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A Valuation Study of Stock-Market Seasonality and Firm Size

A Valuation Study of Stock-Market Seasonality and Firm Size
Author: Zhiwu Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 47
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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Existing studies on market seasonality and the size effect are largely based on realized returns. This paper investigates seasonal variations and size-related differences in cross-stock valuation distribution. We use three stock valuation measures, two derived from structural models and one from book/market ratio. With each measure, we find that the average level is the highest in midsummer and the lowest in mid-December. Furthermore, the valuation dispersion (or, kurtosis)across stocks increases towards the year end and reverses direction after the turn of the year, suggesting increased movements in both the under-and-overvaluation directions. Among size groups, small-cap stocks exhibit the sharpest decline in valuation from June to December and the highest rise from December to January. For most months, small-cap stocks have the lowest valuation among all size groups. In a typical month, small-cap stocks show the widest cross-stock valuation dispersion, meaning they are also the hardest to value. Overall, large stocks enjoy the highest level of valuation uniformity and are the least subject to seasonal valuation variations.


Stock Market Anomalies

Stock Market Anomalies
Author: Elroy Dimson
Publisher: CUP Archive
Total Pages: 328
Release: 1988-03-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521341042

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Seasonal Stock Market Trends

Seasonal Stock Market Trends
Author: Jay Kaeppel
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 325
Release: 2008-12-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470270438

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There is a seasonal bias to the stock market, and by paying attention to the seasonal market tendencies you can gain an edge in the stock market over the long haul. Seasonality offers a practical approach to investing and trading. What better way to learn how to employ seasonal systems than learning from Jay Kaeppel, a master in the analysis of seasonal trends? Kaeppel walks you through this phenomenon that continues to work consistently, providing you with his ultimate seasonal index to make the calendar work for you. Stock Market Seasonals provides a never-before-seen definitive guide that illustrates how to utilize a combination of four basic seasonal tendencies in order to maximize returns.


Firm Size, Stock Return Seasonality, and the Trading Pattern of Individual and Institutional Investors

Firm Size, Stock Return Seasonality, and the Trading Pattern of Individual and Institutional Investors
Author: George Athanassakos
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 1998
Genre:
ISBN:

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Consistent with U.S. evidence showing a significant January effect, Canadian stocks, both large and small, are found to exhibit a strong first quarter seasonal effect. Evidence appears to support the hypothesis that the behavior of institutional investors explains this effect to some extent for both large- and small-cap stocks. Individual investors seem to be the marginal traders whose trades affect the prices of small stocks in all but the first quarter. The findings have implications for market efficiency as well as for identifying the best times that portfolio managers and brokers aggressively approach potential customers.


The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies

The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies
Author: Leonard Zacks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 352
Release: 2011-08-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118127765

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Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.


Seasonal Return Volatility and Firm Size

Seasonal Return Volatility and Firm Size
Author: Kenneth Beller
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 1998
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper reports evidence that the standard deviation of stock returns exhibits seasonal patterns. The seasonal patterns are considerably different between portfolios of different market value of equity stocks. January and August are the two most volatile months for the small decile portfolio while April and November are most volatile for the largest decile portfolio. Return variance anomalies have been modeled using different variations of the general autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. We compare two methods to account for the seasonal differences in volatility between size portfolios in conditional heteroskedastic models. The first alternative specifies one month, one quarter and one year variance lags. The second alternative uses selected monthly dummy variables in the variance structure. Of the models tested, our results suggest that the best overall model is the EGARCH(1,1)-m with seasonal dummies. The GARCH-m model with seasonal lags performs well for portfolios of large market capitalization stocks. However, none of the models were able to account for the seasonality in volatility for large stocks and the models with variance lags failed to account for the seasonality for small stocks.


Handbook of Corporate Finance

Handbook of Corporate Finance
Author: Bjørn Espen Eckbo
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 559
Release: 2007-05-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080488919

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Judging by the sheer number of papers reviewed in this Handbook, the empirical analysis of firms’ financing and investment decisions—empirical corporate finance—has become a dominant field in financial economics. The growing interest in everything “corporate is fueled by a healthy combination of fundamental theoretical developments and recent widespread access to large transactional data bases. A less scientific—but nevertheless important—source of inspiration is a growing awareness of the important social implications of corporate behavior and governance. This Handbook takes stock of the main empirical findings to date across an unprecedented spectrum of corporate finance issues, ranging from econometric methodology, to raising capital and capital structure choice, and to managerial incentives and corporate investment behavior. The surveys are written by leading empirical researchers that remain active in their respective areas of interest. With few exceptions, the writing style makes the chapters accessible to industry practitioners. For doctoral students and seasoned academics, the surveys offer dense roadmaps into the empirical research landscape and provide suggestions for future work. *The Handbooks in Finance series offers a broad group of outstanding volumes in various areas of finance *Each individual volume in the series should present an accurate self-contained survey of a sub-field of finance *The series is international in scope with contributions from field leaders the world over


The Impact of Share Price on Seasonality and Size Anomalies in Australian Equity Returns

The Impact of Share Price on Seasonality and Size Anomalies in Australian Equity Returns
Author: Clive Gaunt
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2000
Genre:
ISBN:

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Given the high correlation between a firm's stock price and market capitalisation, it is possible that the well-documented size anomaly is masking a share-price effect. Using a seemingly unrelated regression model to accommodate contemporaneous correlation between portfolios, we estimate the separate effects of firm size and share price on returns to Australian equity portfolios. The analysis is also extended to estimate seasonal components of size and price effects. Our major findings are: i) firm size and share price have significant and independent effects on portfolio returns averaged over all months, ii) the familiar negative relation between size and returns is confirmed across all months, and iii) the relation between share price and returns is negative in July and positive in all other months, with the exception of January where no price effect occurs. These findings, which are consistent across sub-periods and robust to method variations, highlight the need for future research to provide an economic foundation for the relation between average returns, size and price.


Security Market Imperfections in Worldwide Equity Markets

Security Market Imperfections in Worldwide Equity Markets
Author: Donald B. Keim
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 576
Release: 2000-03-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521571388

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The study of security market imperfections, namely the predictability of equity stock returns, is one of the fundamental research areas in financial modelling. These anomalies, which are not consistent with existing theories, concern the relation between stock returns and variables, such as firm size and earnings-to-price ratios, and seasonal effects, such as January and turn-of-the-month. This book provides the most complete and current account of work in the area. Leading academics and investment researchers have combined to produce a comprehensive coverage of the subject, including both cross-sectional and time series analyses, as well as discussing the measurement of risk and prediction models that have been used by institutional investors. The studies cover many worldwide markets including the US, Japan, Asia, and Europe. The book will be invaluable for courses in financial engineering, investment and portfolio management, and as a reference for investment professionals seeking an up-to-date source on return predictability.


Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation

Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation
Author: Roger G. Ibbotson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 202
Release: 1989
Genre: Actions (Titres de société) - Prix - Prévision
ISBN: 9781556232312

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