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The Risk-Return Relation in International Stock Markets

The Risk-Return Relation in International Stock Markets
Author: Hui Guo
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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We investigate the risk-return relation in international stock markets using realized variance constructed from MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) daily stock price indexes. In contrast with CAPM, realized variance by itself provides negligible information about future excess stock market returns; however, we uncover a positive and significant risk-return tradeoff in many countries after controlling for the (U.S.) consumption-wealth ratio. U.S. realized variance is also significantly related to future international stock market returns; more importantly, it always subsumes the information content of its local counterparts. Our results indicate that stock market variance is an important determinant of the equity premium.


On the Risk-Return Relation in International Stock Markets, Forthcoming

On the Risk-Return Relation in International Stock Markets, Forthcoming
Author: Hui Guo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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We investigate the risk-return relation in international stock markets using realized variance constructed from MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) daily stock price indices. In contrast with CAPM, realized variance by itself provides negligible information about future excess stock market returns; however, we uncover a positive and significant risk-return tradeoff in many countries after controlling for the (U.S.) consumption-wealth ratio. U.S. realized variance is also significantly related to future international stock market returns; more importantly, it always subsumes the information content of its local counterparts. Our results indicate that stock market variance is an important determinant of the equity premium.


Risk-return Relationship and Portfolio Management

Risk-return Relationship and Portfolio Management
Author: Raj S. Dhankar
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre: Electronic books
ISBN: 9788132239499

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This book covers all aspects of modern finance relating to portfolio theory and risk-return relationship, offering a comprehensive guide to the importance, measurement and application of the risk-return hypothesis in portfolio management. It is divided into five parts: Part I discusses the valuation of capital assets and presents various techniques and models used in this context. Part II then addresses market efficiency and capital market models, particularly focusing on measuring market efficiency, which is a crucial factor in making correct investment decisions. It also analyzes the major capital market models like CAPM and APT to determine to what extent they are suitable for use in developing economies. Part III highlights the significance of risk-return analysis as a prerequisite for investment decisions, while Part IV examines the selection and performance appraisals of portfolios against the backdrop of the risk-return relationship. It also examines new tools such as the value-at-risk application for mutual funds and the applications of the price-to-earnings ratio in portfolio performance measurement. Lastly, Part V explores contemporary issues in finance, including the relevance of Islamic finance in the increasingly volatile global financial system.


Risk-Return Relationship and Portfolio Management

Risk-Return Relationship and Portfolio Management
Author: Raj S. Dhankar
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 323
Release: 2019-10-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 8132239504

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This book covers all aspects of modern finance relating to portfolio theory and risk–return relationship, offering a comprehensive guide to the importance, measurement and application of the risk–return hypothesis in portfolio management. It is divided into five parts: Part I discusses the valuation of capital assets and presents various techniques and models used in this context. Part II then addresses market efficiency and capital market models, particularly focusing on measuring market efficiency, which is a crucial factor in making correct investment decisions. It also analyzes the major capital market models like CAPM and APT to determine to what extent they are suitable for use in developing economies. Part III highlights the significance of risk–return analysis as a prerequisite for investment decisions, while Part IV examines the selection and performance appraisals of portfolios against the backdrop of the risk–return relationship. It also examines new tools such as the value-at-risk application for mutual funds and the applications of the price-to-earnings ratio in portfolio performance measurement. Lastly, Part V explores contemporary issues in finance, including the relevance of Islamic finance in the increasingly volatile global financial system.


A Risk Return Relation in Stock Markets

A Risk Return Relation in Stock Markets
Author: Napon Hongsakulvasu
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this paper, I propose a new semi-parametric GARCH-in-Mean model. Since many empirical papers have the mix results on the risk-return relation, the cause of problem may come from the misspecification of conditional mean equation or conditional variance equation or both of them. My model uses non-parametric estimation in conditional mean equation and semi-parametric estimation in conditional variance equation which allows the non-linear risk return relation in conditional mean equation and allows the non-linear relation between the volatility and the cumulative sum of exponentially weighted past returns. Three parameters on my model are GARCH parameter, the leverage effect parameter and leptokurtic parameter. I also extend my model to include four exogenous variables, dividend yield, term spread, default spread and momentum into conditional mean equation by using additive model which allows each variable to have non-linear relation with the return. An empirical study on S&P 500 suggests that risk has a small affect on market return. However, when four exogenous variables are added to the model, my model shows that the risk-return relation has a positive hump shape. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/155545


High Returns from Low Risk

High Returns from Low Risk
Author: Pim van Vliet
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 180
Release: 2017-01-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119351057

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Believing "high-risk equals high-reward" is holding your portfolio hostage High Returns from Low Risk proves that low-volatility, low-risk portfolios beat high-volatility portfolios hands down, and shows you how to take advantage of this paradox to dramatically improve your returns. Investors traditionally view low-risk stocks as safe but unprofitable, but this old canard is based on a flawed premise; it fails to see beyond the monthly horizon, and ignores compounding returns. This book updates the thinking and brings reality to modelling to show how low-risk stocks actually outperform high-risk stocks by an order of magnitude. Easy to read and easy to implement, the plan presented here will help you construct a portfolio that delivers higher returns per unit of risk, and explains how to achieve excellent investment results over the long term. Do you still believe that investors are rewarded for bearing risk, and that the higher the risk, the greater the reward? That old axiom is holding you back, and it is time to start seeing the whole picture. This book shows you, through deep historical simulation, how to reap the rewards of smarter investing. Learn how and why low-risk, low-volatility stocks beat the market Discover the formula that outperforms Greenblatt's Construct your own low-risk portfolio Select the right ETF or low-risk fund to manage your money Great returns and lower risk sound like a winning combination — what happens once everyone is doing it? The beauty of the low-risk strategy is that it continues to work even after the paradox is widely known; long-term investment success is possible for anyone who can shake off the entrenched wisdom and go low-risk. High Returns from Low Risk provides the proof, model and strategy to reign in your exposure while raking in the profit.


Investigating the Intertemporal Risk-return Relation in International Stock Markets with the Component Garch Model

Investigating the Intertemporal Risk-return Relation in International Stock Markets with the Component Garch Model
Author: Hui Guo
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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"We revisit the risk-return relation using the component GARCH model and international daily MSCI stock market data. In contrast with the previous evidence obtained from weekly and monthly data, daily data show that the relation is positive in almost all markets and often statistically significant. Likelihood ratio tests reject the standard GARCH model in favor of the component GARCH model, which strengthens the evidence for a positive risk-return tradeoff. Consistent with U.S. evidence, the long-run component of volatility is a more important determinant of the conditional equity premium than the short-run component for most international markets"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.


Uncovering the Risk-return Relation in the Stock Market

Uncovering the Risk-return Relation in the Stock Market
Author: Hui Guo
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2001
Genre: Investments
ISBN:

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"There is an ongoing debate in the literature about the apparent weak or negative relation between risk (conditional variance) and return (expected returns) in the aggregate stock market. We develop and estimate an empirical model based on the ICAPM to investigate this relation. Our primary innovation is to model and identify empirically the two components of expected returns--the risk component and the component due to the desire to hedge changes in investment opportunities. We also explicitly model the effect of shocks to expected returns on ex post returns and use implied volatility from traded options to increase estimation efficiency. As a result, the coefficient of relative risk aversion is estimated more precisely, and we find it to be positive and reasonable in magnitude. Although volatility risk is priced, as theory dictates, it contributes only a small amount to the time-variation in expected returns. Expected returns are driven primarily by the desire to hedge changes in investment opportunities. It is the omission of this hedge component that is responsible for the contradictory and counter-intuitive results in the existing literature"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.