Unveiling The Effects Of Foreign Exchange Intervention PDF Download
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| Author | : Gustavo Adler |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 42 |
| Release | : 2015-06-23 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513514865 |
Download Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an economically meaningful way. A purchase of foreign currency of 1 percentage point of GDP causes a depreciation of the nominal and real exchange rates in the ranges of [1.7-2.0] percent and [1.4-1.7] percent respectively. The effects are found to be quite persistent. The paper also explores possible asymmetric effects, and whether effectiveness depends on the depth of domestic financial markets.
| Author | : Mr.Tigran Poghosyan |
| Publisher | : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND |
| Total Pages | : 30 |
| Release | : 2020-10-30 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9781513560151 |
Download Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Interventions: Evidence from the Kyrgyz Republic Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper analyzes determinants and consequences of FX interventions in the Kyrgyz Republic. Most of the literature on the topic focuses on advanced and emerging economies and this paper provides new evidence from a low-income country. We find that FX interventions take place in response to movements in the exchange rate and its volatility. There is also evidence of “leaning against the wind”, which is more pronounced for relatively larger FX sales and purchases. The “leaning against the wind” is asymmetric toward FX sales and largely reflects leaning against depreciation of domestic currency. We document a varying degree of de-facto exchange rate stability despite the de-jure floating exchange rate regime. During most of the sample, the exchange rate management index was relatively low in line with the floating exchange rate regime, with the exception of the period from 2018 Q4 until the COVID-19 shock, during which the exchange rate management index was relatively high.
| Author | : Gustavo Adler |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 37 |
| Release | : 2016-04-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 148433230X |
Download The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The accumulation of large foreign asset positions by many central banks through sustained foreign exchange (FX) intervention has raised questions about its associated fiscal costs. This paper clarifies conceptual issues regarding how to measure these costs both from an ex-post and an ex-ante (relevant for decision making) perspective, and estimates both marginal and total costs for 73 countries over the period 2002-13. We find ex-ante marginal costs for the median emerging market economy (EME) in the inter-quartile range of 2-5.5 percent per year; while ex-ante total costs (of sustaining FX positions) in the range of 0.2-0.7 percent of GDP per year for light interveners and 0.3-1.2 percent of GDP per year for heavy interveners. These estimates indicate that fiscal costs of sustained FX intervention (via expanding central bank balance sheets) are not negligible.
| Author | : Gustavo Adler |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 42 |
| Release | : 2015-06-23 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513534602 |
Download Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an economically meaningful way. A purchase of foreign currency of 1 percentage point of GDP causes a depreciation of the nominal and real exchange rates in the ranges of [1.7-2.0] percent and [1.4-1.7] percent respectively. The effects are found to be quite persistent. The paper also explores possible asymmetric effects, and whether effectiveness depends on the depth of domestic financial markets.
| Author | : Gustavo Adler |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 29 |
| Release | : 2020-05-29 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513536451 |
Download Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The paper documents the use of foreign exchange intervention (FXI) across countries and monetary regimes, with special attention to its use under inflation targeting (IT). We find significant differences between advanced and emerging market economies, with the former group conducting FXI limitedly and broadly symmetrically, while the use of this policy instrument in emerging market countries is pervasive and mostly asymmetric (biased towards purchasing foreign currency, even after taking into account precautionary motives). Within emerging markets, the use of FXI is common both under IT and non-IT regimes. We find no evidence of FXI being used in response to inflation developments, while there is strong evidence that FXI responds to exchange rates, indicating that IT central banks in EMDEs have dual inflation/exchange rate objectives. We also find a higher propensity to overshoot inflation targets in emerging market economies where FXI is more pervasive.
| Author | : Romain Lafarguette |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 33 |
| Release | : 2021-02-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513569406 |
Download Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.
| Author | : Christopher J. Neely |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 2005 |
| Genre | : Foreign exchange administration |
| ISBN | : |
Download An Analysis of Recent Studies of the Effect of Foreign Exchange Intervention Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
| Author | : Gustavo Adler |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 67 |
| Release | : 2021-02-19 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513566679 |
Download Foreign Exchange Intervention: A Dataset of Public Data and Proxies Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is a highly debated topic. Yet, comprehensive and comparable data on FXI is hard to find. This paper provides a new dataset of FXI covering a large number of countries over the period 2000-20 at monthly and quarterly frequencies. It includes publicly available data for about 40 countries and carefully constructed proxies for 122 countries. Proxies are focused on both spot and derivative transactions that alter the central bank’s foreign currency position and account for a wide range of central bank operations, including vis-à-vis residents, the first proxy to do so to our knowledge. The paper discusses the merits of the new proxy relative to coarser measures traditionally used like the change in reserves, and potential definitional differences with published data. The paper also presents stylized facts using our newly constructed FXI proxies.
| Author | : Milan Nedeljkovic |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 35 |
| Release | : 2017-01-24 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1475571038 |
Download The Relative Effectiveness of Spot and Derivatives Based Intervention Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper studies the relative effectiveness of foreign exchange intervention in spot and derivatives markets. We make use of Brazilian data where spot and non-deliverable futures based intervention have been used in tandem for more than a decade. The analysis finds evidence in favor of a significant link between both modes of intervention and the first two moments of the real/dollar exchange rate. As predicted by theory for the case of negligible convertibility risk, the impact of spot market intervention in our baseline sample is strikingly similar to that achieved through futures based intervention worth an equivalent amount in notional principal.
| Author | : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 2013 |
| Genre | : Banks and banking, Central |
| ISBN | : 9789291319626 |
Download Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
