The Effect Of Exchange Rate Volatility On Exports PDF Download
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Author | : Emmanuel Erem |
Publisher | : GRIN Verlag |
Total Pages | : 61 |
Release | : 2019-03-20 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3668903921 |
Download The Effect Of Exchange Rate Volatility On Exports Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Master's Thesis from the year 2018 in the subject Economics - International Economic Relations, grade: A, National University of Ireland, Maynooth (Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting), course: MSc Economic and Financial Risk Analysis, language: English, abstract: The purpose of this thesis is to examine the effect of real exchange rate volatility between the Canadian and US dollars on real exports from Canada to US. The study uses quarterly data from 1960-2017. The GARCH (1, 1) is used to model exchange rate volatility. After finding the variables are non-stationary with no co-integration, a VAR (Vector Auto regression) model is used to investigate the short-run relationship in the variables using Granger causality, impulse response functions and variance decomposition estimates. The results reveal that the effect of exchange rate volatility is of mixed signs with coefficients that are not statistically significant. The thesis is divided into 7 chapters; chapter 2 gives an overview of important literature and contributions by researchers over the years specifically covering the relationship between exchange rate volatility and trade, exchange rate regimes, exchange rate target zones and inflation targeting. Chapter 3 presents the model and data used, definitions of the variables and the predictions of the model. Chapter 4 gives a theoretical and econometric overview of the unit root and co-integration tests. Chapter 5 gives the data output of the empirical results and discussions of test results. This output is presented using graphs and tables. Chapter 6 is a presentation of the limitations of the model and possible areas of improvement. Lastly, chapter 7 concludes and gives policy recommendations moving forward. Exchange rates are a key player in any economy that is engaging in international trade. A stable monetary policy system and financial sector play a key role in ensuring the exchange rate stability of the currency of a country. Firms and traders rely on prevailing exchange rates to forecast amounts to produce, import and export; thus are very much affected by the exchange rate volatility. In addition to this, there is a currency conversion cost in international trade. Traders use a number of products in financial markets to hedge against currency fluctuations; these include among others forwards contracts. This is especially true for short-term hedging than long-term hedging.
Author | : Ying Qian |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 47 |
Release | : 1992 |
Genre | : Exports |
ISBN | : |
Download Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth? Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Inconsistency in the relationship between exchange rate volatility and export growth reflects differences among countries in the currency in which trade is invoiced. Also, exchange rate volatility may affect the allocation of trade more than its level.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 132 |
Release | : 2004-05-19 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498330282 |
Download Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
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Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 76 |
Release | : 1984-07-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781557750655 |
Download Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In View of the continuation of substantial movements in exchange rate relationships among major currencies, the recent increase in protectionist pressures, and the disappointing performance of world trade, renewed concern has been expressed about the possible adverse effects of exchange rate variability on trade. Against the background of this concern, the following decision was reached at the ministerial meeting of the General Agreement of Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in November 1982.
Author | : Mr.Peter B. Clark |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 40 |
Release | : 1997-10-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451936621 |
Download Exchange Rate Volatility, Pricing to Market and Trade Smoothing Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper investigates the consequences of exchange rate volatility on the variability of export prices and quantities in the presence of market segmentation and pricing to market. Firms stabilize destination prices through systematic price discrimination, limiting the degree of exchange rate pass-through. Consequently, the variability of exchange rates is not fully translated into prices and quantities at the point of destination. Empirical estimates using aggregate price data for the G-7 industrial countries show incomplete pass-through in variances, with considerable variation among these countries. U.S. industry specific data also indicate incomplete pass-through in most cases, with considerable variation across industries.
Author | : Eden Tate Shipanga |
Publisher | : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing |
Total Pages | : 76 |
Release | : 2010-11 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9783843373654 |
Download THE EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON EXPORTS IN NAMIBIA Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This piece of work try address the volatility impacts on export through an extenvsive analysis. The econometric analysis was employed to exploit the theory of cointegration, given the obvious non- stationarity of the time series. The study used Engle-Granger two step procedures. Three measures of exchange rate volatilities were used and produced mixed results. The mean adjusted relative change (V) as a measure of exchange rate volatility indicated positive and insignificant impact on real exports of Namibia. The moving average standard deviation (MASD) as a measure of exchange rate volatility produced a negative insignificant impact of exchange rate volatility on real exports of Namibia. The last measure of exchange rate volatility was the general autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH), which indicated a positive and significant impact of exchange rate volatility on Namibia s real exports. These results suggest that Namibia should start exploring possibility of macro-economic policy independence and be involved in the determination of exchange rate within the CMA framework.
Author | : Shigeyuki Hamori |
Publisher | : MDPI |
Total Pages | : 276 |
Release | : 2019-03-25 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3038977063 |
Download Empirical Finance Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
There is no denying the role of empirical research in finance and the remarkable progress of empirical techniques in this research field. This Special Issue focuses on the broad topic of “Empirical Finance” and includes novel empirical research associated with financial data. One example includes the application of novel empirical techniques, such as machine learning, data mining, wavelet transform, copula analysis, and TV-VAR, to financial data. The Special Issue includes contributions on empirical finance, such as algorithmic trading, market efficiency, market microstructure, portfolio theory and asset allocation, asset pricing models, liquidity risk premium, currency crisis, return predictability, and volatility modeling.
Author | : Mr. Peter B. Clark |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 72 |
Release | : 2004-09-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1452733872 |
Download A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The effect of exchange rate volatility on trade flows was examined by a 1984 IMF study on G-7 countries. Over the past two decades, many developments in the world economy, such as the currency crises in the 1990s and increasing cross-border capital flows, may have exacerbated exchange rate volatility, while others, such as a deepening of the market in foreign exchange hedging instruments, may have reduced the impact of volatility on trade flows. Using recent advances in the economic theories on trade and in statistical methodologies, this paper revisits this important issue by taking into account these new developments and examining their effects on developing and transition economies, as well as on developed countries.
Author | : Bahar Erdal |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 150 |
Release | : 2017-05-18 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1351801716 |
Download The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Originally published in 1997. This study investigates what the effects of real exchange rate volatility are on sectorial investment in the fixed and flexible exchange rate systems. It lays out the results of research into the effects of the levels and volatility of real exchange rates on investment in the manufacturing sectors of the countries in the European Monetary System as well as of the countries in the flexible exchange rate system, with data from between 1973 and 1993. Examining the differences between the two systems in the results this book also looks at exchange rate effects on interest rates at the time.
Author | : Marshall Sarnat |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 264 |
Release | : 1979 |
Genre | : Foreign exchange |
ISBN | : |
Download International Finance and Trade Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle