Monetary Policy Transmission Heterogeneity Cross Country Evidence PDF Download
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Author | : Mr. Pragyan Deb |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 59 |
Release | : 2023-10-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
Download Monetary Policy Transmission Heterogeneity: Cross-Country Evidence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper revisits the transmission of monetary policy by constructing a novel dataset of monetary policy shocks for an unbalanced sample of 33 advanced and emerging market economies during the period 1991Q2-2023Q2. Our findings reveal that tightening monetary policy swiftly and negatively impacts economic activity, but the effects on inflation and inflation expectations takes time to fully materialize. Notably, there exist significant heterogeneities in the transmission of monetary policy across countries and time, depending on structural characteristics and cyclical conditions. Across countries, monetary policy is more effective in countries with flexible exchange rate regime, more developed financial systems, and credible monetary policy frameworks. In addition, we find that monetary policy transmission is stronger when uncertainty is low, financial conditions are tight and monetary policy is coordinated with fiscal policy—that is, when the stances move in the same direction.
Author | : Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 54 |
Release | : 2020-02-21 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513529730 |
Download Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Central banks in emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) have been modernizing their monetary policy frameworks, often moving toward inflation targeting (IT). However, questions regarding the strength of monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation and output have often stalled progress. We conduct a novel empirical analysis using Jordà’s (2005) approach for 40 EMDEs to shed a light on monetary transmission in these countries. We find that interest rate hikes reduce output growth and inflation, once we explicitly account for the behavior of the exchange rate. Having a modern monetary policy framework—adopting IT and independent and transparent central banks—matters more for monetary transmission than financial development.
Author | : Pietro Grandi |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 26 |
Release | : 2019 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Sovereign Risk and Cross-Country Heterogeneity in the Transmission of Monetary Policy to Bank Lending in the Euro Area Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Is the transmission of monetary policy to bank lending heterogeneous across euro area countries? This paper employs annual bank level data to test whether the bank lending channel of monetary policy was heterogeneous in the euro area over the period 2007-2016. To do so it follows a simple procedure that allows direct testing of how monetary policy affected similar banks located in different countries. Results indicate that the transmission of monetary policy to bank lending was heterogeneous across countries that were differently exposed to the sovereign debt crisis. On average, the same 1% cut in the policy rate led to a 1.6% increase in lending by banks located in non-stressed countries as opposed to a 0.4% increase for banks located in countries under severe sovereign stress. Unconventional monetary policy - as captured by the ECB shadow rate - was also unevenly transmitted to bank lending. Exposure to sovereign risk is identified as a key source of heterogeneity. Within stressed countries, banks with larger sovereign exposures reacted to monetary easing by expanding lending by less than banks with smaller exposures. As a result, monetary accommodation was smoothly transmitted to lending only by banks with limited exposure to sovereign risk. In response to the same 1% policy rate cut, the credit expansion of highly exposed stressed countries banks was instead 2.75% weaker than that of banks in non-stressed countries. These findings support existing evidence on sovereign risk having direct adverse consequences for bank lending and highlight the extent to which sovereign risk aggravated heterogeneities in the transmission on monetary policy to the real economy via the banking system during the euro area debt crisis.
Author | : Ben S. Bernanke |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 398 |
Release | : 2002 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780262523233 |
Download NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001 Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Current issues in macroeconomics.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 74 |
Release | : 2015-10-23 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498344062 |
Download Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.
Author | : Mr.Hamid Reza Davoodi |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 59 |
Release | : 2013-02-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475553498 |
Download Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Do changes in monetary policy affect inflation and output in the East African Community (EAC)? We find that (i) Monetary Transmission Mechanism (MTM) tends to be generally weak when using standard statistical inferences, but somewhat strong when using non-standard inference methods; (ii) when MTM is present, the precise transmission channels and their importance differ across countries; and (iii) reserve money and the policy rate, two frequently used instruments of monetary policy, sometimes move in directions that exert offsetting expansionary and contractionary effects on inflation—posing challenges to harmonization of monetary policies across the EAC and transition to a future East African Monetary Union. The paper offers some suggestions for strengthening the MTM in the EAC.
Author | : Margherita Bottero |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 59 |
Release | : 2019-02-28 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498300855 |
Download Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We study negative interest rate policy (NIRP) exploiting ECB's NIRP introduction and administrative data from Italy, severely hit by the Eurozone crisis. NIRP has expansionary effects on credit supply-- -and hence the real economy---through a portfolio rebalancing channel. NIRP affects banks with higher ex-ante net short-term interbank positions or, more broadly, more liquid balance-sheets, not with higher retail deposits. NIRP-affected banks rebalance their portfolios from liquid assets to credit—especially to riskier and smaller firms—and cut loan rates, inducing sizable real effects. By shifting the entire yield curve downwards, NIRP differs from rate cuts just above the ZLB.
Author | : Ignazio Angeloni |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 398 |
Release | : 2003-12-04 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780521828642 |
Download Monetary Policy Transmission in the Euro Area Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A systematic analysis of the impact of European Central Bank monetary policy on Eurozone national economies, first published in 2003.
Author | : Mr.Olivier Coibion |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 57 |
Release | : 2012-08-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475505493 |
Download Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S. Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980. Contractionary monetary policy actions systematically increase inequality in labor earnings, total income, consumption and total expenditures. Furthermore, monetary shocks can account for a significant component of the historical cyclical variation in income and consumption inequality. Using detailed micro-level data on income and consumption, we document the different channels via which monetary policy shocks affect inequality, as well as how these channels depend on the nature of the change in monetary policy.
Author | : Andreas Jobst |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 48 |
Release | : 2016-08-10 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475524471 |
Download Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.