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An Analysis of Price Volatility, Trading Volume and Market Depth of Stock Futures Market in India

An Analysis of Price Volatility, Trading Volume and Market Depth of Stock Futures Market in India
Author: Srinivasan Kaliyaperumal
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 144
Release: 2018-03-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3668659958

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Project Report from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, , course: Ph. D, language: English, abstract: Every modern economy is based on a sound financial system and acts as a monetary channel for productive purpose with effecting economic growth. It encourages saving habit by throwing open and plethora of instrument avenues suiting to the individuals requirements, mobilizing savings from households and other segments and allocating savings into productive usage such as trade, commerce, manufacture etc. Thus a financial system can also be understood as institutional arrangements, through which financial surpluses are mobilized from the units generating surplus income and transferring them to the others in need of them. In nutshell, financial market, financial assets, financial services and financial institutions constitute the financial system. The activities include exchange and holding of financial assets or instruments of different kinds of financial institutions, banks and other intermediaries of the market. Financial markets provide channels for allocation of savings to investment and provide variety of assets to savers in various forms in which the investors can park their funds. At the same time, financial market is one that integral part of the financial system which makes significant contribution to the countries’ economic development. It establishes a link between the demand and supply of long-term capital funds. The economic strength of a country depends squarely on the state of financial market, apart from the productive potential of the country. The efficient allocation of fund by the capital market depends on the state of capital market. All the countries therefore focus more on the functioning of the capital market. Indian financial market has faced many challenges in the process of effecting more efficient allocation and mobilization of capital. It has attained a remarkable degree of growth in the last decade and in continuing to achieve the same in current decade also. Opening up of the economy and adoption of the liberalized economic policies have driven our economy more towards the free market. Over the last few years, financial markets, more specifically the security market were experiencing a lot of structural and regulatory changes. The major constituents of financial market are money market and the capital market catering to the type of capital requirements.


Effect of Futures Trading on Spot Market Volatility

Effect of Futures Trading on Spot Market Volatility
Author: Brajesh Kumar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study investigates the relationship between futures trading activity and spot market volatility for agricultural, metal, precious metals and energy commodities in Indian commodity derivatives market. This article contributes to the debate whether the futures trading in Indian commodity futures market stabilizes or destabilizes spot market. We explore this issue by modeling contemporaneous as well as dynamic relationship between spot volatility and futures trading activity including trading volume (speculative/day trading) and open interest (hedging). Following Bessembinder and Senguin (1992), we examine contemporaneous relationship through augmented GARCH model in which spot volatility is modeled as GARCH (1,1) process and trading activity is used as explanatory variable. We also decompose futures trading volume and open interest series into expected and unexpected component. The lead-lag relationship between spot price volatility and futures trading volume and open interest is investigated through VAR model. Granger causality tests, forecast error variance decompositions and impulse response function are used to understand the dynamic relationship between these variables. We found that both expected and unexpected futures trading volume affects contemporaneous spot volatility positively. However, in case of agricultural commodities only unexpected volume affects the contemporaneous spot volatility. Granger causality tests, forecast error variance decompositions and impulse response function confirm that the lagged unexpected volatility causes spot price volatility for all commodities. The effect of speculative/day trading activity measured by trading volume on spot market volatility is positive. However, hedging activity measured by open interest does not show significant effect on spot market volatility. We do not find any effect of spot volatility on futures trading activity for most of the commodities.


Futures Market - Determinants of Indian Futures Market

Futures Market - Determinants of Indian Futures Market
Author: Babu Jose
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
Total Pages: 132
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN: 9783659326042

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Futures Market movement always depends on the fluctuation of the spot market. Elements of the futures market such as Open Interest, Trade volume, Volatility of futures return and Turn over are having direct link with futures return. Underlying Market return is the major influencing factor of the futures market, but the uncertain events of the futures market can be explained by observing the different relation ships of variables in the futures market.Market Depth, Market Volatility and market Trends are having causal relationship with futures return. Market responses and reflections are explained by the study with the help of econometric models like VAR Granger Causality/Block Exogeniety test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition.Indian stock and derivative markets are so speculative and volatile, the prediction of the movement is very difficult. Daily return series of S&P CNX Nifty and its underlying index from 2000 to 2010 are taken for the analysis. The whole study period is divided in to five stages as per the market movement and structural break of the data series. The empirical results of the study reveals the determinants of the futures market in India.


Maturity and Volume Effects on the Volatility

Maturity and Volume Effects on the Volatility
Author: Pratap Chandra Pati
Publisher:
Total Pages: 19
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study attempts to examine the volatility dynamics and investigate the Samuelson Maturity Hypothesis, a source of non-stationary in volatility of futures price in the context of Indian Futures Market, by taking Nifty Index Futures traded on NSE. The data sample consist of daily closing price, volume and open interest of Nifty index futures from the period January 1, 2002 to December 29, 2005 for near month contract with 1009 sample data points. We construct data sample for time-to-maturity by rolling or switching over to the next maturing contract four days before the expiration date. For empirical analysis, ARMA-GARCH, ARMA-EGARCH models have been estimated. The empirical evidence suggests that there is time-varying volatility, volatility clustering and leverage effect in Indian futures market. This study does not provide support for the Samuelson Hypothesis in Indian futures market. The coefficient of the time-to-maturity variable is found to be insignificant. With respect to volume-volatility relationship, the results indicate a clear acceptance of Mixtures of Distribution Hypothesis i.e. there is positive contemporaneous relationship between futures prices volatility and volume. Hence this study concludes that time-to-maturity is not a strong determinant of futures price volatility, but rate of information arrival proxyed by volume and open interest are the important sources of volatility.


Futures Trading Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Hedging Efficiency

Futures Trading Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Hedging Efficiency
Author: Chandra Bhola
Publisher: Ary Publisher
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023-06-10
Genre:
ISBN: 9788798623045

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This study investigates the impact of futures trading on stock market volatility and hedging efficiency, focusing on the S&P CNX Nifty index and select stocks in India. By conducting a comprehensive analysis, this research aims to examine the relationship between futures trading activity and its influence on market volatility and the effectiveness of hedging strategies. The study utilizes empirical methods to evaluate the effects of futures trading on stock market volatility. It analyzes the S&P CNX Nifty index, which represents the broader market, and specific individual stocks to understand how futures trading impacts price fluctuations and overall market stability. Furthermore, the research assesses the hedging efficiency of futures contracts as risk management tools. It examines whether investors can effectively hedge their positions and reduce portfolio risk through futures trading. By evaluating the effectiveness of hedging strategies in the context of the Indian stock market, this study provides valuable insights for market participants. Overall, this study delves into the impact of futures trading on stock market volatility and hedging efficiency in India. By examining the S&P CNX Nifty index and select stocks, it aims to shed light on the relationship between futures trading and market dynamics. The findings contribute to the understanding of risk management practices and assist investors in making informed decisions related to hedging strategies in the Indian stock market.


Studies in International Economics and Finance

Studies in International Economics and Finance
Author: Naoyuki Yoshino
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 671
Release: 2022-03-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811670625

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This festschrift volume presents discussions on contemporary issues in international economics and finance. It is aimed to serve as a reference material for researchers. There are two broad sections of the book -- International Macroeconomics and International Finance. The chapters in the International Macroeconomics section discuss critical topics like aggregate level macro model for India with a new Keynesian perspective, balance of payments, service sector exports, foreign exchange constraints for import demands, foreign direct investment and knowledge spill over, the relationship between forex rate fluctuation and investment, Institutional quality-trade openness-economic growth nexus, currency crises and debt-deficit relationship in the BRICS countries in the backdrop of COVID-19. Apart from these, various analytical issues related to macroeconomic policies are also covered in this section. The topics discussed includes the nature of forex market interventions, the issue of disinvestment and privatization, changing nature of fiscal policy, the inflation-growth nexus, macroeconomic simulation modelling, measuring core inflation, central bank credibility, monetary policy, inflation targeting, Infrastructure, trade, unemployment and inequality nexus. In the International Finance section, topics such as COVID-19 induced financial crisis, commodity futures volatility, stock market connectivity, volatility persistence, determinants of sovereign bond yields, FII and stock market volatility, cryptocurrency price formation, financialization of Indian commodity market, and a Keynesian view of the financial crisis are discussed. Overall, thirty two chapters in the volume discuss cutting edge research in the areas of the two sections. A tour de force... a lucid guide to some of the diverse and complex issues in International Macroeconomics and Finance. This collection of scholarly works is a fitting tribute to respected Prof. Bandi Kamaiah and his enviable academic contributions. - Prof. Y V Reddy, Former Governor, Reserve Bank of India This volume comprising thoughtful essays by our leading scholars on some of important policy issues that India is facing is indeed a rich tribute to Professor Bandi Kamaiah . This book will greatly benefit the academic community as well as our policy makers. - Prof. Vijay Kelkar, Chairman, 13th Finance Commission of India; Chairman, India Development Foundation, Mumbai, India Noted economists from India and abroad gather to apply the rigorous searchlight that Professor Bandi Kamaiah used so effectively in his career. Major current topics in macroeconomics and international finance are effectively explored in the volume. - Prof. Ashima Goyal, Emeritus Professor, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India; and Member, Monetary Policy Committee of Reserve Bank of India This volume of 32 papers in macroeconomics, international economics, and international finance is intended as a tribute to the eminent econometrician , Prof B Kamaiah. Post-graduate students and researchers will find much valuable literature in the volume, which is a fitting tribute to Prof Kamaiah. The editors and authors deserve rich compliments. - Prof. K L Krishna, Former Director, Delhi School of Economics, New Delhi, India I am so happy to hear that Dr. Kamaiah's colleagues and ex-students are bringing out a special volume of articles in his honor. Nothing can be more appropriate. Dr. Kamaiah, being a man of tremendous publications, deserves this tribute. I wish all the luck and success to the new book. - Prof. Kishore Kulkarni, Distinguished Professor of Economics, Metropolitan State University of Denver, USA


Investors' Perceptions on Trading Volume and Stock Return Volatility in Indian Stock Market

Investors' Perceptions on Trading Volume and Stock Return Volatility in Indian Stock Market
Author: Mahender
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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The present study aims to examine the investor's perception on trading volume and stock return volatility in Indian stock market using a structured questionnaire. Statistical tools like factor analysis, ANOVA and Cronbach's alpha are used to analyze data with the help of SPSS. The main findings show that out of the nine dimensions determined, on the basis of age, there is a significant difference in the response of the respondents in the case of tactics. On the basis of education, there is a significant difference in the response of the respondents in the case of cause-effect relationship and risk management. In all demographic profiles, there is no significant difference in trading volume and stock return volatility. The main implication of this study is for the investors and portfolio managers, as a majority of the respondents show strong willingness to use trading volume and stock return volatility as an informational tool. Therefore, this study suggests that a new approach to investment ought to be evolved which should aim at using trading volume and stock return volatility as information indicators.


Market Volatility and Investor Confidence

Market Volatility and Investor Confidence
Author: New York Stock Exchange. Market Volatility and Investor Confidence Panel
Publisher:
Total Pages: 396
Release: 1990
Genre: Program trading (Securities)
ISBN:

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