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Signaling Through Timing of Stock Splits

Signaling Through Timing of Stock Splits
Author: Maria Chiara Iannino
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

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We develop a dynamic structural model of stock splits, in which managers can signal their private information though the timing of the split decisions. Our approach is consistent with the empirical evidence that shows that the majority of stock splits have 2:1 ratio but are announced at various initial price levels. The model allows us to estimate the preferences of investors about nominal share price levels from stock split data. In addition, we can decompose the split announcement return into the value of new information and the signaling costs. Our estimates show the signaling cost could reach 0.5% for some stock splits.


Stock Splits as a Value Creation Vehicle

Stock Splits as a Value Creation Vehicle
Author: Józef Rudnicki
Publisher:
Total Pages: 17
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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Stock splits have been for a long time a puzzling phenomenon that can bear particular consequences for stock's liquidity as well as for a stock price. I perform an analysis of stock splits accomplished between 2000 and May 2011 inclusive by companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange. I seek to identify whether the stock splits under consideration constitute any signal to existing and potential shareholders and whether the stock split can add value to shareholders' wealth.I use three methods to analyze the impact of splits on subsequent price performance of 629 stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange, i.e. mean adjusted return method, market model method and market adjusted return method. The data used contain daily rates of return and the event window encompasses the time period of [40;+40], i.e. the interval from the 40th stock exchange trading session preceding the stock split to the 40th session after the stock split, as well as the first session after the stock split. In the wake of the stock split the volatility of abnormal returns as measured with standard deviation declines under three methods employed by: 6.58%, 46.71%, and 48.24%, respectively. This fact is indicative of benefits derived from splitting the shares, e.g. stabilization of the share price and consequently a change in stock's risk-return profile. In turn, it can alter market participants' perception of a given stock. What is more, shareholders' gains as measured with cumulative abnormal rates of return, all 1-percent significant, reached within the event window outperform pre-split benefits, i.e. achieved as a result of a buy-and-hold strategy within the time frame of [-40;-1] as well as those attained in the post-split era, i.e. in the interval [+1:+40], using the same strategy. Investors who pursued the first strategy averaged with the cumulative abnormal rates of returns for three methods used at the level of: 41.76%, 15.28%, and 39.77%, respectively. Therefore the stock split can be viewed as a value creation vehicle.On the other hand, these findings show that managers that expect an improvement in financial health of their companies decide to split the shares thus conveying information what, in turn, is congruent with the signaling hypothesis. Moreover, in the aftermath of the stock split one may observe a substantial increase in the stock price what underlines the fact that stock splits are in general good news.


Are Stock Splits Credible Signals? Evidence from Short-Interest Data

Are Stock Splits Credible Signals? Evidence from Short-Interest Data
Author: Padma Kadiyala
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

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We propose the change in short interest as a new metric of the signaling strength of a corporate event. If an event signals positive information, short interest should decline at the event announcement. We study short interest around stock split announcements made by NYSE firms during 1990-94. Short interest does not decline around stock splits, which suggests that the typical split does not convey a positive signal. However, short interest declines for the subset of the sample characterized by favorable industry-adjusted pre-split performance. Short interest increases significantly for firms that experience post-split liquidity improvements.


Stock Splits

Stock Splits
Author: Chris J. Muscarella
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 1999
Genre:
ISBN:

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Stock splits are a common capital structure alteration which ought to have no effect on firm value in perfect capital markets. Empirical studies find that stock prices increase upon announcement of stock splits. The two traditional explanations for the rise in prices are information signaling on the part of managers and improved liquidity for shares that trade at lower prices. We investigate these explanations by studying splits of American Deposit Receipt (ADR) securities which are not associated with splits in the home country stock. We argue that these splits are likely to be motivated by the desire for liquidity improvements only. The results indicate that ADR prices rise by a statistically significant 1 to 2 percent at the announcement. We interpret this evidence as supportive of the liquidity explanation of stock split announcement effects.


Return Predictability

Return Predictability
Author: Ahmed Elnahas
Publisher:
Total Pages: 57
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper aims to differentiate between optimistic splits and overoptimistic/opportunistic splits. Although markets do not distinguish between these two groups at the split announcement time, optimistic (over-optimistic/opportunistic) splits precede positive (negative) long-term buy-and-hold abnormal returns. Using the calendar month portfolio approach, we show that the zero-investment, ex-ante identifiable, and fully implementable trading strategy proposed in this paper can generate economically and statistically significant positive abnormal returns. Our findings indicate that pre-split earnings management and how it relates to managers' incentives, is an omitted variable in the studies of post-split long-term abnormal returns.


The Information Content of Multiple Stock Splits

The Information Content of Multiple Stock Splits
Author: Gow-Cheng Huang
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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We examine the relationship between the frequency of stock splits and firms' motives for splitting their stock. Compared to their peers, infrequent splitters show higher post-split operating performance, but not so for frequent splitters. We find that split ratio and liquidity change explain the stock split announcement effect for the frequent splitters. In contrast, the change in operating performance in split year explains the announcement effect for the infrequent splitters. Our results suggest that frequent splits are more consistent with the trading range/improved liquidity hypothesis and infrequent splits are more consistent with the signaling hypothesis.


Do Stock Splits Really Signal?

Do Stock Splits Really Signal?
Author: Tak Yan Leung
Publisher:
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

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Although stock splits seem to be purely cosmetic, there is ample empirical evidence that they are associated with abnormal returns. This study analyzes the effect of stock splits using intraday data and insider trading data in Hong Kong from 1980 to 2000. Consistent with the findings of other countries, we observe positive price reactions in Hong Kong. These positive reactions may be attributable to favorable signals and improved liquidity. We use the abnormal insider trading activity to assess the informativeness of the split signal. We find immaterial trading activities in the two months immediately before the split announcement, and abnormal trading activities in the post-announcement period. Our microstructural analysis shows that stock splits improve corporate liquidity. Regression analysis shows the presence of a possible signaling role for split announcements confounded by increased liquidity.


A Stock Split Event Study Using Sector-Indices Vs. Cdax and Some Extensions of the Standard Market Model

A Stock Split Event Study Using Sector-Indices Vs. Cdax and Some Extensions of the Standard Market Model
Author: David Bosch
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2011-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3640975103

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Seminar paper from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, Humboldt-University of Berlin (Institut für Bank und Börsenwesen), course: Seminar of Banking and Financial Markets, language: English, abstract: There are many theories in literature which try to examine possible reasons for a stock split. While a stock split seems to be just a cosmetic corporate event, it is often claimed that the motivation to carry out a stock split is to signal future profitability or to bring the share price to a preferred trading-range. Additionally there are many papers published, where the impact of a stock split on liquidity and institutional ownership is examined. Some results of these studies are briefly discussed in the Literature Review. Most researchers calculate their abnormal returns with the market model by using the most common index in their economy. In this paper, I check whether sector-indices fit the data better than the CDAX does. In some cases, the sector-indices describe the stock returns better. Another topic of event studies that researchers of the finance area often deal with is whether the assumptions of the market model established by Fama, Fisher, Jensen and Roll (1969) do hold for daily stock returns. I will discuss some of the weaknesses when applied to financial time series and I present two models which can improve the efficiency of the model.


The Association between Stock Splits and Post-Earnings Announcement Drift

The Association between Stock Splits and Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
Author: Anthony J. Amoruso
Publisher:
Total Pages: 43
Release: 1999
Genre:
ISBN:

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We analyze changes in post-earnings announcement drift around 1,781 two-for-one or greater stock splits reported by an equal number of CRSP firms during the 1972 through 1996 time period. We find that for the smallest firms in our sample, post-earnings announcement drift is eliminated in the quarters immediately following the split. The effect is transitory, however, with drift reasserting itself beginning with the third post-split quarterly earnings announcement. The abnormal returns for the largest firms in our sample exhibit insignificant drift in both pre- and post-split periods. These results suggest that stock splits provide information that causes investors - at least temporarily - to more fully incorporate serial correlation into their earnings expectations. The differential effect noted for small and large firms is likely attributable to the richer information environment faced by larger firms, in which the signal provided by a stock split does not constitute a significant incremental contribution. Our results are inconsistent with the transactions costs explanation of drift, which predicts an increase in drift following a split that is invariant to firm size.