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Author | : Pelin Berkmen |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 21 |
Release | : 2009-12-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451874251 |
Download The Global Financial Crisis - Explaining Cross-Country Differences in the Output Impact Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We provide one of the first attempts at explaining the differences in the crisis impact across developing countries and emerging markets. Using cross-country regressions to explain the factors driving growth forecast revisions after the eruption of the global crisis, we find that a small set of variables explain a large share of the variation in growth revisions. Countries with more leveraged domestic financial systems and more rapid credit growth tended to suffer larger downward revisions to their growth outlooks. For emerging markets, this financial channel trumps the trade channel. For a broader set of developing countries, however, the trade channel seems to have mattered, with countries exporting more advanced manufacturing goods more affected than those exporting food. Exchange-rate flexibility clearly helped in buffering the impact of the shock. There is also some -weaker-evidence that countries with a stronger fiscal position prior to the crisis were hit less severely. We find little evidence for the importance of other policy variables.
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 19 |
Release | : 2009 |
Genre | : Financial crises |
ISBN | : |
Download The Global Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We provide one of the first attempts at explaining the differences in the crisis impact across developing countries and emerging markets. Using cross-country regressions to explain the factors driving growth forecast revisions after the eruption of the global crisis, we find that a small set of variables explain a large share of the variation in growth revisions. Countries with more leveraged domestic financial systems and more rapid credit growth tended to suffer larger downward revisions to their growth outlooks. For emerging markets, this financial channel trumps the trade channel. For a broader set of developing countries, however, the trade channel seems to have mattered, with countries exporting more advanced manufacturing goods more affected than those exporting food. Exchange-rate flexibility clearly helped in buffering the impact of the shock. There is also some -weaker-evidence that countries with a stronger fiscal position prior to the crisis were hit less severely. We find little evidence for the importance of other policy variables.
Author | : Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 41 |
Release | : 2010-07-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1455201820 |
Download The Cross-Country Incidence of the Global Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We examine whether the cross-country incidence and severity of the 2008-2009 global recession is systematically related to pre-crisis macroeconomic and financial factors. We find that the pre-crisis level of development, increases in the ratio of private credit to GDP, current account deficits, and openness to trade are helpful in understanding the intensity of the crisis. International risk sharing did little to shield domestic demand from the country-specific component of output declines, while those countries with large pre-crisis current account deficits saw domestic demand fall by much more than domestic output during the crisis.
Author | : Mr.Stijn Claessens |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 66 |
Release | : 2013-01-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475561008 |
Download Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.
Author | : Paolo Savona |
Publisher | : Ashgate Publishing, Ltd. |
Total Pages | : 358 |
Release | : 2011-01-01 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9781409402718 |
Download Global Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This collection gathers experts from Africa, North America, Asia and Europe to examine international policy responses to the 2008 global financial crisis. In doing so they reveal the implications for international cooperation, coordination and institutional change in global economic governance, and identify ways to reform and even replace the architecture created in the mid 20th century in order to meet the global challenges of the 21st.
Author | : Laurent Ferrara |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 298 |
Release | : 2018-06-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3319790757 |
Download International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.
Author | : Erlend Nier |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 64 |
Release | : 2010-11-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1455210722 |
Download What Caused the Global Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper investigates empirically the drivers of financial imbalances ahead of the global financial crisis. Three factors may have contributed to the build-up of financial imbalances: (i) rising global imbalances (capital flows), (ii) monetary policy that might have been too loose, (iii) inadequate supervision and regulation. Panel data regressions are performed for OECD countries from 1999 to 2007, so as to shed light on the relative importance of these factors, as well as the extent to which these factors might have interacted in fuelling the build-up. We find that the build-up of financial imbalances was driven by capital inflows and an associated compression of the spread between long and short rates. The effect of capital inflows on the build-up is amplified where the supervisory and regulatory environment was relatively weak. We find that, by contrast, differences in monetary policy cannot account for differences across countries in the build-up of financial imbalances ahead of the crisis.
Author | : Mr.Troy Matheson |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 40 |
Release | : 2013-03-27 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1484362012 |
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The global financial crisis was a stark reminder of the importance of cross-country linkages in the global economy. We document growth synchronization across a diverse group of 185 countries covering 7 regions, and pay particular attention to the period around the global financial crisis. A dynamic factor model is used to decompose each country’s growth into contributions from global, regional, and idiosyncratic shocks. We find a high degree of global synchronization over 1990 to 2011, particularly across advanced economies. Examining the period around the global financial crisis, we find global shocks had large and widespread effects on growth, with more diversity in growth experiences in the early part of the recovery. In a recursive experiment, we find rising global growth synchronization just prior to the crisis, largely resulting from a shift in the importance of global shocks between countries. In contrast, the crisis period caused a much more widespread increase in growth synchronization, and was followed by a similarly pervasive decrease in synchronization in the early recovery.
Author | : Mr.Luc Laeven |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 42 |
Release | : 2010-02-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451963025 |
Download Lessons and Policy Implications from the Global Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The ongoing global financial crisis is rooted in a combination of factors common to previous financial crises and some new factors. The crisis has brought to light a number of deficiencies in financial regulation and architecture, particularly in the treatment of systemically important financial institutions, the assessments of systemic risks and vulnerabilities, and the resolution of financial institutions. The global nature of the financial crisis has made clear that financially integrated markets, while offering many benefits, can also pose significant risks, with large real economic consequences. Deep reforms are therefore needed to the international financial architecture to safeguard the stability of an increasingly financially integrated world.
Author | : Ms.Wenjie Chen |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 32 |
Release | : 2019-04-26 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498305423 |
Download The Global Economic Recovery 10 Years After the 2008 Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper takes stock of the global economic recovery a decade after the 2008 financial crisis. Output losses after the crisis appear to be persistent, irrespective of whether a country suffered a banking crisis in 2007–08. Sluggish investment was a key channel through which these losses registered, accompanied by long-lasting capital and total factor productivity shortfalls relative to precrisis trends. Policy choices preceding the crisis and in its immediate aftermath influenced postcrisis variation in output. Underscoring the importance of macroprudential policies and effective supervision, countries with greater financial vulnerabilities in the precrisis years suffered larger output losses after the crisis. Countries with stronger precrisis fiscal positions and those with more flexible exchange rate regimes experienced smaller losses. Unprecedented and exceptional policy actions taken after the crisis helped mitigate countries’ postcrisis output losses.