate worldwide political upheaval. Comparing international crises to earthquakes, Brecher proposes a scale analogous to the Richter scale to measure the severity and scope of the impact of a crisis on the landscape of international politics. Brecher's conclusions about the causes of international conflict and its consequences for global stability make a convincing case for gradual, nonviolent approaches to crisis resolution. Michael Brecher is R. B. Angus Professor of Political Science at McGill University.