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The Fragile Balance of Terror

The Fragile Balance of Terror
Author: Vipin Narang
Publisher: Cornell University Press
Total Pages: 171
Release: 2023-01-15
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 150176702X

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In The Fragile Balance of Terror, the foremost experts on nuclear policy and strategy offer insight into an era rife with more nuclear powers. Some of these new powers suffer domestic instability, others are led by pathological personalist dictators, and many are situated in highly unstable regions of the world—a volatile mix of variables. The increasing fragility of deterrence in the twenty-first century is created by a confluence of forces: military technologies that create vulnerable arsenals, a novel information ecosystem that rapidly transmits both information and misinformation, nuclear rivalries that include three or more nuclear powers, and dictatorial decision making that encourages rash choices. The nuclear threats posed by India, Pakistan, Iran, and North Korea are thus fraught with danger. The Fragile Balance of Terror, edited by Vipin Narang and Scott D. Sagan, brings together a diverse collection of rigorous and creative scholars who analyze how the nuclear landscape is changing for the worse. Scholars, pundits, and policymakers who think that the spread of nuclear weapons can create stable forms of nuclear deterrence in the future will be forced to think again. Contributors: Giles David Arceneaux, Mark S. Bell, Christopher Clary, Peter D. Feaver, Jeffrey Lewis, Rose McDermott, Nicholas L. Miller, Vipin Narang, Ankit Panda, Scott D. Sagan, Caitlin Talmadge, Heather Williams, Amy Zegart


The Second Nuclear Age

The Second Nuclear Age
Author: Paul Bracken
Publisher: Macmillan
Total Pages: 305
Release: 2012-11-13
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1429945044

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A leading international security strategist offers a compelling new way to "think about the unthinkable." The cold war ended more than two decades ago, and with its end came a reduction in the threat of nuclear weapons—a luxury that we can no longer indulge. It's not just the threat of Iran getting the bomb or North Korea doing something rash; the whole complexion of global power politics is changing because of the reemergence of nuclear weapons as a vital element of statecraft and power politics. In short, we have entered the second nuclear age. In this provocative and agenda-setting book, Paul Bracken of Yale University argues that we need to pay renewed attention to nuclear weapons and how their presence will transform the way crises develop and escalate. He draws on his years of experience analyzing defense strategy to make the case that the United States needs to start thinking seriously about these issues once again, especially as new countries acquire nuclear capabilities. He walks us through war-game scenarios that are all too realistic, to show how nuclear weapons are changing the calculus of power politics, and he offers an incisive tour of the Middle East, South Asia, and East Asia to underscore how the United States must not allow itself to be unprepared for managing such crises. Frank in its tone and farsighted in its analysis, The Second Nuclear Age is the essential guide to the new rules of international politics.


The Strategic Nuclear Balance

The Strategic Nuclear Balance
Author: Peter Vincent Pry
Publisher: Crane Russak, Incorporated
Total Pages: 332
Release: 1990
Genre: History
ISBN: 9780844816449

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Examines the strategic nuclear balance using exchange models, a form of dynamic analysis that simulates possible nuclear wars between the United States and the Soviet Union.


Inadvertent Escalation

Inadvertent Escalation
Author: Barry R. Posen
Publisher: Cornell University Press
Total Pages: 295
Release: 2014-01-13
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 080146837X

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In this sobering book, Barry R. Posen demonstrates how the interplay between conventional military operations and nuclear forces could, in conflicts among states armed with both conventional and nuclear weaponry, inadvertently produce pressures for nuclear escalation. Knowledge of these hidden pressures, he believes, may help some future decision maker avoid catastrophe.Building a formidable argument that moves with cumulative force, he details the way in which escalation could occur not by mindless accident, or by deliberate preference for nuclear escalation, but rather as a natural accompaniment of land, naval, or air warfare at the conventional level. Posen bases his analysis on an empirical study of the east-west military competition in Europe during the 1980s, using a conceptual framework drawn from international relations theory, organization theory, and strategic theory.The lessons of his book, however, go well beyond the east-west competition. Since his observations are relevant to all military competitions between states armed with both conventional and nuclear weaponry, his book speaks to some of the problems that attend the proliferation of nuclear weapons in longstanding regional conflicts. Optimism that small and medium nuclear powers can easily achieve "stable" nuclear balances is, he believes, unwarranted.


Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy

Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy
Author: Todd S. Sechser
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 349
Release: 2017-02-02
Genre: History
ISBN: 110710694X

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Are nuclear weapons useful for coercive diplomacy? This book argues that they are useful for deterrence but not for offensive purposes.


The Second Nuclear Age

The Second Nuclear Age
Author: Colin S. Gray
Publisher: Lynne Rienner Publishers
Total Pages: 212
Release: 1999
Genre: History
ISBN: 9781555873318

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The author takes issue with the complacent belief that a happy mixture of deterrence, arms control and luck will enable humanity to cope adequately with weapons of mass destruction, arguing that the risks are ever more serious.


Atomic Diplomacy

Atomic Diplomacy
Author: Gar Alperovitz
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 1965
Genre: Soviet Union
ISBN: 9780671061500

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Defense Planning and Arms Control

Defense Planning and Arms Control
Author: National Security Affairs Institute (U.S.)
Publisher:
Total Pages: 184
Release: 1980
Genre: Arms control
ISBN:

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Nuclear Politics

Nuclear Politics
Author: Alexandre Debs
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 655
Release: 2017
Genre: History
ISBN: 1107108098

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A comprehensive theory of the causes of nuclear proliferation, alongside an in-depth analysis of sixteen historical cases of nuclear development.