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An Empirical "Dependent Economy" Model for Pakistan

An Empirical
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 1991-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 145185255X

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While the “dependent economy” approach has been used extensively in theoretical work on developing countries, there is very little empirical analysis of it available in the literature. This paper specifies a dependent economy model which incorporates several developing-country features, including an explicit role for public investment and legal interest rate ceilings. The model is estimated for Pakistan and is used to analyze the country’s recent high growth-low inflation experience. In particular, the contribution that external inflows, in the form of workers’ remittances and concessional lending, may have made in generating this outcome is assessed.


An Empirical "Dependent Economy" Model for Pakistan

An Empirical
Author: Nadeem Ul Haque
Publisher:
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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While the quot;dependent economyquot; approach has been used extensively in theoretical work on developing countries, there is very little empirical analysis of it available in the literature. This paper specifies a dependent economy model which incorporates several developing-country features, including an explicit role for public investment and legal interest rate ceilings. The model is estimated for Pakistan and is used to analyze the country`s recent high growth-low inflation experience. In particular, the contribution that external inflows, in the form of workers` remittances and concessional lending, may have made in generating this outcome is assessed.


The impact of IMF Credit on the economic growth of Pakistan

The impact of IMF Credit on the economic growth of Pakistan
Author: Tashif Ahmed
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2020-10-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3346262707

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Academic Paper from the year 2019 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 95.0, GC University, language: English, abstract: This empirical study was conducted to find the impact of IMF credit on the economy of Pakistan. Amid of 2018, Pakistan, being a developing nation is facing the critical situation for which it is left with no option other than knocking the door of IMF for borrowing credit in order to reform the up speculated economic crises. However, the studies have shown the controversial effects of IMF credit and its programs on the economies. Many critics believed that the programs of IMF exert significant effects on the economy, though this study was conducted to find the impact of IMF credit programs on the economy of Pakistan. The results depicted that the acceptance of the null hypothesis and rejection of the alternative hypothesis. Thus, the finding is that there is no impact of IMF credit programs on economic growth (GDP) of Pakistan since 1971. This proves that Pakistan can invest their borrowed loan in profitable projects to prosper the economic growth. Pakistan, being a developing nation is facing the critical situation for which it is left with no option other than knocking the door of IMF for borrowing credit in order to reform the up speculated economic crises. Before approving the loan the government of Pakistan must convince the IMF for less harsh conditionality against the additional fund than its quota. However, it would be a challenging task to reach IMF to demand 300% more than its quota. So, it is significant to know that whether the government is consuming that loan in fruitful projects so that enough turnover would generate from the economy to pay back the acquired loan. Unfortunately, despite of the global growth objective of IMF, around 11 major conditions imposed by IMF including: excise duty on service as well as agricultural sector, less expenditure in development programs of public sectors, currency devaluation, ceasing gas and electricity subsidy, uniformity in the rates of dollar exchange rate and interbank, ceasing of financial intervention in stock market of Pakistan, raise markup rate on bank and bank transactions, ceasing of non- development expenditure under budget of defense, non-allowance of supplementary grants to the government sectors, reduction in the non-developing expenses of ministries.


The Determinants of Savings

The Determinants of Savings
Author: Abdur Rahman Aleemi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 9
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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Economic theory suggests that national savings is an important component of growth in every economy. In developing countries like Pakistan that is performing well in terms of growth, one cannot rule out the fact that savings has got a role to play. The most significant economic relation between present, past and future of any country is described by its savings. The aim of this study was to analyze the impact and relationship between national saving rate and some selected determinants of saving namely inflation, real interest rate, real GDP growth rate and Government current expenditure, by using annual data for the period of 1980-2010. The variables in our model are based on well-established economic theory and long standing relationship. Supplemented in a dynamic regression model with the ARMA specification and well specified model; it was found that inflation, interest rate and government expenditures are negatively affecting the national savings rate during the length of this study for the economy of Pakistan.


How Does Political Instability Affect Economic Growth?

How Does Political Instability Affect Economic Growth?
Author: Mr.Ari Aisen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2011-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455211907

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The purpose of this paper is to empirically determine the effects of political instability on economic growth. Using the system-GMM estimator for linear dynamic panel data models on a sample covering up to 169 countries, and 5-year periods from 1960 to 2004, we find that higher degrees of political instability are associated with lower growth rates of GDP per capita. Regarding the channels of transmission, we find that political instability adversely affects growth by lowering the rates of productivity growth and, to a smaller degree, physical and human capital accumulation. Finally, economic freedom and ethnic homogeneity are beneficial to growth, while democracy may have a small negative effect.


IMF Staff papers, Volume 39 No. 1

IMF Staff papers, Volume 39 No. 1
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 220
Release: 1992-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451956940

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This paper focuses on exchange rate economics. Two main views of exchange rate determination have evolved since the early 1970s: the monetary approach to the exchange rate (in flexible-price, sticky-price, and real interest differential formulations); and the portfolio balance approach. In this paper, the literature on these views is surveyed, followed by a discussion of the empirical evidence and likely future developments in the area of exchange rate determination. The literature on foreign exchange market efficiency, exchange rates and “news,” and international parity conditions is also reviewed.


Fiscal Policy in Pakistan Since 1970

Fiscal Policy in Pakistan Since 1970
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 1992-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451949502

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The analysis in this paper suggests that the large fiscal deficits that Pakistan has experienced over most of the period since 1970 led to some crowding out of private investment, resulting in slower output growth than would otherwise have been observed. Past fiscal deficits have also resulted in a substantial accumulation of domestic and external debt. In addition, the possibilities for currency substitution that have been created by the removal of restrictions on capital flows from Pakistan, as well as on foreign currency holdings of domestic residents, may have limited the potential for collecting the inflation tax. Accordingly, continued effort is likely to be needed to attain a fiscal position that is sustainable over the medium term.


Private Investment in Developing Countries

Private Investment in Developing Countries
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 1990-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451977026

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This paper analyzes the effects of several policy and other macro-economic variables on the ratio of private investment to GDP in developing countries. Using data for a sample of 23 developing countries over the period 1975-87, the econometric evidence indicates that the rate of private investment is positively related to the real growth rate of GDP, public sector investment, and to a lesser extent the level of per capita GDP, while it is negatively related to domestic inflation, the debt service ratio, the debt-to-GDP ratio, and high real interest rates. There is also some indication that all but the last of these variables had a greater impact before the onset of the debt crisis in 1982, while the debt-to-GDP ratio (a measure of a country’s debt overhang) has become more important since then.