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Storm-surge Forecasting

Storm-surge Forecasting
Author: J. W. Nickerson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 114
Release: 1971
Genre: Hurricanes
ISBN:

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The report contains an adaptation of a unique storm-surge forecasting technique developed by Dr. C.P. Jelesnianski. This technique results in a computed storm surge profile at the inner boundary of an artificial standard basin seaward of the coast. The profile is derived from nomograms based upon a standard storm passing over a standard basin. Thumb rules and guidelines are presented in the publication for subjectively modifying the computer storm surge height as it moves shoreward of the artificial basin boundary, to fit the natural conditions of a particular coastline. Major advantages of this system are its applicability to almost any locale, its adaptability to data normally available to the field forecaster and the speed with which the forecast may be modified to remain current with natural fluctuations of the storm.


Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones

Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones
Author: Johnny C. L. Chan
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 445
Release: 2010
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9814293482

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Pt. I. Theory of tropical cyclones. ch. 1. Tropical cyclone structure and dynamics / Jeffrey D. Kepert. ch. 2. Tropical cyclone formation / Kevin J. Tory and William M. Frank. ch. 3. Air-sea interactions in tropical cyclones / Lynn K. Shay. ch. 4. Movement of tropical cyclones / Johnny C.L. Chan. ch. 5. The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones : structural characteristics, downstream impacts, and forecast challenges / Patrick A. Harr -- pt. II. Observations of tropical cyclones. ch. 6. Observing and analyzing the near-surface wind field in tropical cyclones / Mark D. Powell. ch. 7. Satellite observations of tropical cyclones / Christopher Velden and Jeffrey Hawkins. ch. 8. Aircraft observations of tropical cyclones / Sim D. Aberson [und weitere] -- pt. III. Climate variations of tropical cyclone activity. ch. 9. Tropical cyclones and climate change : a review / Thomas Knutson, Chris Landsea and Kerry Emanuel -- pt. IV. Forecasting of tropical cyclones. ch. 10. Track and structure forecasts of tropical cyclones / Julian Heming and Jim Goerss. ch. 11. The influence of natural climate variability on tropical cyclones, and seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity / Suzana J. Camargo [und weitere] -- pt. V. Hydrological aspects of tropical cyclones. ch. 12. Storm surge modeling and applications in coastal areas / Shishir K. Dube [und weitere] -- pt. VI. Societal impacts of tropical cyclones. ch. 13. Disaster mitigation and societal impacts / David King, Jim Davidson and Linda Anderson-Berry


Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change

Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change
Author: U.C. Mohanty
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 435
Release: 2013-10-12
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9400777205

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This book deals with recent advances in our understanding and prediction of tropical cyclogenesis, intensification and movement as well as landfall processes like heavy rainfall, gale wind and storm surge based on the latest observational and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling platforms. It also includes tropical cyclone (TC) management issues like early warning systems, recent high impact TC events, disaster preparedness, assessment of risk and vulnerability including construction, archiving and retrieval of the best tracking and historical data sets, policy decision etc., in view of recent findings on climate change aspects and their impact on TC activity. The chapters are authored by leading experts, both from research and operational environments. This book is relevant to cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, graduate and undergraduate students. It intends to stimulate thinking and hence further research in the field of TCs and climate change, especially over the Indian Ocean region and provides high-quality reference materials for all the users mentioned above for the management of TCs over this region.


Advanced Numerical Modeling and Data Assimilation Techniques for Tropical Cyclone Predictions

Advanced Numerical Modeling and Data Assimilation Techniques for Tropical Cyclone Predictions
Author: U.C. Mohanty
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2016-11-07
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9789402408942

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This book deals primarily with monitoring, prediction and understanding of Tropical Cyclones (TCs). It was envisioned to serve as a teaching and reference resource at universities and academic institutions for researchers and post-graduate students. It has been designed to provide a broad outlook on recent advances in observations, assimilation and modeling of TCs with detailed and advanced information on genesis, intensification, movement and storm surge prediction. Specifically, it focuses on (i) state-of-the-art observations for advancing TC research, (ii) advances in numerical weather prediction for TCs, (iii) advanced assimilation and vortex initialization techniques, (iv) ocean coupling, (v) current capabilities to predict TCs, and (vi) advanced research in physical and dynamical processes in TCs. The chapters in the book are authored by leading international experts from academic, research and operational environments. The book is also expected to stimulate critical thinking for cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, and graduate and post-graduate students to carry out future research in the field of TCs.


Tropical Cyclone Dynamics, Prediction, and Detection

Tropical Cyclone Dynamics, Prediction, and Detection
Author: Anthony Lupo
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Total Pages: 260
Release: 2016-11-02
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 9535127020

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Today, tropical cyclones continue to bring destruction, as well as disruption, to societies that are exposed to their threat. This book represents a compilation of recent cutting-edge research on tropical cyclones and their impacts from researchers at many institutions around the world. This book contains new looks at tropical cyclone dynamics, the use of satellite-based remote sensing in the detection and climatology of tropical cyclones, and the modeling and prediction of tropical cyclones as well as their associated impacts. This book would make a nice addition to any course on tropical meteorology highlighting topics of interest in recent research on this topic.


Real-Time Forecasting System of Winds, Waves and Surge in Tropical Cyclones

Real-Time Forecasting System of Winds, Waves and Surge in Tropical Cyclones
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 8
Release: 2003
Genre:
ISBN:

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The long-term goal of this partnership is to establish an operational forecasting system of the wind field and resulting waves and surge impacting the coastline during the approach and landfall of tropical cyclones. The results of this forecasting system would provide real-time information to the National Hurricane Center during the tropical cyclone season in the Atlantic for establishing improved advisories for the general public and federal agencies including military and civil emergency response teams. Objectives: (1) To define output products necessary to enhance the guidance skills of the Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory product. (2) To test the model infra-structure that would lead toward better forecast information for landfall hurricane wind, wave, and surge conditions. Several historical storms will be used to assess model infra-structure. (3) To develop the interface that couples high-resolution cyclone wind fields to the selected wind model. (4) To develop a system that couples storm surge and spectral wave models driven by winds specified in 6). (5) Test entire system via a proof-of-concepts approach with data from several historical hurricanes. (6) Test system in semi-operational mode during several hurricane seasons and begin transition to fully operational mode.