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An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between Stock Prices, Accounting Data and Other Information

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between Stock Prices, Accounting Data and Other Information
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 428
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study tests the Feltham and Ohlson (1996) model by modelling the Feltham and Ohlson other information variables using two different approaches. One approach is developed from the theoretical analysis of Begley and Feltham (2002). Extending their analysis that one-year and two-year-ahead analysts' forecasts of residual income infer the other information about future residual income and future investment growth, I measure the other information variables from the error terms of the regression of analysts' residual income forecasts on accounting numbers. The other approach is the direct implementation of Ohlson (2001) and Liu and Ohlson (2000). These studies demonstrate that one-year-ahead analysts' forecasts of residual income and operating assets can infer the two other information variables, and that other information can be measured as the difference between analysts' forecasts and forecasts from the time-series models. Using both the cross-sectional (in-sample) and the price prediction (out-of-sample) tests, I provide empirical evidence that the Feltham and Ohlson (1996) model is shown to have substantial empirical validity when these two approaches to estimate the other information variables are used. The signs of the estimated valuation regression coefficients are consistent with the theoretical prediction of the Feltham and Ohlson model, and the one-year-ahead price prediction of the Feltham and Ohlson model is more accurate than those of the Ohlson (1995) model. This study uses UK data from year 1999 to 2010.


The Declining Value Relevance of Accounting Information and Non-Information-Based Trading

The Declining Value Relevance of Accounting Information and Non-Information-Based Trading
Author: Alex Dontoh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 21
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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Recently, a growing body of literature has suggested that financial statements have lost their value relevance because of a shift from a traditional capital-intensive economy to a hightechnology, service-oriented economy. These conclusions are based on studies that find a temporal decline in the association between stock prices and accounting information (earnings and book values). This paper empirically tests a theoretical prediction arising from the Noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium model that suggests that the decline could be driven by non information based (NIB) trading activity, because such trading reduces the ability of stock prices to reflect accounting information. Specifically, Dontoh et al. (2004) show that when NIB tradingincreases, the R-squares of a regression of stock price on accounting information declines. Our empirical tests confirm this prediction; i.e., the decline in the association between stock prices and accounting information as measured by R-squares is driven by an increase in NIB trading.


Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing
Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 497
Release: 2019-03-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262039370

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An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.