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Studies in Subjective Probability

Studies in Subjective Probability
Author: Henry Ely Kyburg
Publisher:
Total Pages: 278
Release: 1980
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN:

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Truth and probability; Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources; The bases of probability; Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set; The elicitation of personal probabilities; Probability: beware of falsifications; Probable knowledge.


Ten Great Ideas about Chance

Ten Great Ideas about Chance
Author: Persi Diaconis
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 270
Release: 2019-10-08
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0691196397

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In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the philosophical implications of these ideas as well as their mathematical impact.


Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability
Author: George Wright
Publisher:
Total Pages: 608
Release: 1994-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This overview of subjective probability ranges from discussion of the philosophy of axiom systems through studies in the psychological laboratory to the real world of business decision-making.


Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability
Author: Richard Jeffrey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 144
Release: 2004-04-12
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780521536684

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Sample Text


Studies in the Methodology and Foundations of Science

Studies in the Methodology and Foundations of Science
Author: Patrick Suppes
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 481
Release: 2013-03-09
Genre: Science
ISBN: 940173173X

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The twenty-three papers collected in tbis volume represent an important part of my published work up to the date of this volume. I have not arranged the paper chronologically, but under four main headings. Part I contains five papers on methodology concerned with models and measurement in the sciences. This part also contains the first paper I published, 'A Set of Independent Axioms for Extensive Quantities', in Portugaliae Mathematica in 1951. Part 11 also is concerned with methodology and ineludes six papers on probability and utility. It is not always easy to separate papers on probability and utility from papers on measurement, because of the elose connection between the two subjects, but Artieles 6 and 8, even though they have elose relations to measurement, seem more properly to belong in Part 11, because they are concerned with substantive questions about probability and utility. The last two parts are concerned with the foundations of physics and the foundations of psychology. I have used the term foundations rather than philosophy, because the papers are mainly concerned with specific axiomatic formulations for particular parts of physics or of psychology, and it seems to me that the termfoundations more appropriately describes such constructive axiomatic ventures. Part 111 contains four papers on the foundations of physics. The first paper deals with foundations of special relativity and the last three with the role ofprobability in quantum mechanics.


Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs

Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs
Author: H. Jungermann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 525
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9401012768

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It is only just recently that people have the tools to judge how well they are doing when making decisions. These tools were conceptualized in the seventeenth century. Since then many people have worked to sharpen the concepts, and to explore how these can be applied further. The problems of decision-making and the theory developed correspondingly have drawn the interest of mathematicians, psychologists, statisticians, economists, philosophers, organizational experts, sociologists, not only for their general relevance, but also for a more intrinsic fascination. There are quite a few institutionalized activities to disseminate results and stimulate research in decision-making. For about a decade now a European organizational structure, centered mainly around the psy chological interest in decision-making. There have been conferences in Hamburg, Amsterdam, Uxbridge, Rome and Darmstadt. Conference papers have been partly published+. The organization has thus stabilized, and its re latively long history makes it interesting to see what kind of developments occurred, within the area of interest.


Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability

Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability
Author: Rudolf Carnap
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Total Pages: 312
Release: 1980-01-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780520038264

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A basic system of inductive logic; An axiomatic foundation for the logic of inductive generalization; A survey of inductive systems; On the condition of partial exchangeability; Representation theorems of the de finetti type; De finetti's generalizations of excahngeability; The structure of probabilities defined on first-order languages; A subjectivit's guide to objective chance.


Degrees of Belief

Degrees of Belief
Author: Steven G. Vick
Publisher: ASCE Publications
Total Pages: 469
Release: 2002-01-01
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0784470863

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Observing at a risk analysis conference for civil engineers that participants did not share a common language of probability, Vick, a consultant and geotechnic engineer, set out to not only examine why, but to also bridge the gap. He reexamines three elements at the core of engineering the concepts