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The Effect of Weather on Stock Returns: A Comparison Between Emerging and Developed Markets

The Effect of Weather on Stock Returns: A Comparison Between Emerging and Developed Markets
Author: Irina Prodan
Publisher: Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag)
Total Pages: 57
Release: 2013-05-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3954890569

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One renowned and frequently researched anomaly over the last two decades is the weather effect, more precisely, the impact of weather on stock market returns. The extensive literature on the weather effect fails to converge towards a unique, systematic and robust relationship between the weather, and the stock market. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to explain the contradictory results in the literature by testing whether stock prices are affected by the weather in a significantly different manner depending on the level of market development, and explaining how this difference behaves over time. In order to test for this, city-by-city, pooled and binary regressions are employed using data of 10 developed, and 10 emerging countries over the period 1996-2011 by using two different means of seasonal adjustment.


Is there a difference in the weather effect between developed and emerging markets

Is there a difference in the weather effect between developed and emerging markets
Author: Irina Prodan
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 54
Release: 2012-11-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3656322090

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Master's Thesis from the year 2012 in the subject Economics - Other, grade: 1, VU University Amsterdam , language: English, abstract: One renowned and frequently researched anomaly over the last two decades is the weather effect – the impact of weather on stock market returns. The extensive literature on the weather effect fails to converge towards a unique, systematic and robust relationship between the weather and the stock market. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to explain the contradictory results in the literature by testing whether stock prices are affected by the weather in a significantly different manner depending on the level of market development and explaining how this difference behaves over time. In order to test for this, city-by-city, pooled and binary regressions are employed using data of 10 developed and 10 emerging countries over the period 1996-2011 by using two different means of seasonal adjustment. The results show that weather has a very small impact on the worldwide stock market returns and that the significance of the weather effect is decreasing over time with a cyclical pattern in terms of its recurrence. We identify the year 2001 as the cut-off point when the significance of weather on stock markets diminishes. No support has been found for a real difference in the weather effect between emerging and developed countries. However, evidence has been found of the relative inefficiency of the emerging markets and for the declining influence of weather in time.


Is There a Weather Effect? Evidence from a Panel of Emerging Countries' Stock Markets

Is There a Weather Effect? Evidence from a Panel of Emerging Countries' Stock Markets
Author: Massimo Mariani
Publisher:
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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A long history of psychological studies has postulated that good (bad) weather induces a positive (negative) mood. Other studies have concluded that mood can influence humankind decision-making process under risk and uncertainty. Several behavioural finance studies have raised the question of whether sunshine, temperature or other weather variables exert an impact on stock prices by affecting the behaviour of market operators, thus challenging the efficient-market hypothesis. However, very few papers on the weather effect, with contradictory results, have concentrated on the stock markets of emerging countries. We fill this gap by conducting a comprehensive analysis of the effect of four weather variables (temperature, cloud cover, humidity and wind) on the stock markets of nine emerging countries located in three climatic and economically different areas of the world. Differently from the existent literature, we extend the analysis by analyzing stock prices' behaviour along with that of stock indexes and by inspecting the opening market activity along with the whole-day activity. Based on our results, we strongly reject the weather effect hypothesis.


GeNeDis 2016

GeNeDis 2016
Author: Panayiotis Vlamos
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 331
Release: 2017-10-01
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3319562460

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The 2nd World Congress on Geriatrics and Neurodegenerative Disease Research (GeNeDis 2016), focuses on recent advances in geriatrics and neurodegeneration, ranging from basic science to clinical and pharmaceutical developments and provides an international forum for the latest scientific discoveries, medical practices and care initiatives. Advanced information technologies are discussed concerning the various research, implementation and policy, as well as European and global issues in the funding of long-term care and medico-social policies regarding elderly people. This volume focuses on the sessions from the conference on computational biology and bioinformatics.


Stock Market Anomalies

Stock Market Anomalies
Author: Elroy Dimson
Publisher: CUP Archive
Total Pages: 328
Release: 1988-03-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521341042

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A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns

A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns
Author: Robert A. Ariel
Publisher: Palala Press
Total Pages: 52
Release: 2018-03-03
Genre: History
ISBN: 9781379114314

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This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.


Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040
Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
Total Pages: 158
Release: 2021-03
Genre:
ISBN: 9781646794973

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"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.


Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization

Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization
Author: Augusto de la Torre
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 232
Release: 2006-10-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821365444

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Back in the early 1990s, economists and policy makers had high expectations about the prospects for domestic capital market development in emerging economies, particularly in Latin America. Unfortunately, they are now faced with disheartening results. Stock and bond markets remain illiquid and segmented. Debt is concentrated at the short end of the maturity spectrum and denominated in foreign currency, exposing countries to maturity and currency risk. Capital markets in Latin America look particularly underdeveloped when considering the many efforts undertaken to improve the macroeconomic environment and to reform the institutions believed to foster capital market development. The disappointing performance has made conventional policy recommendations questionable, at best. 'Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization' analyzes where we stand and where we are heading on capital market development. First, it takes stock of the state and evolution of Latin American capital markets and related reforms over time and relative to other countries. Second, it analyzes the factors related to the development of capital markets, with particular interest on measuring the impact of reforms. And third, in light of this analysis, it discusses the prospects for capital market development in Latin America and emerging economies and the implications for the reform agenda.


The Cross-section of Stock Returns

The Cross-section of Stock Returns
Author: Stijn Claessens
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 28
Release: 1995
Genre: Rate of return
ISBN:

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Emerging Markets and the Global Economy

Emerging Markets and the Global Economy
Author: Mohammed El Hedi Arouri
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 927
Release: 2013-12-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0124115632

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Emerging Markets and the Global Economy investigates analytical techniques suited to emerging market economies, which are typically prone to policy shocks. Despite the large body of emerging market finance literature, their underlying dynamics and interactions with other economies remain challenging and mysterious because standard financial models measure them imprecisely. Describing the linkages between emerging and developed markets, this collection systematically explores several crucial issues in asset valuation and risk management. Contributors present new theoretical constructions and empirical methods for handling cross-country volatility and sudden regime shifts. Usually attractive for investors because of the superior growth they can deliver, emerging markets can have a low correlation with developed markets. This collection advances your knowledge about their inherent characteristics. Foreword by Ali M. Kutan Concentrates on post-crisis roles of emerging markets in the global economy Reports on key theoretical and technical developments in emerging financial markets Forecasts future developments in linkages among developed and emerging economies