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A Regime-Switching Heston Model for VIX and S&P 500 Implied Volatilities

A Regime-Switching Heston Model for VIX and S&P 500 Implied Volatilities
Author: Andrew Papanicolaou
Publisher:
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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Volatility products have become popular in the past 15 years as a hedge against market uncertainty. In particular, there is growing interest in options on the VIX volatility index. A number of recent empirical studies examine whether there is significantly greater risk premium in VIX option prices compared with S&P 500 option prices. We address this issue by proposing and analyzing a stochastic volatility model with regime switching. The basic Heston model cannot capture VIX implied volatilities, as has been documented. We show that the incorporation sharp regime shifts can bridge this shortcoming. We take advantage of Fourier methods to make the extension tractable, and we present a fit to data, both in times of crisis and relative calm, which shows the effectiveness of the regime switching.


The Causal Relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX Index

The Causal Relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX Index
Author: Florian Auinger
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 102
Release: 2015-02-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3658089695

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Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions.


Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives

Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives
Author: Yue Kuen Kwok
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 283
Release: 2022-05-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1000584259

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Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives summarizes most of the recent research results in pricing models of derivatives on discrete realized variance and VIX. The book begins with the presentation of volatility trading and uses of variance derivatives. It then moves on to discuss the robust replication strategy of variance swaps using portfolio of options, which is one of the major milestones in pricing theory of variance derivatives. The replication procedure provides the theoretical foundation of the construction of VIX. This book provides sound arguments for formulating the pricing models of variance derivatives and establishes formal proofs of various technical results. Illustrative numerical examples are included to show accuracy and effectiveness of analytic and approximation methods. Features Useful for practitioners and quants in the financial industry who need to make choices between various pricing models of variance derivatives Fabulous resource for researchers interested in pricing and hedging issues of variance derivatives and VIX products Can be used as a university textbook in a topic course on pricing variance derivatives


Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities

Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities
Author: Anatoli? Vital?evich Svishchuk
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 326
Release: 2013
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9814440132

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Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities is devoted to the modeling and pricing of various kinds of swaps, such as those for variance, volatility, covariance, correlation, for financial and energy markets with different stochastic volatilities, which include CIR process, regime-switching, delayed, mean-reverting, multi-factor, fractional, Levy-based, semi-Markov and COGARCH(1,1). One of the main methods used in this book is change of time method. The book outlines how the change of time method works for different kinds of models and problems arising in financial and energy markets and the associated problems in modeling and pricing of a variety of swaps. The book also contains a study of a new model, the delayed Heston model, which improves the volatility surface fitting as compared with the classical Heston model. The author calculates variance and volatility swaps for this model and provides hedging techniques. The book considers content on the pricing of variance and volatility swaps and option pricing formula for mean-reverting models in energy markets. Some topics such as forward and futures in energy markets priced by multi-factor Levy models and generalization of Black-76 formula with Markov-modulated volatility are part of the book as well, and it includes many numerical examples such as S&P60 Canada Index, S&P500 Index and AECO Natural Gas Index.


Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Applications

Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Applications
Author: George Yin
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 599
Release: 2019-07-16
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3030254984

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This volume collects papers, based on invited talks given at the IMA workshop in Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Related Applications, held at the Institute for Mathematics and Its Applications, University of Minnesota, during May and June, 2018. There were four week-long workshops during the conference. They are (1) stochastic control, computation methods, and applications, (2) queueing theory and networked systems, (3) ecological and biological applications, and (4) finance and economics applications. For broader impacts, researchers from different fields covering both theoretically oriented and application intensive areas were invited to participate in the conference. It brought together researchers from multi-disciplinary communities in applied mathematics, applied probability, engineering, biology, ecology, and networked science, to review, and substantially update most recent progress. As an archive, this volume presents some of the highlights of the workshops, and collect papers covering a broad range of topics.


Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis And Practical Applications

Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis And Practical Applications
Author: Tim Siu-tang Leung
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 221
Release: 2015-11-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9814725935

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Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis and Practical Applications provides a systematic study to the practical problem of optimal trading in the presence of mean-reverting price dynamics. It is self-contained and organized in its presentation, and provides rigorous mathematical analysis as well as computational methods for trading ETFs, options, futures on commodities or volatility indices, and credit risk derivatives.This book offers a unique financial engineering approach that combines novel analytical methodologies and applications to a wide array of real-world examples. It extracts the mathematical problems from various trading approaches and scenarios, but also addresses the practical aspects of trading problems, such as model estimation, risk premium, risk constraints, and transaction costs. The explanations in the book are detailed enough to capture the interest of the curious student or researcher, and complete enough to give the necessary background material for further exploration into the subject and related literature.This book will be a useful tool for anyone interested in financial engineering, particularly algorithmic trading and commodity trading, and would like to understand the mathematically optimal strategies in different market environments.


The Heston Model and its Extensions in Matlab and C#

The Heston Model and its Extensions in Matlab and C#
Author: Fabrice D. Rouah
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 437
Release: 2013-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118695178

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Tap into the power of the most popular stochastic volatility model for pricing equity derivatives Since its introduction in 1993, the Heston model has become a popular model for pricing equity derivatives, and the most popular stochastic volatility model in financial engineering. This vital resource provides a thorough derivation of the original model, and includes the most important extensions and refinements that have allowed the model to produce option prices that are more accurate and volatility surfaces that better reflect market conditions. The book's material is drawn from research papers and many of the models covered and the computer codes are unavailable from other sources. The book is light on theory and instead highlights the implementation of the models. All of the models found here have been coded in Matlab and C#. This reliable resource offers an understanding of how the original model was derived from Ricatti equations, and shows how to implement implied and local volatility, Fourier methods applied to the model, numerical integration schemes, parameter estimation, simulation schemes, American options, the Heston model with time-dependent parameters, finite difference methods for the Heston PDE, the Greeks, and the double Heston model. A groundbreaking book dedicated to the exploration of the Heston model—a popular model for pricing equity derivatives Includes a companion website, which explores the Heston model and its extensions all coded in Matlab and C# Written by Fabrice Douglas Rouah a quantitative analyst who specializes in financial modeling for derivatives for pricing and risk management Engaging and informative, this is the first book to deal exclusively with the Heston Model and includes code in Matlab and C# for pricing under the model, as well as code for parameter estimation, simulation, finite difference methods, American options, and more.


Trading VIX Derivatives

Trading VIX Derivatives
Author: Russell Rhoads
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 293
Release: 2011-08-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470933089

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A guide to using the VIX to forecast and trade markets Known as the fear index, the VIX provides a snapshot of expectations about future stock market volatility and generally moves inversely to the overall stock market. Trading VIX Derivatives will show you how to use the Chicago Board Options Exchange's S&P 500 volatility index to gauge fear and greed in the market, use market volatility to your advantage, and hedge stock portfolios. Engaging and informative, this book skillfully explains the mechanics and strategies associated with trading VIX options, futures, exchange traded notes, and options on exchange traded notes. Many market participants look at the VIX to help understand market sentiment and predict turning points. With a slew of VIX index trading products now available, traders can use a variety of strategies to speculate outright on the direction of market volatility, but they can also utilize these products in conjunction with other instruments to create spread trades or hedge their overall risk. Reviews how to use the VIX to forecast market turning points, as well as reveals what it takes to implement trading strategies using VIX options, futures, and ETNs Accessible to active individual traders, but sufficiently sophisticated for professional traders Offers insights on how volatility-based strategies can be used to provide diversification and enhance returns Written by Russell Rhoads, a top instructor at the CBOE's Options Institute, this book reflects on the wide range of uses associated with the VIX and will interest anyone looking for profitable new forecasting and trading techniques.


Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility

Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility
Author: Jean-Pierre Fouque
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 222
Release: 2000-07-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521791632

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This book, first published in 2000, addresses pricing and hedging derivative securities in uncertain and changing market volatility.


A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility

A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility
Author: Ser-Huang Poon
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 236
Release: 2005-08-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470856157

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Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.