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Stock Market Jumps and Uncertainty Shocks During the Great Depression

Stock Market Jumps and Uncertainty Shocks During the Great Depression
Author: Gabriel Mathy
Publisher:
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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Stock market volatility was extremely high during the Great Depression relative to any other period in American history. At the same time, large negative and positive discontinuous jumps in stock returns can be detected using the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2004) test for jumps in financial time-series. These jumps coincided with periods when stock volatility was high as the arrival of new information about the uncertain future drove both the record stock volatility and the record jumps in stock returns. A timeline of the Depression is outlined, with important events that drove uncertainty highlighted such as the collapse of the banking system, policy changes, the breakdown of the gold standard, monetary policy uncertainty, and war jitters.


The Stock Market Crash of 1929

The Stock Market Crash of 1929
Author: Mary Gow
Publisher: Enslow Publishing
Total Pages: 52
Release: 2003
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780766021112

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The day of October 24, 1929, will be forever remembered as "Black Thursday." On this day, stock prices plummeted. By the following Tuesday, Wall Street had suffered the worst stock market crash in history, changing the lives of millions of Americans. Fortunes and life savings were wiped out. People's confidence in business was shattered. After the crash, weaknesses that were already present in the U. S. economy raced out of control. Unemployment soared. Factories and stores closed. Poverty and despair settled over millions of Americans. The stock market crash of 1929 marked the end of a decade of prosperity as the nation found itself swept into the Great Depression. In The Stock Market Crash of 1929: Dawn of the Great Depression, author Mary Gow captures this important period in U. S. history through firsthand accounts and quotes. Also examined are subsequent economic crises, up to the present day. Book jacket.


The Stock Market Crash of 1929

The Stock Market Crash of 1929
Author: Brenda Lange
Publisher: Infobase Publishing
Total Pages: 121
Release: 2007
Genre: Business
ISBN: 1438104286

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On October 29, 1929, more than 16 million stock shares were sold at the New York Stock Exchange, and by the end of November investors had lost more than $100 billion in assets. This book looks at the events that helped usher one of the grimmest periods in American history.


The Role of the 1929 Stock Market Crash and Other Factors that Caused the Great Depression

The Role of the 1929 Stock Market Crash and Other Factors that Caused the Great Depression
Author: Dennis Sauert
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 69
Release: 2010-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3640710010

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Bachelor Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Economics - History, grade: 1.3, Berlin School of Economics and Law, language: English, abstract: Within macroeconomics, economists agree that there were a number of contributing factors that led to the Great Depression. However, most of the discussion is about what was responsible for the depth and the length of this economic event. In the four years starting in the summer of 1929 until 1933, financial markets and institutions, labor markets as well as international currency and goods markets had stopped functioning and it seemed that economic and monetary policy remained helpless in that period. To analyze the Great Depression, Friedman and Schwartz supply one of the most critical but popular explanations. They focus on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve System (hereinafter Fed) of the United States(hereinafter U.S.) since the Fed allowed a severe contraction in money supply in the period of 1929 - 1933, even though the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 delegated monetary actions by the Fed to avoid such monetary contraction. Friedman and Schwartz claim that the severeness of monetary contraction resulted from the Fed's passive response to the banking panics in the 1930s when the public increased sharply its demand for currency. However, they admit that the Fed conducted a successful policy during most of the 1920s until a "shift in power within the system and the lack of understanding and experience of those individuals to whom the power shifted" occurred. Herein, they point to the death of Benjamin Strong the Governor of the New York Federal Reserve Bank who had the sagacity and leadership to take measures that would have avoided the Great Depression. Thus, they maintain that monetary contraction in the period of 1929 - 1933 induced the Great Depression due to a misguided policy by the Fed that was eventually in authority for the downturn in economic activity.


Unequal We Stand

Unequal We Stand
Author: Jonathan Heathcote
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Total Pages: 61
Release: 2010-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1437934919

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The authors conducted a systematic empirical study of cross-sectional inequality in the U.S., integrating data from various surveys. The authors follow the mapping suggested by the household budget constraint from individual wages to individual earnings, to household earnings, to disposable income, and, ultimately, to consumption and wealth. They document a continuous and sizable increase in wage inequality over the sample period. Changes in the distribution of hours worked sharpen the rise in earnings inequality before 1982, but mitigate its increase thereafter. Taxes and transfers compress the level of income inequality, especially at the bottom of the distribution, but have little effect on the overall trend. Charts and tables. This is a print-on-demand publication; it is not an original.


Mass Production, the Stock Market Crash, and the Great Depression

Mass Production, the Stock Market Crash, and the Great Depression
Author: Bernard C. Beaudreau
Publisher: Greenwood
Total Pages: 216
Release: 1996-10-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Economists and historians have viewed the events of the 1920s, the stock market boom and crash, the Great Depression and the New Deal, as largely independent events. This work provides an integrated view of this important period arguing that all of these events were the result of the electrification of U.S. industry from 1910 to 1926. The author goes from electrification through the stock market boom to the tariffs of the late 20s to the stock market crash and depression followed by the National Industrial Recovery Act in 1933. The conclusion is that the NIRA is an attempt to correct the imbalance between production and consumption caused by industrial electrification.


The Macroeconomics of the Great Depression Revisited

The Macroeconomics of the Great Depression Revisited
Author: Gabriel Patrick Mathy
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN: 9781303443329

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The United States of the 1930s experienced unprecedented uncertainty including the stock market crash of October 1929, a severe banking crises, major political changes, the breakdown of the gold standard, uncertain monetary policies, and the uncertainties surrounding the brewing World War. This dissertation constructs and analyzes four uncertainty measures: stock volatility, a newspaper index of uncertainty mentions, credit spreads, and a high volatility indicator of uncertainty shock events. These four uncertainty measures are then used to analyze the effect of uncertainty shocks on the American economy of the 1930s. I begin with an introduction of the issue of the Great Depression in macroeconomics and where this dissertations fits in the existing literature. The first chapter, entitled "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks in the American Great Depression," uses a financial econometric test of volatile returns to identify periods of high uncertainty, which are then matched with plausible uncertainty shock events by a careful study of the historical record. In the second chapter, entitled "Modelling Uncertainty Shocks in the U.S. Great Depression," a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is calibrated to conditions of the 1930s. This model is then simulated for an uncertainty shocks, and the simulations show that nominal rigidites and passive monetary policies help explain why uncertainty shocks would matter more in the Great Depression. The third chapter, entitled "The Empirics of Uncertainty Shocks in the U.S. Great Depression," discusses previous empirical results regarding uncertainty in the Great Depression, and then derives empirical results using vector autoregressions to quantify the effect of uncertainty on the broader macroeconomy in the data. Based on these multifaceted sources of evidence, I find that uncertainty shocks played a significant role in the U.S. Great Depression.


Alternative Economic Indicators

Alternative Economic Indicators
Author: C. James Hueng
Publisher: W.E. Upjohn Institute
Total Pages: 133
Release: 2020-09-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0880996765

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Policymakers and business practitioners are eager to gain access to reliable information on the state of the economy for timely decision making. More so now than ever. Traditional economic indicators have been criticized for delayed reporting, out-of-date methodology, and neglecting some aspects of the economy. Recent advances in economic theory, econometrics, and information technology have fueled research in building broader, more accurate, and higher-frequency economic indicators. This volume contains contributions from a group of prominent economists who address alternative economic indicators, including indicators in the financial market, indicators for business cycles, and indicators of economic uncertainty.


The Great Inflation

The Great Inflation
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 545
Release: 2013-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226066959

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Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.